Week 6

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Author: [College Football] Topic: Week 6
Jose_Reyes PM Jose_Reyes
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Posted: 10/3/2012 10:55:38 AM
Illinois was on my radar, and meant to ask for your thoughts earlier, but you beat me to it. Good luck this week, 165. Your thread has been great all season. Hope it stays that way.
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jayfan PM jayfan
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Posted: 10/3/2012 12:26:18 PM
I'm surprised I don't see Va Tech as a play.  UNC home for a third straight week off a 66-0 joy ride, while VaTech hitting the road & licking its wounds off a bad home loss.  I don't see UNC up to the task in this spot.  My favorite play of the week.
Pynnz PM Pynnz
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Posted: 10/3/2012 12:35:29 PM
Absolutxedge22 PM Absolutxedge22
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Posted: 10/3/2012 12:41:29 PM
Excellent thread as always 165.
raems PM raems
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Posted: 10/3/2012 2:50:09 PM
A Clemson cover would surprise me more than a gt outright win this week, just my two cents. Gl this week. 
hawgpix PM hawgpix
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Posted: 10/3/2012 8:01:37 PM
165
boxerstud PM boxerstud
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Posted: 10/3/2012 8:29:23 PM
165....awesome stuff dude, always look forward to your reads. I am an ATM grad and pounded my boys last week, any thoughts on them this week??? I am wondering why the line is so high as a road favorite????
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HMC-13 PM HMC-13
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Posted: 10/4/2012 12:51:06 AM
GL  Great record
165yds PM 165yds
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Posted: 10/4/2012 4:59:30 AM
Da pun the game will be the least bet game of the week next to Memphis.  It also is quietly one of the fishiest opening lines as well.  It's begging for NMex money, you could win but long term it's not the proper bet.  I also don't look at numbers, sounds crazy but I think the most important thing is the schedule.  Other factors also play in but trends and stats mean nothing to me.  That match up page is there for one reason and one reason only, to hurt you.  Last thing I want to be is a handicapper who breaks numbers down because they won't help you find winners.

jayfan I wouldn't touch VTech with a ten foot pole this week.  They are one of the hippest dogs this week and generally means trouble. They are another dog with no bite, seems to be a lot of those this week.

raems I agree.  Clemson is one of the biggest frauds there is right now.  Tough to lay DD points with one of the worst defenses you'd ever want to watch.  They almost made my card but won't be touching it.  

boxerstud I don't like either side this week.  I don't take teams coming off blowout wins and don't want to take a team coming off Bama where they played their hearts out.




165yds PM 165yds
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Posted: 10/4/2012 5:09:24 AM
redsox I only play totals in MLB and NHL and always take unders when I do play a total.  I don't even look at totals in CFB because so hard to take an under in this sport.

I can't take Oregon laying that kind of number.  You aren't laying 24, there's a strong chance you're laying 31 because the back door could be there with 3 minutes left with a bunch of 2nd and 3rd stringers.  I've layed 20+ probably 3 times in five years and only because the dog was a game a huge majority was on.  I don't even look at those -20 something games.  Oregon always has one of the most inflated lines, there's a reason they are 1-4 ats.  
elsonic PM elsonic
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Posted: 10/4/2012 6:09:29 AM
gambling-devil PM gambling-devil
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Posted: 10/4/2012 9:45:31 AM
165, good stuff .... I like several of your angles
Good luck this week and the rest of the season

$
redsox5831 PM redsox5831
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Posted: 10/4/2012 10:33:45 AM
Thanks 165.
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redsox5831 PM redsox5831
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Posted: 10/4/2012 10:40:40 AM
UCF line dropping. Does this factor into your play at all?
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crazy1464 PM crazy1464
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Posted: 10/4/2012 11:38:37 AM
WHATS YOUR TAKE ON C.FLORIDA NOW WITH THAT LINE DROP!
165yds PM 165yds
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Posted: 10/4/2012 7:39:49 PM
Guys line move doesn't scare me, 13 isn't a big deal and 12 is dead number.  
JBender PM JBender
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Posted: 10/4/2012 9:25:01 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by 165yds:

I'll be on Cal this week and may add Army which should round out the card.  
Yikes!  I am terrified of my card this week.  

Probably hit ND again at some point if the line keeps dropping which makes me like the game more.  

Why?
165yds PM 165yds
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Posted: 10/4/2012 11:42:24 PM
I checked because I like taking teams in uncomfortable positions and you have to go back 37 games the last time NMex was favored. They didn't cover that game either.  Wrong team is favored and their record is deceiving.  Yes they've made progress but still a long ways before they start laying points to anyone.

I know I said I don't take teams coming off blowout wins but I may make an exception here.  BYU coming off 30+ wins are 7-2 ats in recent years.  Utah St is a sucker bet, the line is telling you what you should do.  Interesting to see how they do against a real defense Friday night.  BYU should win this by two TD's, if it ever goes to 6.5 which I expect, I may have to take it.  

ECU went 8 straight possessions on defense without a stop.  Still horrid on defense.
PineappleXpress PM PineappleXpress
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Posted: 10/5/2012 4:03:48 AM
BOL 165!  
165yds PM 165yds
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Posted: 10/5/2012 11:54:05 AM
BYU -6.5

Army +9.5

Will take Cal at some point Saturday or when it hits 3.  If it doesn't will just take ML.  

That's it for me guys, gl everyone this weekend and stay in control.
Jim_Tressel PM Jim_Tressel
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Posted: 10/5/2012 12:19:09 PM
Just hit BYU as well.

Also took Pitt on the ML. Best of luck this week 165 as we have a similar card once again.
austintx11 PM austintx11
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Posted: 10/5/2012 6:51:48 PM
Waiting on 3.5 on cal, hopefully I get it by kickoff. 

Any thoughts on vandy this week?
SportsM62 PM SportsM62
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Posted: 10/5/2012 7:02:40 PM
Nice write ups. I am on board with the Notre Dame Game. They should roll Miami. 
raychard PM raychard
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Posted: 10/5/2012 7:05:56 PM
165yds PM 165yds
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Posted: 10/5/2012 7:35:45 PM
austinx I wouldn't take Mizzou coming off a really good win and now face a team off a bye who got embarrassed.  One thing Vandy does is play defense and points will be at a premium so getting a TD looks good.  
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