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Author: [The Archives] Topic: YANKEES+1.5(-455)
claude_gir0ux
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#26
Posted: 8/24/2011 3:33:36 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by neverlayoff:

bad bet with Cahill on the mound

lol NLO are you serious ?

yes its a bad bet

but did you look into cahills numbers for the yanks ? last game he pitched vs them i think he lasted 2 1/3 or something very short.

aj burnett could be on the mound and it would be -200.

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BURG2VEGAS
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#27
Posted: 8/24/2011 3:34:32 PM

IM TAKING A'S -1.5 FOR SHITS AND GIGGLES NOW THE WAY BOOKS ARE CLEANING HOUSE TODAY

2NDH BEEN REAL GOOD TO ME AND OTHERS LOTS OF GAMES TONITE-190 OR HIGHER BE CAREFUL

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#28
Posted: 8/24/2011 3:34:43 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by lovethedough:

 

No....I have a bookie that sends me a check every month....sorry.


Im just messing man. You might be victorious, but with those odds, when you loose, you dont loose money.. you loose LIFE years since it's so much juice. Just saying...
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#29
Posted: 8/24/2011 3:35:26 PM

Man... I would rather risk 72 and lose it then risk 273 and MAYBE win..

There is more than money here there is STRESS! Whats 72 bucks? Nothing...

273 is a little more up there..

Hope the juice is worth it in the end..

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#30
Posted: 8/24/2011 3:38:09 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by raems:

the joke is on the forum, not on ilovethedough. it's literally not possible that all of these bets are real, this is nothing more than an attention grab. hope you're enjoy it.

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#31
Posted: 8/24/2011 3:38:15 PM
Claude is right, Cahill is awful in NY

-455 is too much juice though, take the ML if you want to eat chalk 
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#32
Posted: 8/24/2011 3:39:01 PM
08/24/2011 - ONLINE at 11:28 AM
[Ticket #: 101628286] STRAIGHT BET
08/24/2011 @ 04:05 PM MLB [8970] NYY 1½ RUNS +1½-455
( T CAHILL -R / C SABATHIA-L )
273.00 60.00
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#33
Posted: 8/24/2011 3:42:43 PM
Raems-----instead of coming up with your weird theories, bet the game and make some money !!!  Stop losing....you have a gambling problem.  If you listened to me...you would not have lost a single pick since JULY 15
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#34
Posted: 8/24/2011 3:44:46 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by lovethedough:

 

No....I have a bookie that sends me a check every month....sorry.

 

Uncle Sam doesn't count.... sorry.

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#35
Posted: 8/24/2011 3:45:21 PM
Oak Reverse RL +375  it is.....thanks  
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#36
Posted: 8/24/2011 3:50:10 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Barbosa212:

I swear in my entire life, this is the dumbest full retard play (as Sonic said) 

The risk reward is so bad, I think you may be pulling our chain.  You didn't really bet this did you lol

LovetheDough I LIVE AND DIE  for the YANKEES, BEST OF LUCK BUDDY.  You are better off betting Yanks RL, they win by >1.5 over 80% of the time and your downside is only 1 unit. Why risk 4.5 to win .6.  Come on man!!!


agreed. im laying with the Yanks RL simply because of the pitchers and its the yankees...bats came alive late and should carry over tonight.
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#37
Posted: 8/24/2011 3:50:57 PM

Burg2vegas, madshooter.....goodluck, you are going to need a lotta luck in this game....u have a 10% chance of winning, so why take only 375 to 400....dumb bet......but you guys have balls....i like that !!!!   Hey, maybe I'm due to lose, hahaha

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#38
Posted: 8/24/2011 3:54:44 PM
I would be playing LARGE on the Oakland Athletics RRL at over +300 right now if I hadn't given up gambling for a year


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#39
Posted: 8/24/2011 3:56:09 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by lovethedough:

Burg2vegas, madshooter.....goodluck, you are going to need a lotta luck in this game....u have a 10% chance of winning, so why take only 375 to 400....dumb bet......but you guys have balls....i like that !!!!   Hey, maybe I'm due to lose, hahaha



First intelligent thing you've said all thread
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#40
Posted: 8/24/2011 4:00:23 PM

Kaponofor.....let me guess?....you gave up gambling for a year because you were winning?

