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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: Streak Strategies
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#101
Posted: 2/27/2012 9:37:22 PM

Ok ive finally had a chance to go over all the plays and compare odds and last 10 records for all plays ( and no plays ).

Going to put all the information into one post

Basic system: Wait for a team to have a 3 or more game winning streak, and then lose one game, to be considered a play the team playing against the ended streak team must have a last 10 record of .500 or higher (10 pts or more in last 10 games).  Also if streak team is the home team and favored by -185 or higher it will make the game a no play.

System Fade : In the system fade, if the ended streak team is the home team and the opponent is in the bottom three teams in either conference the play will be on the home team, as long as their last 10 is .500 or higher.

The other system fade will not be continued as the system fade posted above has a much better record.

 

 

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#102
Posted: 2/27/2012 10:09:35 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Burly:

Ok ive finally had a chance to go over all the plays and compare odds and last 10 records for all plays ( and no plays ).

Going to put all the information into one post

Basic system: Wait for a team to have a 3 or more game winning streak, and then lose one game, to be considered a play the team playing against the ended streak team must have a last 10 record of .500 or higher (10 pts or more in last 10 games).  Also if streak team is the home team and favored by -185 or higher it will make the game a no play. ALSO IF ENDED STREAK TEAM HAS ONLY ONE REGULATION LOSS IN LAST 10 THAT WILL MAKE THE PLAY A NO PLAY, UNLESS BOTH TEAMS ENDED STREAKS.

System Fade : In the system fade, if the ended streak team is the home team and the opponent is in the bottom three teams in either conference the play will be on the home team, as long as their last 10 is .500 or higher.

The other system fade will not be continued as the system fade posted above has a much better record.

 

 

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#103
Posted: 2/28/2012 12:23:38 AM

I also missed posting another play which was NYI vs OTT, the play would have been on NYI and lost, but with the system fade since the NYI are bottom three it would have been a play on OTT, still though we will chase against OTT.

FEB 28

CHASE AGAINST OTT: PLAY BOS

Teams on streaks: PHX, DAL, COL, PIT

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#104
Posted: 2/28/2012 11:29:04 PM

wont chase after system fade from now on not enough overall wins to make it worth while.

BOS

will also count this as a A+B loss

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#105
Posted: 3/2/2012 12:27:25 AM

MAR 2

DAL (5-3-2)(ended streak) VS EDM (4-5-1): EDM NO PLAY

Teams on streaks: PIT, WAS, NYR

more plays on mar 3 will post later

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#106
Posted: 3/3/2012 12:24:46 PM

MAR 3

PIT (7-2-1) VS COL (6-3-1)(ended streak): PLAY PIT

CLB (4-5-1) VS PHX (8-1-1)(ended streak): PLAY PHX (system fade)

STL (6-4)(ended streak) VS SJ (3-6-1): NO PLAY

NAS (5-3-2) VS FLA (5-4-1)(ended streak): PLAY NAS

Teams on streaks: PIT, TB

more plays tomorrow

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#107
Posted: 3/4/2012 1:49:53 AM

not touching CLB games for the rest of the year, i will not be posting anything with games involving them.

PHX

PIT

NAS

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#108
Posted: 3/4/2012 1:51:55 AM

MAR 4

PHI (5-5) VS WAS (4-6)(ended streak): PLAY PHI

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#109
Posted: 3/5/2012 12:00:01 AM

PHI

Teams on streaks: PIT, TB, BUF

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#110
Posted: 3/5/2012 12:02:00 AM
What's the system's record?
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#111
Posted: 3/5/2012 7:41:38 AM
will update record later today
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#112
Posted: 3/5/2012 4:22:48 PM

UPDATED RECORD:

36 A wins 13 B wins 4 A+B losses

0-1 system fade

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#113
Posted: 3/7/2012 4:02:38 PM

MAR 7

CAR (5-2-3) VS BUF (6-2-2)(ended streak): PLAY CAR

Teams on streaks: DAL, LA, CLB, PHI, PIT

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#114
Posted: 3/7/2012 11:35:54 PM

CAR

MAR 8

CHASE AGAINST BUF: PLAY BOS

TB (7-3) VS WAS (4-5-1)(ended streak): NO PLAY

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#115
Posted: 3/8/2012 10:18:25 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Burly:

CAR

MAR 8

CHASE AGAINST BUF: PLAY BOS

TB (7-3)(ended streak) VS WAS (4-5-1): NO PLAY

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#116
Posted: 3/8/2012 10:28:02 PM

BOS

MAR 9

NYR (5-3-2) VS CHI (6-4)(ended streak): PLAY NYR

LA (4-5-1)(ended streak) VS DET (5-4-1): PLAY DET

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#117
Posted: 3/11/2012 7:45:23 AM

NYR

DET

MAR 11

CHASE AGAINST CHI: PLAY LA

STL (8-2) VS CLB (5-4-1)(ended streak): PLAY STL (I WILL NOT BE PLAYING THIS AS CLB IS A TEAM ON MY NO PLAY LIST)

Teams on streaks: PIT, DAL, PHI, STL, NJ

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#118
Posted: 3/13/2012 4:16:20 PM

LA

NJ (5-4-1) VS PHI (7-3)(ended streak): PLAY NJ

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#119
Posted: 3/14/2012 2:48:06 AM

NJ

Teams on streaks: PIT, DAL, WAS, CGY, NSH

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#120
Posted: 3/15/2012 1:43:33 AM

MAR 15

CHASE AGAINST PHI: NO PLAY NYI IN BOTTOM 3

STL (8-1-1)(ended streak) vs CAR (3-3-4): NO PLAY STL ONLY 1 REG LOSS

COL (7-3) vs NJ (5-4-1)(ended streak): PLAY COL

Teams on streaks: PIT, WAS, CGY, NSH, COL

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#121
Posted: 3/16/2012 6:32:04 PM

MAR 16

COL

CHI (5-4-1) VS DAL (8-1-1)(ended streak): NO PLAY DAL ONLY 1 REG LOSS

 

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#122
Posted: 3/17/2012 6:43:57 PM

MAR 17

(sorry posted late)

CHASE AGAINST NJ: PLAY PIT ()

COL (6-3-1)(ended streak) VS NYR (5-4-1): PLAY NYR

NSH (6-2-2)(ended streak) VS LA (7-3): PLAY LA

Teams on streaks: PIT, FLA, LA

more plays tomorrow

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#123
Posted: 3/18/2012 7:09:35 PM

MAR 18

WAS (6-3-1)(ended streak) VS CHI (6-3-1): PLAY CHI

CLB (4-6) VS CGY (6-3-1)(ended streak): SYSTEM FADE PLAY CGY

Teams on streaks: FLA, LA

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#124
Posted: 3/18/2012 11:20:18 PM

CHI

CGY  thats why i stopped games with CLB

no upcoming plays tomorrow

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#125
Posted: 1/28/2013 2:04:34 AM

Going to start this thread up again for the NHL season

Follow along as we make some

OTT has already lost two after a 3 game streak

Teams on streaks: TB, WIN, MON, SJ, CHI, STL

Teams ended streaks: NJ

Just going to roll with it until we get to 5 games for each team and then will use last five, and then at 10 games will use last ten

Our first play will be a no play as BOS plays b2b vs NJ

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