Trump leads the GOP pack this week, though few think he will win the nomination
The Republican horserace continues to be a contest of multiple
candidates – with frontrunners sometimes ahead by only a few points, and
no one dominating the race. In this week’s Economist/YouGov
Poll, businessman Donald Trump leads among Republicans, ahead of
Kentucky Senator Rand Paul, former Florida Governor Jeb Bush, former
Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee, Florida Senator Marco Rubio and
Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker.
Trump leads the GOP pack this week, though few think he will win the nomination
The Republican horserace continues to be a contest of multiple
candidates – with frontrunners sometimes ahead by only a few points, and
no one dominating the race. In this week’s Economist/YouGov
Poll, businessman Donald Trump leads among Republicans, ahead of
Kentucky Senator Rand Paul, former Florida Governor Jeb Bush, former
Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee, Florida Senator Marco Rubio and
Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker.
Trump looks even better as a candidate this week when Republicans are
asked for their second choice. When they are, Trump extends his lead.
One in four Republicans who are registered to vote say he is their first
or second choice.
But who are these Republicans? Trump’s statements on immigration may
be striking a chord. Two-thirds of those who choose Trump first or
second support the goals of the Tea Party, higher than the overall
percentage of Republicans who do. They are much less likely to have a
college education than are other Republicans, and they are more likely
than other Republicans to say they are “very” conservative.
Trump supporters may be making more of a statement than voting for
someone they consider a contender. Just one in five of Trump’s
supporters think Trump will win the nomination. Only 7% of Republicans
think Trump will capture the nomination: more give the edge to Bush,
Paul, Rubio and Walker.
Trump looks even better as a candidate this week when Republicans are
asked for their second choice. When they are, Trump extends his lead.
One in four Republicans who are registered to vote say he is their first
or second choice.
But who are these Republicans? Trump’s statements on immigration may
be striking a chord. Two-thirds of those who choose Trump first or
second support the goals of the Tea Party, higher than the overall
percentage of Republicans who do. They are much less likely to have a
college education than are other Republicans, and they are more likely
than other Republicans to say they are “very” conservative.
Trump supporters may be making more of a statement than voting for
someone they consider a contender. Just one in five of Trump’s
supporters think Trump will win the nomination. Only 7% of Republicans
think Trump will capture the nomination: more give the edge to Bush,
Paul, Rubio and Walker.
Wow. Very surprising to me. First time I have seen a poll showing him in the lead. The more surprising thing is that he would beat any of them head-on based on 1st and 2nd choices.
I am interested in this because of who he will cause to drop out. I still don't think (or want) him to win at this point. But I see this as I did the last two elections. The best choice may be one of the ones knocked out. Then whomever beats Trump for the nomination may not be a top choice for Republicans. So, voters may be disenchanted and stay home. Or vote for a third party (Trump?) again---giving the election to the Democrats for the third time. Again, my point is that the Democrats always get behind their man, or woman. Republicans haven't the last couple of times out.
Anyway. Hard to see Trump beating Bush. But that's why they run the races. Never saw how Hillary could lose to an unknown either. So, you never know.
Wow. Very surprising to me. First time I have seen a poll showing him in the lead. The more surprising thing is that he would beat any of them head-on based on 1st and 2nd choices.
I am interested in this because of who he will cause to drop out. I still don't think (or want) him to win at this point. But I see this as I did the last two elections. The best choice may be one of the ones knocked out. Then whomever beats Trump for the nomination may not be a top choice for Republicans. So, voters may be disenchanted and stay home. Or vote for a third party (Trump?) again---giving the election to the Democrats for the third time. Again, my point is that the Democrats always get behind their man, or woman. Republicans haven't the last couple of times out.
Anyway. Hard to see Trump beating Bush. But that's why they run the races. Never saw how Hillary could lose to an unknown either. So, you never know.
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