Obama is a log.....

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Author: [Politics] Topic: Obama is a log.....
drJ PM drJ
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Posted: 2/29/2012 8:22:20 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SarasotaSlim:

Vanzack,

If you are a trend better here's one,that you probably won't like.. and it's a 90%'er ...

In the history of US Presidential elections ..10 United States Presidents have unseated an incumbent President.. . 

Since 1828... 9 of those 10 US Presidents have come to office by unseating an incumbent in a Leap Year election ...With the exception being Thomas Jefferson who unseating John Adams ( in 1800 a non-leap year)....
 
 
This being Wednesday Februrary 29th.2012 .....making this election.. a Leap Year election...
 
Bend to the Trend...

Aren't all prez elections these days leap year elections?

Anyway, this garbage is all rigged.  darn all of the politicians and their cronyism.  darn obama too for acting like he was all that and a bag o chips, transparent my behind.  what the hell comes after trillion?
Ktrain PM Ktrain
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Posted: 2/29/2012 8:26:17 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by drJ:


Aren't all prez elections these days leap year elections?

Anyway, this garbage is all rigged.  darn all of the politicians and their cronyism.  darn obama too for acting like he was all that and a bag o chips, transparent my behind.  what the hell comes after trillion?




14daroad PM 14daroad
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Posted: 3/1/2012 8:28:21 AM

Nightly, I think one team has great value or another and it doesn't mean that I inherently favor one side over the other

=================

I understand your point djbrow. But nightly do you think it is inconceivable your wager could lose?

Further, if you posted about a wager on your Twins and said it was a lock wouldn't people assume that your biased and it is homerism?

vanzack PM vanzack
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Posted: 3/1/2012 9:52:42 AM

Oh jeez.

Just getting back to this thread.

I dont think there is much to say to 14daroad - if you dont know by now that I mean "inconceivable" and "lock" in the way that you would discuss it in a bar rather than a sceince lab - I will lay it out for you....

Get ready to be happy.....

Is it a lock?  No.  Is it inconceivable in literal terms?  No.

Come on.  You sound like such a blowhard.

Now - on to the subject - do you really think that after months of debate Santorum would have any chance whatsoever?   Or better yet - do you think after months of debate Santorum would have a +200 chance?  A poll today means nothing.  95% of Americans dont know what Santorum stands for today - he is just a name on a poll - it is a poll vote against Obama.  But wait until 50% of Americans know what he stands for.....

I never bet with my heart.  Ever.  I bet against my heart all the time.  I think Obama at -200 is a steal if you dont mind having your money tied up for 6 months, which I dont.

GL

 

vanzack PM vanzack
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Posted: 3/1/2012 9:56:12 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by depeche2:

Vanzack, are you playing this at Intrade?

No - so far at Betfair and Pinnacle - mostly Betfair.

vanzack PM vanzack
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Posted: 3/1/2012 9:59:53 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by 14daroad:

Oh gee, a Democrat is saying Obama is a "lock" and his bet has "value"!

*GIGGLE*

In the poll, Obama lags the two leading Republican rivals in the 12 states likely to determine the outcome of a close race in November:

•Former Pennsylvania senator Rick Santorum tops Obama 50%-45% in the swing states. Nationwide, Santorum's lead narrows to 49%-46%.

•Former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney edges Obama 48%-46% in the swing states. Nationwide, they are tied at 47% each.

================

You're better off lighting $20 bills on fire than listening to this poster and betting Obama's "value."

You can get Santorum at 35-1 if you truly like lighting 20 dollar bills on fire.

DiscoD69 PM DiscoD69
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Posted: 3/1/2012 10:14:01 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by vanzack:

Oh jeez.

Just getting back to this thread.

I dont think there is much to say to 14daroad - if you dont know by now that I mean "inconceivable" and "lock" in the way that you would discuss it in a bar rather than a sceince lab - I will lay it out for you....

Get ready to be happy.....

Is it a lock?  No.  Is it inconceivable in literal terms?  No.

Come on.  You sound like such a blowhard.

Now - on to the subject - do you really think that after months of debate Santorum would have any chance whatsoever?   Or better yet - do you think after months of debate Santorum would have a +200 chance?  A poll today means nothing.  95% of Americans dont know what Santorum stands for today - he is just a name on a poll - it is a poll vote against Obama.  But wait until 50% of Americans know what he stands for.....

