Baltimore at San Francisco (02/03/2013)

Forum: Pro Football Page 7 of 14 «  5 6 7 8 9   »
Author: [Pro Football] Topic: Baltimore at San Francisco (02/03/2013)
holtnt PM holtnt
Joined: Feb 2006
Posts: 8860
 
holtnt
Participation Meter
Captain
quote#151
Posted: 1/28/2013 6:16:27 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by p-99:

It is my observation over 20 some years that the team that public favored before the game day usuaully covered the spread.

The reason is because the big money usuaully came in 10 to 15minutes before the kick off time.

 

LOL!  Very funny but also very wrong… 

Tex-101 PM Tex-101
Joined: Nov 2006
Posts: 1548
 
Tex-101
Participation Meter
Veteran
quote#152
Posted: 1/28/2013 1:45:28 PM
Yeah, that IS wrong.  I wanted to take SF so I allow the non-regular betting public move the line down to 3', and I actually got 3 in one spot.  But if you want SF, take them now because come Saturday it will start to move back up, maybe up to 4'.
butgers PM butgers
Joined: Nov 2006
Posts: 6094
 
butgers
Participation Meter
Captain
quote#153
Posted: 1/28/2013 2:20:58 PM
I'll take SF in a high scoring game.
better team overall.
coach hungry after missing SB last year because of muffed punts.
makakilobrada PM makakilobrada
Joined: Jan 2013
Posts: 1
 
makakilobrada
Participation Meter
Prospect
quote#154
Posted: 1/28/2013 6:49:09 PM

my 1st post, i can't see ravens losing, scared everyone goin ravens, thats the only reason goin SF, goin against my heart, hope made right choice...like to be 1-0 on posts

Coloneljim PM Coloneljim
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13374
 
Coloneljim
Participation Meter
All-Star
quote#155
Posted: 1/28/2013 7:58:08 PM

COIN TOSS

HEADS

hotdamn85 PM hotdamn85
Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 1427
 
hotdamn85
Participation Meter
Veteran
quote#156
Posted: 1/28/2013 8:17:11 PM
its already -4 (-105)
BreakaBookie PM BreakaBookie
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 1737
 
BreakaBookie
Participation Meter
Veteran
quote#157
Posted: 1/28/2013 9:10:25 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by hotdamn85:

its already -4 (-105)

And SF Moneyline back up to -180

This eerily reminds me of the Colts/Saints superbowl with respects to the line movement.... and only the line movement lol

I remember because it was the first superbowl I lost because I hammered the Colts moneyline after winning 5 straight before that.

The line started out at around 6 points, the line went down even though the public was allll over the Colts (including me)

I got a lesson in reverse line movement after that loss.... I wasn't sure where/when the sharps were betting and it seems more information on that is provided now.

Anyway, the public is allllll over the Ravens, still at 3.5, yet the line is moving back up before game day.    We can all sit here and read these articles about the sharps....

I'm not a pro at this stuff but for me I kinda feel that the sharps got most of their bets in at the origonal 5 point line....

To me, the line should not be going back-up that high unless the public is betting SF.  But it doesn't seem like that's the case....

I expect things to change on gameday....

again, I'm not great at reading into these lines and I really don't figure this into my capping, but I think there is evidence of reverse line movement

 

GL TO ALL!

 

Littlebelly PM Littlebelly
Joined: Feb 2010
Posts: 27
 
Littlebelly
Participation Meter
Prospect
quote#158
Posted: 1/29/2013 12:39:53 AM
Pardon my simplicity, but I always bet the night after the Championship games, cause I don't want to be affected by 2 weeks of hyperbole. 
 
That being said, Balt + 3.5 was my pick. I believe SF's inability to pressure the QB since J. Smiths injury, and The Raven's D's ability to control the middle of the field will be the difference. A close physical game will ultimately hinge on red zone success and kicking games. The Niners will come out strong, dominating TOP and yardage, but missed opportunities will prove costly. Ravens win 27-23. 

GL to all!
VEGASRKNZ PM VEGASRKNZ
Joined: Sep 2011
Posts: 86
 
VEGASRKNZ
Participation Meter
Prospect
quote#159
Posted: 1/29/2013 1:17:22 AM

125/1 (no touch downs scored) on the prop sheet for station casinos

 $80 = $10,000

VEGASRKNZ PM VEGASRKNZ
Joined: Sep 2011
Posts: 86
 
VEGASRKNZ
Participation Meter
Prospect
quote#160
Posted: 1/29/2013 1:20:53 AM
Forum: Pro Football Page 7 of 14 «  5 6 7 8 9   »
You have entered the forum as a GUEST. 
You must login/register to post or reply.