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   He'll get a ton of carries but early 2nd sounds about right.

When the heard is all going one way towards 2nd round, you must break away and do the opposite. In 2010 before Arian Foster's breakout, I took him 3rd round. The rest is history. Everyone was scratching head their head why, for a player who played 2 games and was still an enigma. That was a championship team. You have to take risks. He is a very capable back. yes he's ahd some concerns but he also displayed an ability that he belongs in the NFL and could compete at a high level. I highly value Murray this year and think he is worth a gamble late 1st round early second. I would take a shot at Murray over someone like Andre Johnson or even Roddy White.

Sometimes, especially in fantasy you have to reach. Use the rankings provided by the so called "experts" as guides. Make your own rankings. I like to use a  basic spreadsheet. If anyone is interested Ill send you a copy. The rows represent the rounds, then there are 3 columns. The left side green, middle yellow, right red. Guys are grouped in the projected rounds and chronologically ranked. So if were in the 3rd round and I see that I have a guy who was labeled "green" that still is available and was ranked in the 2nd, I may be inclined to take him. The guys in yellow are my caution plays, guys worth a gamble but arent as sure (most players will fall into yellow), then there is red, guys I do not want on my tea (last year Peyton Hillis, although had to take a gamble as he fell 2 rounds in one of my leagues)

Yes, Murray is worth a 1st rounder.

   Weren't we discussing Murray?   Move him up after the Mathew's incident.