Playoff basketball brings the the table sudden-death basketball, which is a scenario perfect for the manifestation of Under results - tight players executing deliberate plays isn't the ground upon which liberal scoring is made.
*An elimination game is when at least 1 team faces an end to their post season should they lose the game concerned straight-up.
---------------------------------------------------------------------- All results based on opening lines.
Since keeping records starting with the 03-04 post season, the stats I've accumulated for all Elimination games total results are as follows:
Overall
All Elimination Games: U/O 78-49-3
Elimination Games being game 4 or 5 of a Series: U/O 29-28-2 Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 49-21-1
1st Round of playoffs
All Elimination Games: U/O 39-27-1
Elimination Games being game 4 or 5 of a Series: U/O 20-15-1 Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 19-12
2nd Round & onwards of playoffs
All Elimination Games: U/O 39-22-2
Elimination Games being game 4 or 5 of a Series: U/O 9-13-1 Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 30-9-1
Clearly the prime spots to take Unders are in a game 6 or 7 taking place during the 2nd round or beyond (a .225 losing %), when both teams have a series win under their belts and are both winners of at least 2 games in the current series.
The one team to prove the exception (whose results I haven't incl. in the above figures) is - no suprise - Phoenix....
Phoenix Suns
Elimination games they win SU: O/U 8-2 Elimination games they lose SU: O/U 2-4
For Phoenix it doesnt matter the nature of the game (4, 5, 6 or 7) they're playing in, or the Round they're playing it in, in relation to the final total result: it's down to their SU performance.
Playoff basketball brings the the table sudden-death basketball, which is a scenario perfect for the manifestation of Under results - tight players executing deliberate plays isn't the ground upon which liberal scoring is made.
*An elimination game is when at least 1 team faces an end to their post season should they lose the game concerned straight-up.
---------------------------------------------------------------------- All results based on opening lines.
Since keeping records starting with the 03-04 post season, the stats I've accumulated for all Elimination games total results are as follows:
Overall
All Elimination Games: U/O 78-49-3
Elimination Games being game 4 or 5 of a Series: U/O 29-28-2 Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 49-21-1
1st Round of playoffs
All Elimination Games: U/O 39-27-1
Elimination Games being game 4 or 5 of a Series: U/O 20-15-1 Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 19-12
2nd Round & onwards of playoffs
All Elimination Games: U/O 39-22-2
Elimination Games being game 4 or 5 of a Series: U/O 9-13-1 Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 30-9-1
Clearly the prime spots to take Unders are in a game 6 or 7 taking place during the 2nd round or beyond (a .225 losing %), when both teams have a series win under their belts and are both winners of at least 2 games in the current series.
The one team to prove the exception (whose results I haven't incl. in the above figures) is - no suprise - Phoenix....
Phoenix Suns
Elimination games they win SU: O/U 8-2 Elimination games they lose SU: O/U 2-4
For Phoenix it doesnt matter the nature of the game (4, 5, 6 or 7) they're playing in, or the Round they're playing it in, in relation to the final total result: it's down to their SU performance.
CHC @ IND - Game 4: Under MIA @ PHI - Game 4: Under BOS @ NYK - Game 4: Under OKA @ DEN - Game 4: Under ATL @ ORL - Game 5: Under IND @ CHC - Game 5: Over
PHI @ MIA - Game 5: MEM @ SAS - Game 5: DEN @ OKA - Game 5:
CHC @ IND - Game 4: Under MIA @ PHI - Game 4: Under BOS @ NYK - Game 4: Under OKA @ DEN - Game 4: Under ATL @ ORL - Game 5: Under IND @ CHC - Game 5: Over
PHI @ MIA - Game 5: MEM @ SAS - Game 5: DEN @ OKA - Game 5:
Elimination Games being game 4 or 5 of a Series: U/O 9-13-1 Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 30-9-1
Clearly the prime spots to take Unders are in a game 6 or 7 taking place during the 2nd round or beyond (a .225 losing %), when both teams have a series win under their belts and are both winners of at least 2 games in the current series.
I know the Miami game went over yesterday. But today I will try the Under Atlanta
Elimination Games being game 4 or 5 of a Series: U/O 9-13-1 Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 30-9-1
Clearly the prime spots to take Unders are in a game 6 or 7 taking place during the 2nd round or beyond (a .225 losing %), when both teams have a series win under their belts and are both winners of at least 2 games in the current series.
I know the Miami game went over yesterday. But today I will try the Under Atlanta
my concerns for taking the Under in the above mentioned game...