I never bet with my heart.  Ever.  I bet against my heart all the time.  I think Obama at -200 is a steal if you dont mind having your money tied up for 6 months, which I dont.

GL

 


It took me about 2.5 seconds to figure this out. 
14daroad PM 14daroad
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Posted: 3/1/2012 10:28:57 AM

It took me about 2.5 seconds to figure this out

 

Yeah, I bet it did.

14daroad PM 14daroad
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Posted: 3/1/2012 10:33:52 AM

 if you dont know by now that I mean "inconceivable" and "lock" in the way that you would discuss it in a bar rather than a sceince lab

==================

Er, if you said Obama was a "lock" sitting next to me in a bar, I would take you at face value. Meaning, that I would think you sincerely believe it.

What a bizarre response.

do you really think that after months of debate Santorum would have any chance whatsoever?  

Um, yeah. Obama is the most unpopular President since Carter.

And he's an idiot how has trouble without a teleprompter.

 But wait until 50% of Americans know what he stands for.....

Um, see above.

I never bet with my heart.  Ever. 

Yes, mysteriously you think Santorum is so unpopular and would moreso after more campaigning. You also have this idea that "what Santorum stands for" is highly unpopular.

But you're not betting with your heart!

 I think Obama at -200 is a steal

And when it drops I'll be sure to bump this thread

be easy PM be easy
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be easy
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Posted: 3/1/2012 10:36:05 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by vanzack:

Oh jeez.

Just getting back to this thread.

I dont think there is much to say to 14daroad - if you dont know by now that I mean "inconceivable" and "lock" in the way that you would discuss it in a bar rather than a sceince lab - I will lay it out for you....

Get ready to be happy.....

Is it a lock?  No.  Is it inconceivable in literal terms?  No.

Come on.  You sound like such a blowhard.

Now - on to the subject - do you really think that after months of debate Santorum would have any chance whatsoever?   Or better yet - do you think after months of debate Santorum would have a +200 chance?  A poll today means nothing.  95% of Americans dont know what Santorum stands for today - he is just a name on a poll - it is a poll vote against Obama.  But wait until 50% of Americans know what he stands for.....

I never bet with my heart.  Ever.  I bet against my heart all the time.  I think Obama at -200 is a steal if you dont mind having your money tied up for 6 months, which I dont.

GL

 



I know we like to tell ourselves this all the time, but is it true?  By your own admission, you have placed large wagers on Kerry in 04, bama in 08, and bama in 12.  Your heart lies with the dems.  Is it even possible to remove oneself from their emotions? Humans are irrational, emotion driven beings, are you human?
djbrow PM djbrow
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Posted: 3/1/2012 11:09:12 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by be easy:



I know we like to tell ourselves this all the time, but is it true? 

With the better gamblers, to quote your favorite politician, "you betcha."

DiscoD69 PM DiscoD69
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Posted: 3/1/2012 11:20:10 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by djbrow:

With the better gamblers, to quote your favorite politician, "you betcha."


be easy PM be easy
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be easy
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Posted: 3/1/2012 11:33:55 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by djbrow:

With the better gamblers, to quote your favorite politician, "you betcha."



I like to pat myself on the back when i'm right and i win, and tell myself i'm good as well. However, the most important lesson i ever learned, was to always remember that tis better to be lucky, than good

Similar to the argument about objectivity vs subjectivity. It's fun to tell ourselves that we are taking a step back, removing our own emotions from the decision making process, and being objective, but is it even possible?

'better gamblers', now that's a good one!
HutchEmAll PM HutchEmAll
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Posted: 3/2/2012 3:35:48 PM

Oh gee, a Democrat is saying Obama is a "lock" and his bet has "value"!

*GIGGLE*

In the poll, Obama lags the two leading Republican rivals in the 12 states likely to determine the outcome of a close race in November:

•Former Pennsylvania senator Rick Santorum tops Obama 50%-45% in the swing states. Nationwide, Santorum's lead narrows to 49%-46%.

•Former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney edges Obama 48%-46% in the swing states. Nationwide, they are tied at 47% each.

