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Author:	[Rugby] Topic: 6 all blacks released for itm cup finals
Davenz	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Covers Rehab Joined: Oct 2006 Posts: 714 Location: New Zealand	#1 Posted: 10/22/2012 2:53:49 AM Canterbury get : Ben Franks and Wyatt Crockett Auckland get : Charlie Faumuina Otago get : Ben Smith, Tamati Ellison and Adam Thomson Counties get : none
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Breadman7	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: Sportingbet.com \|
Rookie Joined: Jun 2007 Posts: 937 Location: Australia	#2 Posted: 10/22/2012 4:05:56 AM Nice for Otago.... Thanks for the early info Dave.
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Davenz	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Covers Rehab Joined: Oct 2006 Posts: 714 Location: New Zealand	#3 Posted: 10/22/2012 4:39:45 AM No worries BM. Goodluck as always on the punt. Most my betting is on gametime and live, so don't post much these days. Each to his own, doesn't mean you can't also get decent results betting early.
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Chase_Beaverman	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Oct 2007 Posts: 1416 Location: California	#4 Posted: 10/22/2012 5:01:25 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by Davenz: No worries BM. Goodluck as always on the punt. Most my betting is on gametime and live, so don't post much these days. Each to his own, doesn't mean you can't also get decent results betting early. Man you are one strange individual, trolling the absolute crap out the boards one day and being nice the next What's your game??
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Davenz	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Covers Rehab Joined: Oct 2006 Posts: 714 Location: New Zealand	#5 Posted: 10/22/2012 5:12:24 AM My game? to make as much money as I possibly can.
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Davenz	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Covers Rehab Joined: Oct 2006 Posts: 714 Location: New Zealand	#6 Posted: 10/22/2012 5:18:58 AM Bookies have the Otago Counties market incorrect regardless of what happens. Market opened Count 1.40, Otago 2.80.....3 AB inclusions and market moves slightly. Now 1.47 and 2.55. Market should have moved to 1.65 and 2.15 FYI.
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milagrosman	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Sep 2012 Posts: 243 Location:	#7 Posted: 10/22/2012 6:00:30 AM How does that relate to point spread? Thanks
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Davenz	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Covers Rehab Joined: Oct 2006 Posts: 714 Location: New Zealand	#8 Posted: 10/22/2012 6:09:20 AM 6 point fav to now 4.5....but it should be 3 or 3.5 Wouldn't be surprised if by gametime line is 2.5 or 3 flat.....only see Otago firming here, unless injuries hit My thoughts on the other game, again Auckland is over priced For mine it should be : Canterbury 1.45 Auckland 2.55 Which is a big change from the current 1.25 and 3.70. Being a night game helps Auckland. Great value in both dogs early
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Luckylunchbox	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Captain Joined: Feb 2012 Posts: 5160 Location: Australia	#9 Posted: 10/22/2012 8:20:34 AM centrebet still has Otago 3.00 and +6.5 i don't follow ITM but i'm assuming you would recommend taking both?
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milagrosman	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Sep 2012 Posts: 243 Location:	#10 Posted: 10/22/2012 10:42:39 AM Bet375 has Otago at +6.5 and Auckland at +8.5.... Do you have anything posted there on the totals (which I favor) and finally....why does playing at night favor Auckland?? Thanks and best of luck in your wagers.
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I-love-to-win	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Feb 2012 Posts: 104 Location:	#11 Posted: 10/22/2012 3:10:33 PM Otago +6.5 looks good. It should be a close game.
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milagrosman	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Sep 2012 Posts: 243 Location:	#12 Posted: 10/22/2012 7:15:40 PM Davenz Forgot to ask....how much does the addition of the All Black members improve Otago's chances? I seem to recall that they got got 3 AB members a few weeks ago and they really hammered their opponents....Thanks
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Breadman7	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: Sportingbet.com \|
Rookie Joined: Jun 2007 Posts: 937 Location: Australia	#13 Posted: 10/22/2012 7:54:10 PM Listen and learn. Everyone is always learning throughout life. GL to everyone no matter what. Its us against the books so why argue with each other? Save your thoughts and argue with the book for any advantage that you can. Tks again Dave. GL to you to mate.
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Davenz	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Covers Rehab Joined: Oct 2006 Posts: 714 Location: New Zealand	#14 Posted: 10/22/2012 9:33:56 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by milagrosman: Davenz Forgot to ask....how much does the addition of the All Black members improve Otago's chances? I seem to recall that they got got 3 AB members a few weeks ago and they really hammered their opponents....Thanks I'll let you know what I like on gameday. Check this thread then.
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milagrosman	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Sep 2012 Posts: 243 Location:	#15 Posted: 10/22/2012 9:54:16 PM Will do... your input will be most welcome.....
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davopnz	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Sep 2010 Posts: 4962 Location: New Zealand	#16 Posted: 10/23/2012 11:45:59 PM if anyone is wondering what impact otagos all blacks make, just ask bay of plenty who beat them 31-19.
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Breadman7	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: Sportingbet.com \|
Rookie Joined: Jun 2007 Posts: 937 Location: Australia	#17 Posted: 10/24/2012 3:36:10 AM So Otago due then I think. Those 3 all blacks from memory didnt have the best of games. At the moment leaning otago.
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milagrosman	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Sep 2012 Posts: 243 Location:	#18 Posted: 10/24/2012 6:33:39 PM That game that Otago lost was played in Aug.... On sept 14...they got beat by Counties 43-12...and on Sept they beat North Harbor 54-25 which included 3 All Black players.... Note playing North Harbor lot different than Counties..only saying this because I am leaning more to the over than the spread... Comments welcome
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davopnz	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Sep 2010 Posts: 4962 Location: New Zealand	#19 Posted: 10/25/2012 11:59:50 PM look forward to your plays tonight breadman
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Davenz	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Covers Rehab Joined: Oct 2006 Posts: 714 Location: New Zealand	#20 Posted: 10/26/2012 12:07:03 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by Davenz: I'll let you know what I like on gameday. Check this thread then. Like Counties to win tonight. Will be trading live accordingly (keeping Counties winning my better result).
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davopnz	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Sep 2010 Posts: 4962 Location: New Zealand	#21 Posted: 10/26/2012 1:41:40 AM still cant get a good feel for this one
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Davenz	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Covers Rehab Joined: Oct 2006 Posts: 714 Location: New Zealand	#22 Posted: 10/26/2012 1:51:13 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by davopnz: still cant get a good feel for this one Otago under 2.5 tries is still 2.25 at our local.....solid enough
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davopnz	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Sep 2010 Posts: 4962 Location: New Zealand	#23 Posted: 10/26/2012 1:56:15 AM why do you like counties so much tonight?
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Davenz	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Covers Rehab Joined: Oct 2006 Posts: 714 Location: New Zealand	#24 Posted: 10/26/2012 2:15:16 AM I don't.....my best bet is under 2.5 Otago tries....and then trading to hopefully win whoever wins, keeping Counties winning my better result
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Davenz	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Covers Rehab Joined: Oct 2006 Posts: 714 Location: New Zealand	#25 Posted: 10/26/2012 5:18:09 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by Davenz: I don't.....my best bet is under 2.5 Otago tries....and then trading to hopefully win whoever wins, keeping Counties winning my better result $$$$$ Won big on both. Will likely be on Auckland to cover tomorrow. Will confirm tomorrow.
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