Memphis has had its 2 lowest regulation scoring efforts (86 & 72 pts) in these playoffs (11 games) through its last 3 games (w/the odd score out of the 3 - 91 pts - being its 4th= lowest total). These stat facts reflect on the following -
- MEM has not been held to less than 91 regulation pts in 3 straight games these playoffs. - MEM has not been held to less than 99 regulation pts over 4 straight games this entire season. - MEM this season off being held to 86 regulation pts or less averaged 101.5 pts in its next game, only once totaling less than 97 pts.
Everything, to me, says off such a pathetic offensive outing that Mypiss bounces back offensively here. Of course there's nothing that says they can't score 100 and win by 6+ pts and that would still equal an Under, but at this point for me OKC has all the energy, so I don't really expect their effort to be lacking, therefore I'd expect them to match Mypiss' scoring/making the game competitive ATS.
In short, Mypiss scoring 72 in the last game for me ruins this elimination Under spot.
my concerns for taking the Under in the above mentioned game...
Memphis has had its 2 lowest regulation scoring efforts (86 & 72 pts) in these playoffs (11 games) through its last 3 games (w/the odd score out of the 3 - 91 pts - being its 4th= lowest total). These stat facts reflect on the following -
- MEM has not been held to less than 91 regulation pts in 3 straight games these playoffs. - MEM has not been held to less than 99 regulation pts over 4 straight games this entire season. - MEM this season off being held to 86 regulation pts or less averaged 101.5 pts in its next game, only once totaling less than 97 pts.
Everything, to me, says off such a pathetic offensive outing that Mypiss bounces back offensively here. Of course there's nothing that says they can't score 100 and win by 6+ pts and that would still equal an Under, but at this point for me OKC has all the energy, so I don't really expect their effort to be lacking, therefore I'd expect them to match Mypiss' scoring/making the game competitive ATS.
In short, Mypiss scoring 72 in the last game for me ruins this elimination Under spot.
When I was watching the low scoring 1st quarter Miami/Boston game a couple days I thought to myself. Damn it!!!! It's an elimination game and I was supposed to take the under. Luckily I forgot to, and the game went over after that low scoring 1st quarter.
When I was watching the low scoring 1st quarter Miami/Boston game a couple days I thought to myself. Damn it!!!! It's an elimination game and I was supposed to take the under. Luckily I forgot to, and the game went over after that low scoring 1st quarter.
my concerns for taking the Under in the above mentioned game...
Memphis has had its 2 lowest regulation scoring efforts (86 & 72 pts) in these playoffs (11 games) through its last 3 games (w/the odd score out of the 3 - 91 pts - being its 4th= lowest total). These stat facts reflect on the following -
- MEM has not been held to less than 91 regulation pts in 3 straight games these playoffs. - MEM has not been held to less than 99 regulation pts over 4 straight games this entire season. - MEM this season off being held to 86 regulation pts or less averaged 101.5 pts in its next game, only once totaling less than 97 pts.
Everything, to me, says off such a pathetic offensive outing that Mypiss bounces back offensively here. Of course there's nothing that says they can't score 100 and win by 6+ pts and that would still equal an Under, but at this point for me OKC has all the energy, so I don't really expect their effort to be lacking, therefore I'd expect them to match Mypiss' scoring/making the game competitive ATS.
In short, Mypiss scoring 72 in the last game for me ruins this elimination Under spot.
Thank you for this post. Todays under will be avoided. Usually when 2 strong trends clash and I still the the game, too often am I on the wrong side.
my concerns for taking the Under in the above mentioned game...
Memphis has had its 2 lowest regulation scoring efforts (86 & 72 pts) in these playoffs (11 games) through its last 3 games (w/the odd score out of the 3 - 91 pts - being its 4th= lowest total). These stat facts reflect on the following -
- MEM has not been held to less than 91 regulation pts in 3 straight games these playoffs. - MEM has not been held to less than 99 regulation pts over 4 straight games this entire season. - MEM this season off being held to 86 regulation pts or less averaged 101.5 pts in its next game, only once totaling less than 97 pts.
Everything, to me, says off such a pathetic offensive outing that Mypiss bounces back offensively here. Of course there's nothing that says they can't score 100 and win by 6+ pts and that would still equal an Under, but at this point for me OKC has all the energy, so I don't really expect their effort to be lacking, therefore I'd expect them to match Mypiss' scoring/making the game competitive ATS.
In short, Mypiss scoring 72 in the last game for me ruins this elimination Under spot.
Thank you for this post. Todays under will be avoided. Usually when 2 strong trends clash and I still the the game, too often am I on the wrong side.
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