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Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: Prop Play of the Day: Evan Turner Over 14.5 pts +130
FlamingoBarnes send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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Posted: 5/6/2012 12:24:15 PM
Prop record: 8-4  (my book counted the Tony Parker assist play as a Win last night so technically its 9-3 and hopefully they don't notice)

Evan Turner Over 14.5 pts +130

Turner has scored 12, 19 and 16 points in the first 3 games of this series.  He only played 30 minutes in the first game while getting 40+ minutes in the past 2 games.  Turner has solidified his role as a go to player on Philly and he should continue to log more minutes than anyone else on the team.  

Turner gets the majority of his points in the paint so I think he will benefit greatly by Noah being out today.  Asik hasn't been playing much and I expect him to get in foul trouble which means the Bulls will have to play Scalabrine or have Boozer and Gibson in at the same time for extended periods.  

I like points props with players that score around the basket because the chances of them having a cold shooting night are less likely.
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Posted: 5/6/2012 12:42:26 PM
Also playing Philly ML and -3.

Just don't see how Chicago gets it done today without their offensive and defensive anchors.  They did beat Philly earlier in the year without Rose but Noah had a huge game and Turner wasn't playing much.  Turner has really stepped his game up and added another dimension to Philly's offense.
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Posted: 5/6/2012 12:47:03 PM
Ended up playing Philly -2 (-130) instead of the -3 or ML.
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Posted: 5/6/2012 12:56:57 PM
Adding: Loul Deng Under 15.5 pts -115

Deng has faced Philly (without Rose) 3 times this year and the result has been the same each time.  Deng has been repeatedly shut down. 

1.  8 pts on 27% shooting.   11 shots
2.  8 pts on 25% shooting.   12 shots
3.  5 pts on 28% shooting.   7 shots  

Deng will probably get a few more shots today but I like my chances with this one if Philly can continue to keep Deng around 30%.  Deng clearly struggles against Philly when Rose isn't there to get him open looks.  
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#5
Posted: 5/6/2012 12:59:38 PM
Love Philly, and like the prop too. GL
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#6
Posted: 5/6/2012 1:03:04 PM
lol that's awesome they gave you a win on that bet.......Evan Turner is nice look.  Although I think Deng will score over 16 today.  I don't know why he hasn;t done garbage-----just feel he's too good of player to play so bad.

BOL today
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Posted: 5/6/2012 1:04:21 PM

You staying away from the Melo Over 26???

I am Going to put a little on LBJ over 6.5 Assists at -110, as I think he would like to get A Triple Double to close the Series out in the Garden with a Big Overall Game...
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Posted: 5/6/2012 1:05:48 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by UPNTHAPORT:

You staying away from the Melo Over 26???

I am Going to put a little on LBJ over 6.5 Assists at -110, as I think he would like to get A Triple Double to close the Series out in the Garden with a Big Overall Game...


Props have only been released for the 1st game so far for me.  I'm sure I will be on some props for later games as well.  Melo points may be one of em.
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Posted: 5/6/2012 1:07:06 PM
Asik with his 1st fould 45 seconds in to the game 
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Posted: 5/6/2012 1:10:26 PM
Refs are babying Asik.  Should have his second foul already.  Turner has missed a few easy looks but he is getting good looks which is key.
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Posted: 5/6/2012 2:09:42 PM
So much for playing around the basket making it tougher to be cold from the floor.  Turner can't hit the broad side of the barn and he is playing a lot less minutes today.  That prop is looking like a loser.

Deng rode the pine for the last 11 minutes in the 2nd quarter.  Not sure if he is injured or Coach T is saving him for the 2nd half.  

I like Philly for the 2nd half but I am going to lay off of it unless my book offers a ML line.
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#12
Posted: 5/6/2012 2:21:15 PM
Took Iguodala over 12.5 points. 
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Posted: 5/6/2012 2:23:16 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by orstewart:

Took Iguodala over 12.5 points. 

That one is looking a lot better than mine right now.

adding:  2nd half Over 86

Philly's 3 guards were 4-28 in the first half and I expect FT's to increase in the 2nd half.
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#14
Posted: 5/6/2012 2:24:11 PM
80141
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#15
Posted: 5/6/2012 2:25:33 PM

80141

This prop may be a better play than Melo. He is going to jack it up today.
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#16
Posted: 5/6/2012 2:26:23 PM
JR SMITH over 14
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#17
Posted: 5/6/2012 2:26:39 PM
Cant see it stewart
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Posted: 5/6/2012 2:27:32 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by orstewart:

JR SMITH over 14

My book doesn't offer this one
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Posted: 5/6/2012 3:41:38 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by orstewart:

Took Iguodala over 12.5 points. 
x2
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