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Author: [Rugby] Topic: NRL Finals
blackcrow send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#1
Posted: 9/7/2012 4:13:06 AM
Doggies @ 2.10 centrebet
Both teams come into this game with good form and Manly with the edge in semi final experience. However like the Dogs since they have beaten Manly at their ground which is very hard to do where they tried to bash the Dogs but they held firm. Even if Toovey tries the same tactic, still like the Dogs to withstand them and given that they have the edge in the forwards with their ability to offload as well as make the extra yards, then give their backs like Barba to make further inroads in their defence. The concern for the Manly side is how they tend to switch off in periods of their games which is not what they want at this time of year, and also believe that Hasler is the better coach of the two.
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snake2710
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#2
Posted: 9/7/2012 4:57:08 AM
BOL on them as well
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#3
Posted: 9/7/2012 5:30:31 AM
do you like the under at all?
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#4
Posted: 9/7/2012 8:57:05 AM
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#5
Posted: 9/7/2012 11:44:42 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by blackcrow:

Doggies @ 2.10


Souths @ 2.25 centrebet
Like Manly last night, expect the Melbourne Storm to look to impose themselves early on by trying to bash the hell out of Souths and focus on their semi final inexperience. But doubt that will hurt them as their are some big forwards who can give as good as they get, and once they settle down, like the Souths forwards to dominate the ruck area. They have some good players who can offload while the Storm game is very much one dimensional: get the yards and then get the ball to Cronk, Slater or Smith to do something. But Souths also have players in those positions of similar ability, as well as having other players who have done well for them this year.  Nullify the bif three for the Storm and not much left to make something happen, so like the bunnies even though their record in Melbourne is not good, still believe they have enough to win this.

North Qld -7.5 @ 1.98 centrebet
Cowboys have won 4 straight and have the talent to do very well in these semi finals. Thurston and Bowen are very good attacking players especially close to the line, and behind a very big, mobile forward pack, they should have plenty of room to cut the Broncos up. Tate and Linnett in the centres have also done well for them, and like them to be too good here. The Broncos had lost 6 straight before beating Penrith last week, but their defence, which was a highlight in the first half of the season, has deserted them, and teams are finding gaps all over the place. With the Cowboys two little men pulling the strings, hard to see the Broncos keeping this close

Record: 1-0 (+1.10)
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#6
Posted: 9/7/2012 11:46:08 PM
like the cows play i just dont rate souths with their 4 wins against top 8 teams, i do like the under though. thoughts?
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#7
Posted: 9/7/2012 11:49:40 PM
Like both plays 
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#8
Posted: 9/9/2012 12:10:07 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by blackcrow:



Souths @ 2.25 

North Qld -7.5 @ 1.98 


Canberra -7.5 @ 2.36 centrebet

Record: 2-1 (+1.08)
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#9
Posted: 9/9/2012 12:31:01 AM
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#10
Posted: 9/9/2012 12:42:11 AM
BOL Today and like the play on it as well
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#11
Posted: 9/9/2012 7:53:48 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by blackcrow:



Canberra -7.5 @ 2.36



Record: 3-1 (+2.44)
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#12
Posted: 9/14/2012 4:32:32 AM
North Qld -1.5 @ 2.00 centrebet
North Qld with plenty of confidence coming into this game and they will use their forwards to batter Manly. No different to what Manly will do, as they too will look to soften them up, so not much between the two packs, but the fear for Manly is when, and not if, the Cowboys move the ball wide, then they are in trouble. Matai is out, and Lyon is looking likely to play injured, and with a calf injury, it is hard to push off, so can see Tate and Linnett getting around him. Morris easily got around Lyon last week to set up the opening for the Bulldogs and expect the Cowboys to direct traffic through Manly's make shift centres. The other problem for Manly is that they tend to lose their focus in the second halfs and with players like Bowen ad Thurston who can cut teams in an instant then believe the Cowboys have the players to win this one, and would not be surprised if they blow them out

Record: 3-1 (+2.44)
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#13
Posted: 9/14/2012 4:41:03 AM
Like the play and the write up there as well
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#14
Posted: 9/14/2012 4:50:22 AM
Good luck Blackcrow...


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#15
Posted: 9/14/2012 4:54:59 AM
Snake and emkee, hopefully the eagle does not just land, it crashes and burns


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#16
Posted: 9/14/2012 5:40:40 AM
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#17
Posted: 9/15/2012 2:56:40 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by blackcrow:

North Qld -1.5 @ 2.00


After the bullshit last night, not confident in the Rabbits covering the spread or the Raiders winning. More like the possibility after last nights grinding game between two good defensive sides, that tonight could be a case of a more expansive game from both sides with points being scored.

Souths - Canberra over 44.5 @ 2.15 sportsbet

Record: 3-2 (+1.44)
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#18
Posted: 9/15/2012 3:00:48 AM
good play, the refs will be on souths if anything bud
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#19
Posted: 9/15/2012 3:17:23 AM
Normally would have gone with the Raiders tonight, but after last nights debacle, not sure what to think will happen tonight. Just an insight how i think it will play out:

Souths have won 9 of their last 15 games to teams who did not make the top 8 but lost 5 of these to teams who did make it. Like the Raiders, who have won 6 straight to target them out wide with Ferguson and Earl, and some of their bigger and more mobile forwards like Papali targeting the Souths centres and wingers as not too confident in them in defence. In return, with Croker out, like Taylor to target Thompson's mobility out wide, as he has moved from the forwards to the centres for this game. Souths beat them 36-18 during the season at ANZ, and though they have struggled to put up points in there last few games, like them to bring some spark back in this must win game while Canberra have scored 34+ points in their last 3 games and have scored 40, 36, 20 and 42 points in their last 4 road games against the likes of Melbourne, Cronulla, Penrith and the NZ Warriors
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#20
Posted: 9/15/2012 7:44:23 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by blackcrow:

Souths - Canberra over 44.5 @ 2.15



Record: 4-2 (+2.59)
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#21
Posted: 9/21/2012 4:01:02 AM
Melbourne -5.5 @ 2.10 centrebet
Melbourne -13.5 @ 4.05 centrebet
Melbourne have won their last 6 games and are starting to peak with their run into the finals as they have gotten over their mid year slump. Two weeks ago they showed their class in easily beating the Rabbitohs, 24-6, with their big three in very good form for them. Both forward packs are solid and expect them to sort each other out, and Manly will look to bash the Strom forwards early, but they are up against the best "wrestlers" in the league, and can see the Storm winning the battle there. Neither forward pack generates much yards going forward but the Storm pack is more structured and disciplined, making less errors and giving away less stupid penalties. In the backline, Manly may have the edge apart from Slater and Cronk, but the Storm backline play better as a unit, while the Manly backs can undo much of their good work. The Storm beat the Sea Eagles earlier this year 26-22 at Brookvale with Manly reducing the margin by 4 points right at the end, and this was a top result in a very tough place to win at and that was with Slater out for the game, so now on their home turf, where they are very strong themselves, and Manly do not have a good record there, like them to win, and would not be surprised that they blow them out.

Record: 4-2 (+2.59)
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#22
Posted: 9/21/2012 7:48:15 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by blackcrow:

Melbourne -5.5 @ 2.10
Melbourne -13.5 @ 4.05


Record: 6-2 (+6.74)
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#23
Posted: 9/21/2012 7:49:21 AM
never saw your plays damn...always take your opinion into account.


like doggies tomorrow?
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#24
Posted: 9/21/2012 7:50:57 AM
Nice work mate...
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#25
Posted: 9/21/2012 7:52:10 AM
Clinic
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