================

You're better off lighting $20 bills on fire than listening to this poster and betting Obama's "value."

You are dumb.  Santorum is 10% to win the GOP nomination much less the big seat.  Romney is smart and I actually would consider voting for him, but he can't win.  He's a twit with no personality.  
dl36 PM dl36
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Posted: 3/5/2012 5:33:35 AM
hutch, that is the difference between a the mind of a gambler vs the mind of a partisan alias...  reality...
14daroad PM 14daroad
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Posted: 3/5/2012 8:38:57 AM

You are dumb

------------------------

Well you came in here and beclowned yourself, so what does that say about you?

Santorum is 10% to win the GOP nomination much less the big seat.

====================

10% according to who, you? Not people voting. Further, you do understand that whether or not Santorum is "10% to win the GOP nomination" (something you know nothing about) is irrelevant to the point of how unpopular Obama is, right?

  Romney is smart and I actually would consider voting for him, but he can't win.  He's a twit with no personality.  

======================

You're projecting again, twit.

Ktrain PM Ktrain
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Posted: 3/5/2012 10:32:46 AM
I honestly can't figure out why anyone would vote for Rick Santorum. I understand if you don't want to vote Obama. But Ron Paul makes far more sense than Rick Santorum. 

I still don't put much value into these polls being conducted. Seems kind of fishy on how they conduct them according to what I read. 
P4P PM P4P
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Posted: 5/25/2012 11:35:12 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by vanzack:

No - so far at Betfair and Pinnacle - mostly Betfair.



Still sitting at -160 to -175 on these 2 sites...are you continuing to add more? How large are you going compared to say your typical soccer wagers?

I love this bet as well...just trying to figure out when to stop pumping money into it.
dl36 PM dl36
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Posted: 5/25/2012 11:56:29 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by dl36:

Vanzack,

I wanted your opinion on the math and statistics behind "some current prices that seem to have a lot of value."

http://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=87&sub=101251029





try this bet... "alot of value"
esplanade PM esplanade
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Posted: 5/26/2012 1:28:06 AM
Hey Tard, I'm holding Romney +400 as a single straight play and in conjunction with the obama electoral count 'under".................
pretty damn solid. What are you holding??

Covers noes

Get back to me when you're less pathetic or never.
FrontRowCenter PM FrontRowCenter
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Posted: 5/26/2012 7:51:20 PM
It will be close to a PK in November.  I have been saying it for a while.  A toss up.  If it is a fair election, without voter fraud, Romney wins.



dl36 PM dl36
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Posted: 5/26/2012 8:36:25 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by esplanade:

Hey Tard, I'm holding Romney +400 as a single straight play and in conjunction with the obama electoral count 'under".................
pretty damn solid. What are you holding??

Covers noes

Get back to me when you're less pathetic or never.




Thats not the bet in your thread...
http://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=87&sub=101251029


you said you hedged it with newt for +200

Does that not count anymore? 

This reminds me of how Woop has been exposed for not counting juice/vig on his bets...



I ask you repeatedly in your thread about your bet and you ran from me like a coward becasue you knew that your -274 odds "swiss cheese roulette/partial hedge" does not the hold the value you tried to make yourself believe there was...

you only expose yourself as insecure of initial claims of "tremendous value" of your -274 odds "swiss cheese roulette/partial hedge" bet....

Keep up your insults and combative posting...  but we all know the numbers speak for themselves...



esplanade PM esplanade
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Posted: 5/27/2012 2:35:09 AM
Newt was never +200, dufus36..................................

And right, because I need to report every play I make to you.
Ever heard of selling off action, dufus?


dl36 PM dl36
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Posted: 5/27/2012 2:59:06 AM
more insulting posts

Looks like you know you're in in a lie...

like I said your hedge on romney with newt put you at +200 for the GOP candidate...

Read your own thread it is all there
http://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=87&sub=101251029

Keep up your lies... it is what you do best
HutchEmAll PM HutchEmAll
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Posted: 5/29/2012 12:38:38 PM
•Former Pennsylvania senator Rick Santorum tops Obama 50%-45% in the swing states. Nationwide, Santorum's lead narrows to 49%-46%.
_________________________


So funny.  
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