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Author:	[MLB Betting] Topic: 8/19 - MLB Breakdown Sheets
LEBRONNN	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Apr 2010 Posts: 1367 Location:	#26 Posted: 8/19/2012 11:12:13 AM lets have a good day today
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fullabs11	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Jun 2012 Posts: 131 Location: Connecticut	#27 Posted: 8/19/2012 11:59:33 AM Time to win silly. I got some leans my friend. You very play team totals? I like Arizona over team total, Cleveland, and thinking Miami.
	Posted using a mobile device.quote
si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#28 Posted: 8/19/2012 12:08:48 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by fullabs11: Time to win silly. I got some leans my friend. You very play team totals? I like Arizona over team total, Cleveland, and thinking Miami. I think Parker throws a gem in Oakland this afternoon. He's very comfortable during the day and at home. His recent struggles are not supported by the sabrmetrics, I expect him to have some success against a Tribe team that has never seen him before.
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scaracas51	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Sep 2010 Posts: 4185 Location: Nicaragua	#29 Posted: 8/19/2012 12:12:50 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by si1ly: Vegas no longer releases the lines. They let offshore sportsbooks beat them to the punch, then they wait until the offshore market corrects the lines close to fair value. And then they release. They allow the offshore books to absorb the inefficiencies of line setting and they benefit by getting all their lines market tested before they put them out. Seeing the difference between the first offshore lines and what opens up in Vegas casinos can be a huge tell on which games got the most early sharp action. But I can only make educated guesses based on line movement. I'll never know who the money is coming from or how much of it is in play. So it's entirely situational. Watching reverse line moves throughout the day can also be a tell. It's hard to explain more than that, I'll try and think aloud in here during the day so you can see how I'm interpreting the line moves. Silly
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LEBRONNN	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Apr 2010 Posts: 1367 Location:	#30 Posted: 8/19/2012 12:44:48 PM you have a gameplan yet
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