Obama is a log.....

Forum: Politics Page 1 of 13  1 2 3 4 5   »
Author: [Politics] Topic: Obama is a log.....
vanzack PM vanzack
Joined: Nov 2001
Posts: 52495
Equatorial
              Guinea
 
vanzack
Participation Meter
Posted: 2/15/2012 8:53:02 AM

I have bet Obama (democratic party over republican party) for the last several months, all the way up to -200 where it sits now.

If something major doesnt happen like illness or death, it is inconceivable to me that Newt or Mitt can beat him, and forget Santorum.

Dont care whrere you stand politically - I know you nutjobs will want to turn this in to a political debate about the candidates merits - Im just talking pure gambling value.

You will not see a -200 again that has this much value.  The downside is you are making a 9 month wager, but it is printing money.

be easy PM be easy
Joined: Oct 2006
Posts: 15420
Pennsylvania
 
be easy
Participation Meter
Posted: 2/15/2012 9:03:07 AM
there's plenty of us in this forum that have agreed to this for awhile now.

Why would the Repukes contest his re-election, when he is the best candidate that they could hope for?

ON a side note Van, how do you feel about Bama's presidency as an American, not a gambler?  I remember you being all giddy about how great he'd be for the country, and you bought into the whole transparency bs

it would be fun to bump someof the threads from back around the last election
vanzack PM vanzack
Joined: Nov 2001
Posts: 52495
Equatorial
              Guinea
 
vanzack
Participation Meter
Posted: 2/15/2012 9:06:19 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by be easy:

there's plenty of us in this forum that have agreed to this for awhile now.

Why would the Repukes contest his re-election, when he is the best candidate that they could hope for?

ON a side note Van, how do you feel about Bama's presidency as an American, not a gambler?  I remember you being all giddy about how great he'd be for the country, and you bought into the whole transparency bs

it would be fun to bump someof the threads from back around the last election

I would talk about that in another thread.  I want to leave this totally gambling if possible.

be easy PM be easy
Joined: Oct 2006
Posts: 15420
Pennsylvania
 
be easy
Participation Meter
Posted: 2/15/2012 9:11:45 AM
good luck with that

there's a three page thread towards the top of this forum titled VITRIOL FREE POLITICAL ODDS, where the forum has already discussed this in detail

I personally don't wager on such things, but have wondered how people like you that were so hyped for Obama feel at this point in time
ClubDirt PM ClubDirt
Joined: May 2003
Posts: 23659
United States
 
ClubDirt
Participation Meter
Posted: 2/15/2012 9:32:29 AM
yeah, there have been a few of these threads over the past few months,.  i think in the first one he was -150.  anything can happen in politics but it does seem like a solid bet to make if you don't mind having your money tied up for so long.
djbrow PM djbrow
Joined: Feb 2004
Posts: 14336
United States
 
djbrow
Participation Meter
Posted: 2/15/2012 9:40:25 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by vanzack:

I have bet Obama (democratic party over republican party) for the last several months, all the way up to -200 where it sits now.

If something major doesnt happen like illness or death, it is inconceivable to me that Newt or Mitt can beat him, and forget Santorum.

Dont care whrere you stand politically - I know you nutjobs will want to turn this in to a political debate about the candidates merits - Im just talking pure gambling value.

Van van van. There will be a few days where the line will be -140/-160 Obama.....August 31-September 2, 2012.

It will be at that time that I 'sell' my Romney futures of +2100 from two years ago for value.

Do you remember 2008...as we were still getting Obama -175 the night before the election. A pretty profit as I remember. God bless right wingers and their parent's credit cards

And this will be the first gambling election without matchbook, which does play a little into how I bet this year.

SarasotaSlim PM SarasotaSlim
Joined: Jan 2007
Posts: 24071
United States
 
SarasotaSlim
Participation Meter
Posted: 2/15/2012 9:41:27 AM

Obama is a Lock....

Vanzack posting this thread today may be a prophetic sign an omen...

 In fact Pres.Obama will be in Wisconsin today ...checking-out Locks..

 Last month in his State of the Union Address, Obama highlighted Milwaukee padlock manufacturer Master Lock bringing 100 jobs back from China.

The company is now preparing for the President to see its work first hand.

vanzack PM vanzack
Joined: Nov 2001
Posts: 52495
Equatorial
              Guinea
 
vanzack
Participation Meter
Posted: 2/15/2012 9:51:04 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by djbrow:

Van van van. There will be a few days where the line will be -140/-160 Obama.....August 31-September 2, 2012.

It will be at that time that I 'sell' my Romney futures of +2100 from two years ago for value.

Do you remember 2008...as we were still getting Obama -175 the night before the election. A pretty profit as I remember. God bless right wingers and their parent's credit cards

And this will be the first gambling election without matchbook, which does play a little into how I bet this year.

He was -120 the week of the election last year....

I bet it all the way from -125 up to -200 yesterday....  If it goes back down, probably will bet more.....

kaponofor3 PM kaponofor3
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 35336
California
 
kaponofor3
Participation Meter
Posted: 2/15/2012 10:16:37 AM
I agree 100% with Vanzack. I think the true odds on Obama here are much, much closer to -600 or so.
be easy PM be easy
Joined: Oct 2006
Posts: 15420
Pennsylvania
 
be easy
Participation Meter
Posted: 2/15/2012 10:18:41 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by kaponofor3:

I agree 100% with Vanzack. I think the true odds on Obama here are much, much closer to -600 or so.


and some of us have been saying this for over two years.