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#41
Posted: 8/24/2011 4:05:28 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by lovethedough:

Burg2vegas, madshooter.....goodluck, you are going to need a lotta luck in this game....u have a 10% chance of winning, so why take only 375 to 400....dumb bet......but you guys have balls....i like that !!!!   Hey, maybe I'm due to lose, hahaha

 

All joking aside, you don't even know what your bet really is. The ML is around -260. If the Yankees lose, they will at least lose by 1 run. So basically, you are laying extra 200 for that half run. Does that make better sense to you now??

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#42
Posted: 8/24/2011 4:09:57 PM
I understand bunny.   Do you understand, you don't have to pay juice when you win?  So....juice is just imaginary to me, until I lose.  And if I do lose?  I would put at least 200 on my next game....and when that game wins....guess what...i'm 1-1 and only down 70 bucks !!!
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#43
Posted: 8/24/2011 4:11:04 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by lovethedough:

Kaponofor.....let me guess?....you gave up gambling for a year because you were winning?



Gave up gambling for a year upon my pregnant wife's request -- I have some money management issues lets say


But keep laying -455. Let me know how that goes for you.
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#44
Posted: 8/24/2011 4:12:35 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by lovethedough:

I understand bunny.   Do you understand, you don't have to pay juice when you win?  So....juice is just imaginary to me, until I lose.  And if I do lose?  I would put at least 200 on my next game....and when that game wins....guess what...i'm 1-1 and only down 70 bucks !!!


There is sooooo many flaws with this statement I wouldn't even know where to start.

Legit question LTD -- what do you think is the percentage chance that the Yankees could actually lose this game by 2 or more runs? I'd love a serious answer to this question from you.
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#45
Posted: 8/24/2011 4:14:34 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by kaponofor3:



Gave up gambling for a year upon my pregnant wife's request -- I have some money management issues lets say


But keep laying -455. Let me know how that goes for you.

Been going great for years, thank you.

Congrats on the baby...God bless.

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#46
Posted: 8/24/2011 4:15:17 PM
Bottom line is that you do need to open a thread to assist folks in betting a -455 line , like you are some type of pioneer.. All you are stating is that you are a risk taker ! Congrats, but it does not help others assuming they have half a brain... Good luck !
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#47
Posted: 8/24/2011 4:19:34 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by kaponofor3:



There is sooooo many flaws with this statement I wouldn't even know where to start.

Legit question LTD -- what do you think is the percentage chance that the Yankees could actually lose this game by 2 or more runs? I'd love a serious answer to this question from you.

I was not clear on that....I feel there is a 10% chance the yanks lose by 2 or more, on this particular day, this particular situation.  Therefore, the line should be 800-850 on yanks +1.5.

Hey, I have won 10 in a row....before that...i won alot of money too.  If yanks lose by 2 or more,,,i am still up....and so are my followers....and that is the name of the game !!!

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#48
Posted: 8/24/2011 4:22:03 PM
10 and 0!!!! This man is a machine!! A money printing machine!! 
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#49
Posted: 8/24/2011 4:24:28 PM
You're completely clueless
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#50
Posted: 8/24/2011 4:28:02 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by lovethedough:

I was not clear on that....I feel there is a 10% chance the yanks lose by 2 or more, on this particular day, this particular situation.  Therefore, the line should be 800-850 on yanks +1.5.

Hey, I have won 10 in a row....before that...i won alot of money too.  If yanks lose by 2 or more,,,i am still up....and so are my followers....and that is the name of the game !!!



Ah, OK. Therein lies the problem. I'd say the chances are much closer to 30-35% or so.
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