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Author: [Politics] Topic: Vitriol Free political odds discussion
dl36 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: BetJamaica.com |
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#51
Posted: 2/12/2012 1:42:33 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SarasotaSlim:

QUOTE Originally Posted dl36

and now he is running to other threads to try to continue the discussion becasue he knows that is not capable of having a vitriol free analysis of his plays...


QUOTE Originally Posted by dl36:

and try posting your answer on this thread please...




You know sarasotaSpin is starting to lose it when he starts getting creapy with the catalog of all my posts that he stalks me with...

This guy is really a piece of work


Keep it up... you are totally winning by looking like a complete psycho-stalker....

are you going to create an alias and throw another " bump tantrum"  like you always do when you get upset?


U mad br0?


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#52
Posted: 2/12/2012 1:44:01 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by dl36:



are you going to hedge with that bet?

can you show me the math behind that bet?

sans the vitriol tho please


lets try this again... hopefully my stalker can stifle himself on what is supposed to be a vitirol free thread...
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#53
Posted: 2/12/2012 1:58:50 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by dl36:




You know sarasotaSpin is starting to lose it when he starts getting creapy with the catalog of all my posts that he stalks me with...

This guy is really a piece of work


Keep it up... you are totally winning by looking like a complete psycho-stalker....

are you going to create an alias and throw another " bump tantrum"  like you always do when you get upset?


U mad br0?


We all know who the stalker is ....I can't be the stalker when you are the one going into my threads bumping them no matter how old they are ..just tonight..

Democrats ARE bailing on Obama .................. (1 2 3 4 5 ... Last Page)

Palin enters the lions den : Veni, Vidi, Vici............. (1 2 3 )

Caption the Secretary of State.. (1 2 

On her birthday Sarah Palin shines brightest at CPAC conference

That's like some little Biotch who complains about being slapped around by a Man and just can't leave him ...ROLF

If you really think I'm stalking you ...why are you bumping my threads.

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#54
Posted: 2/12/2012 2:01:20 AM
Title of the thread : Vitriol Free political odds discussion
 



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#55
Posted: 2/12/2012 2:02:51 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by dl36:



U mad br0?


No ..not in the least ............

Even a lion has to defend himself against gnats and flies ...

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#56
Posted: 2/12/2012 2:24:30 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by dl36:

Title of the thread : Vitriol Free political odds discussion
 





+1
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#57
Posted: 2/13/2012 5:52:00 PM
rather then stalking me on other threads... why not answer the questions on this one?
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#58
Posted: 2/13/2012 6:52:42 PM
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#59
Posted: 2/13/2012 10:41:52 PM
funny to watch you chasing me around this spewing vitirol, yet wont come here and have a simple discussion about the numbers/math...

Any time you are ready to continue the discussion...
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#60
Posted: 2/13/2012 11:16:55 PM
I dominated you 53-47. End of discussion.

Better luck next time, Nancy,


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#61
Posted: 2/14/2012 1:12:35 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by dl36:

Title of the thread : Vitriol Free political odds discussion
 





+2




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#62
Posted: 2/15/2012 3:27:35 AM
how is it that you dominated me in a vitriol free thread?

All I wanted to do was talk about the math/numbers to look at the actual "value" of your proposed wager combinations...
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#63
Posted: 2/18/2012 8:06:39 PM
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#64
Posted: 2/18/2012 9:54:56 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by esplanade:

I dominated you 53-47. End of discussion.

Better luck next time, Nancy,



In what world is 53-47 a domination? What sport or competition would even consider something like that domination? That's not even outside of margin of error in the political world. 
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#65
Posted: 2/18/2012 10:11:40 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Ktrain:


In what world is 53-47 a domination? What sport or competition would even consider something like that domination? That's not even outside of margin of error in the political world. 


X-actly. Tell that to dl. He considers that an OVERWHELMING victory.


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#66
Posted: 2/18/2012 10:59:58 PM
Still liking the +155 way better than your straight obama play. Only someone like you would make assessments on bets a month after the fact.

At the time of the original post, +200 on Newt/Mitt was way above market. +155 or something close to that with even more delegates was a much better play than you made.

I didn't tell you to hedge them (and I know you would have had difficulty with the math anyway). Both were above market options at that point. I don't claim to foretell the future, genius.

Had you mentioned that you thought RS could mess things up, I would have given you some credit, but right now you just look like some Friday morning quarterback.

53-47 baby.
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#67
Posted: 2/18/2012 11:09:59 PM
you getting away from the basic points...

1.  you stated there was value... I have yet to see it

2. I do not agree with your swiss cheese roulette/partial hedge

3.  I stated that I would not even consider a real hedge let alone a partial one on anything below +800 odds...

How am I even wrong on the math or anything I stated?

you keep making claims but not able to actually back anything up on this thread...
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#68
Posted: 2/18/2012 11:13:27 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by esplanade:

Again, pure math..........

1 U on Obama per .85 U on Mitt/Newt

and fine......it's a partial hedge




although you didnt tell me to hedge them... this is your bet on your partial hedge... 

So do you concede not only that your -274 odds partial hedge lacks value but that it is not a logical bet?

Like I have said all along, I dont mind being wrong on what is supposed to be a "vitriol free thread"


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#69
Posted: 2/18/2012 11:14:26 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by esplanade:



X-actly. Tell that to dl. He considers that an OVERWHELMING victory.




When did I say that?
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#70
Posted: 2/19/2012 1:05:03 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by dl36:



3.  I stated that I would not even consider a real hedge let alone a partial one on anything below +800 odds...



This alone proves you to be a moron. If you had the opportunity
to bet:

Basketball prop
First points scored by a starter from team A +200
First points scored by a starter from team B +150

You wouldn't bet it right?? It's not a complete hedge.
It's way under +800.




---------------

(and your math was wrong)
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#71
Posted: 2/19/2012 1:20:26 AM
but that is is a true hedge.... in no way comparable to your swiss cheese roulette hedge... you even admit on your own thread that it is not a true hedge... so trying to compare it to a true hedge is not logical....

and the basic principles which I said earlier still stands... 

1. the size of the bet needed for it to make it worth your while... especially at your -274 odds...

2.  The length of time the money is tied up in the bet... especially considering the amount...

3.  The liability of losing it all...

4.  Your are failing on being vitriol free on your own thread...

I stand by what I say...  and of course as always I am not afraid to be wrong if I am... but your basketball analogy is a fail....

read the thread...  I said it is more like a soccer game where there are 3 outcomes of differing probability...  win, lose, tie... and you are betting on two on a partial hedge leaving the least probably outcome wide open...

wouldnt you agree that the soccer analogy is more accurate then your basketball one?

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#72
Posted: 2/19/2012 1:36:41 AM
it's not a hedge, its an arb
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#73
Posted: 2/19/2012 5:24:42 PM
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#74
Posted: 2/19/2012 9:22:59 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Hirschfelder:

it's not a hedge, its an arb


Nope. If it has a chance to lose, it isn't an arb.

Duh. And for that clueless clown, dl, who piggy backs off anything he can, double duh.

You guys are priceless. 
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#75
Posted: 2/19/2012 10:38:07 PM
yet you refuse to answer the questions, address the issues or tell me where I am incorrect in my math....
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