I just can't stomach whoring myself out for a wager. If you bet Obama, you have to vote Obama, and that doesn't sit well with me, as an American
FrontRowCenter PM FrontRowCenter
Joined: Apr 2007
Posts: 6469
Florida
 
FrontRowCenter
Participation Meter
Posted: 2/15/2012 10:46:48 AM
I see the odds coming back down once it is one on one, whoever it is, and Obama has to stand by his record.  His record is abysmal the last three years.  The overreach of the mandate on contraception, the refusal to tackle the debt problem, raising taxes, all of Obama's broken promises, will help in Obama's demise.  I still have faith in America that the people will wake up in time, and send Obama packing back to Hawaii, Chicago, Kenya, Indonesia, or wherever he is from.  
I will proudly support any candidate from the GOP against Obama who is taking us to ruin if elected again.  I don't want this country to end up like Greece, no thank you.  

Watch these new RNC ads, very powerful.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IpJ9yQBWkmQ

Value in the GOP!!!!   


ClubDirt PM ClubDirt
Joined: May 2003
Posts: 23659
United States
 
ClubDirt
Participation Meter
Posted: 2/15/2012 10:48:12 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by be easy:



and some of us have been saying this for over two years.

I just can't stomach whoring myself out for a wager. If you bet Obama, you have to vote Obama, and that doesn't sit well with me, as an American


i don't know.  our votes don't mean garbage.  the whole system is fucked, might as well make some money off of it.  i haven't placed any bets though. 
kaponofor3 PM kaponofor3
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 35336
California
 
kaponofor3
Participation Meter
Posted: 2/15/2012 10:55:22 AM
I swear that this thread title when I commented was: "Obama is a lock"

Which mod is having fun with Van?
vanzack PM vanzack
Joined: Nov 2001
Posts: 52495
Equatorial
              Guinea
 
vanzack
Participation Meter
Posted: 2/15/2012 11:00:16 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by kaponofor3:

I swear that this thread title when I commented was: "Obama is a lock"

Which mod is having fun with Van?

DiscoD69 PM DiscoD69
Joined: Mar 2006
Posts: 7937
Canada
 
DiscoD69
Participation Meter
Posted: 2/15/2012 11:53:00 AM
KOAJ 
SarasotaSlim PM SarasotaSlim
Joined: Jan 2007
Posts: 24071
United States
 
SarasotaSlim
Participation Meter
Posted: 2/15/2012 2:12:50 PM
If Obama was a log... what kind of tree would he be ?
KOAJ PM KOAJ
Joined: Oct 2005
Posts: 66698
New Jersey
 
KOAJ
Participation Meter
Posted: 2/15/2012 2:21:02 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by DiscoD69:

KOAJ 


grrrr

been working all day. first time checking in

KOAJ had a hands off and never ever edit anything a poster types unless its personal info
dl36 PM dl36
Joined: Jul 2003
Posts: 27611
United States
 
dl36
Participation Meter
Posted: 2/16/2012 12:44:21 AM
Vanzack,

I wanted your opinion on the math and statistics behind "some current prices that seem to have a lot of value."

http://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=87&sub=101251029



Renton PM Renton
Joined: Oct 2005
Posts: 6240
Ontario
 
Renton
Participation Meter
Posted: 2/16/2012 1:01:02 AM
As many have pointed out, just about all us have conceded that Obama will win re-election.

Obama being a log, is a different story though.
esplanade PM esplanade
Joined: Feb 2008
Posts: 9021
 
esplanade
Participation Meter
Posted: 2/16/2012 2:49:07 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by dl36:

Vanzack,

I wanted your opinion on the math and statistics behind "some current prices that seem to have a lot of value."

http://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=87&sub=101251029





Showing once again that you can't think for yourself................


dl36 PM dl36
Joined: Jul 2003
Posts: 27611
United States
 
dl36
Participation Meter
Posted: 2/16/2012 2:52:33 AM
AcerRubrum PM AcerRubrum
Joined: Feb 2010
Posts: 2098
 
AcerRubrum
Participation Meter
Posted: 2/20/2012 5:24:42 PM
If Obama was a log... what kind of tree would he be ?


Robinia pseudoacacia


dl36 PM dl36
Joined: Jul 2003
Posts: 27611
United States
 
dl36
Participation Meter
Posted: 2/20/2012 5:46:42 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by esplanade:



Showing once again that you can't think for yourself................




you scared?
kickinA PM kickinA
Joined: Oct 2004
Posts: 13462
California
 
kickinA
Participation Meter
Posted: 2/20/2012 8:17:57 PM

It's just a waiting game. The way I see Obama is definitely a LOCK simply because minorities, women, and left leaning white males are much more united than your average centrist divided whites.

You can take that to the bank.

FrontRowCenter PM FrontRowCenter
Joined: Apr 2007
Posts: 6469
Florida
 
FrontRowCenter
Participation Meter
Posted: 2/20/2012 8:26:11 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by kickinA:

It's just a waiting game. The way I see Obama is definitely a LOCK simply because minorities, women, and left leaning white males are much more united than your average centrist divided whites.

You can take that to the bank.


Most Americans I know do not want this country turning into Greece.   
Forum: Politics Page 1 of 13  1 2 3 4 5   »
You have entered the forum as a GUEST. 
You must login/register to post or reply.