Posted: 8/30/2012 11:02:37 PM
Had a pretty positive last week with the NRL and AFL. Only had a few plays but cashed in. Record stands at 13-8 +14.84 units.
Have a couple of 3 unit plays tonight that I'm fairly confident on starting with the AFL.
Hawthorn vs West Coast
This match should define finals football despite us still being a week away. West Coast had their best game all year last week. Nic Nat and Dean Cox ensured that their team got first touch around the stoppages all night and that domination showed up on the scoreboard in the end. With Hawthorn's ruck being a little out of sorts lately expect West Coast to cash in at the stoppages.
Both defenses look fairly solid, with the edge going to Hawthorn here because they seem to turn defense into attack and really get out on the fast break with their backs. West Coast aren't as potent but normally do fairly well one-on-one inside their own forward 50. This will have to be the case tonight if they're to shut down Buddy Franklin, Roughead and a host of Hawthorn small forwards.
The key to the game is limiting Hawthorn's uncontested ball. They normally just pick teams apart with their superb foot skills so West Coast has to show up or risk a blow out on the road. Both teams have a lot at stake - Hawthorn look to sew up top spot, whereas West Coast look to secure a top 4 spot and avoid a potential elimination final against a hot Freo side. Throw in the fact that the last 3 games between these two have been decided by less than a combined 20 points and the only option is to take West Coast and the points. Hawthorn to win by about 2 or 3 goals.
3 units on West Coast +26.5 at 1.92