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Author: [Rugby] Topic: Super 15 week 5
davopnz send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#1
Posted: 3/20/2012 10:24:57 PM
So another good week for me bar a few drunk bets on the waratahs when i leaned force pre game lmao but anywho...i really need to post all my plays. A lot of value out there this week


Canes to get the victory looks good
Sharks to get the victory looks good
Cheetahs to beat the cap looks good
Highlanders 13+ - i reckon they'll be keen to blow out an opponent rather than grind out a victory and I think they can do it.


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HeadOverHeart
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#2
Posted: 3/20/2012 10:52:14 PM
Davo, do us a favor mate and post the lines as you have them now.


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HeadOverHeart
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#3
Posted: 3/20/2012 10:58:44 PM
Blues -3  Hurricanes

Rebels EV  Force

Waratahs -3  Sharks

Crusaders -17.5  Cheetahs

Brumbies +3  Highlanders

Bulls -8.5  Reds

Lions +8.5  Stormers


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#4
Posted: 3/21/2012 12:12:12 AM
-3.5
pick em\
-3.5
-15.5
-3.5
-8.5
-8.5

17 points for the cheetahs is nice
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#5
Posted: 3/21/2012 1:05:18 AM
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snake2710
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#6
Posted: 3/21/2012 1:30:20 AM

Cheetahs look good at that value. Canes look good as well. Highlanders on the bounce back after last week.

Just some early leans at the moment

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#7
Posted: 3/21/2012 1:39:49 AM
highlanders +1.5, canes +7.5, cheetahs +21.5 multi pays $3.58

cheetahs could get blown out of the water....but i hope not, they play some really positive footy and their forwards should front up well to the crusaders. crusaders could be pumped though and have a history of smashing the cheetahs
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#8
Posted: 3/21/2012 3:43:59 AM
Really like the Canes and Highlanders
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#9
Posted: 3/21/2012 3:45:55 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by HeadOverHeart:

Blues -3  Hurricanes

Rebels EV  Force

Waratahs -3  Sharks

Crusaders -17.5  Cheetahs

Brumbies +3  Highlanders

Bulls -8.5  Reds

Lions +8.5  Stormers


Blues look good to me. They need a win bigtime. Specially at home.

Rebels Draw????

Cheetahs. Too many points way too many. carter back is good for rugby. and yeh im a aussie. but he is a great player.

small lean brumbies maybe over.

Maybe reds with the points but need to look morre into that. probably pass.

Think stormers roll here but again need to look morre into it.

Can see one big bet for me so far. rest looking like degen bets for some viewing pleasure.

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#10
Posted: 3/21/2012 4:03:47 AM
Blues -3  The Blues have some injury problems and the Hurricanes are one of the big surprises of the new season but I still think they'll win by 3-7 points.

Force EV  No game to bet on but if I had I would take the Force. They suck less.

Waratahs -3/Sharks +3 Another difficult one.The Waratahs lost at home to the 2nd worst team in the competition and the Sharks were down 17 points and also had some problems with the Lions the week before. I don't trust either team.

Cheetahs + 17.5  Way too many points. With big spreads like this there's always the danger of a backdoor cover in the last 5-10 minutes.

Brumbies +3  The Highlanders were lucky the last 2 weeks, only a matter of time before they lose their first game. So why not this week.

Bulls -8.5  The Bulls will be motivated after the home loss to the Blues and the Reds have too many injury problems. Will Genia be the kicker again?

Lions +8.5  Lions aren't that bad at home and it should be a close game.
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#11
Posted: 3/21/2012 5:33:00 AM
not backing the blues just cos they need a win...luke braid is a big loss for them, canes look to be the deal. for once i actually like the highlanders...and others dont damnit lol. i just still think the brumbies are crap and the chiefs played down to their level but hey myabe not.


what do you think your big play will be breadman?




cheetahs seems to be the play of the weekend atm
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#12
Posted: 3/21/2012 2:52:04 PM

Cheetahs look to be great value. I member think last year they were getting 26 points agains the chiefs and that game ended in a draw from memory. They will lose by 10-14 in my opinion.

Brumbies also with the points at home. They played ok against the chiefs and now at home they should have enough and predicting a let down spot for the highlanders.

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#13
Posted: 3/21/2012 5:12:28 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by davopnz:

not backing the blues just cos they need a win...luke braid is a big loss for them, canes look to be the deal. for once i actually like the highlanders...and others dont damnit lol. i just still think the brumbies are crap and the chiefs played down to their level but hey myabe not.


what do you think your big play will be breadman?




cheetahs seems to be the play of the weekend atm

LMFAO. I was thinking the Blues.

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#14
Posted: 3/21/2012 8:23:59 PM
Brumbies and Reds lines intrigue me.

Highlanders in great form, yet only giving up 3 against Bumbles?  BAITING for Highlanders money.  Brumbies have to be the play.

Defending champs getting a whopping 8.5?  Yeah, I know their top two 10's are out, but still a striking number to give the Reds.  Which means, the books wouldn't give 8.5 unless they felt the Bulls could cover it.  Bulls have to be the play.

Food for thought. 

 
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#15
Posted: 3/21/2012 8:28:52 PM
Lions + look the bet of the round along with the Crusaders for me.

Will have to look at the team news in Safferland first though
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#16
Posted: 3/21/2012 8:29:37 PM
Barnes named at 10 for the Tahs. Very odd timing for this game 3:30pm AEST???
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#17
Posted: 3/21/2012 10:22:47 PM
why are the crusaders the play?

gotta love afternoon footy.
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#18
Posted: 3/22/2012 4:50:19 AM
mealamu out, huge loss

and yet the line keeps going up lol

canes all night
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#19
Posted: 3/22/2012 6:15:25 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by davopnz:

mealamu out, huge loss

and yet the line keeps going up lol

canes all night


Davo, explain the line movement, what happened?  I have been busy all day with a huge number of things and am not up to speed yet.

Thanks! 
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#20
Posted: 3/22/2012 6:17:23 PM

The line went from 3.5 to 5.5 now and they have lost one of their best players.

Interesting line movement

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HeadOverHeart
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#21
Posted: 3/22/2012 6:24:00 PM
When was Mealamu announced out?
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#22
Posted: 3/22/2012 6:31:53 PM

Ah today from memory and we had the movement today as well

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#23
Posted: 3/22/2012 9:14:17 PM
he was announced out yesterday so the books definitely know...he is the heart of soul of their team and a bloody good hooker...
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HeadOverHeart
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#24
Posted: 3/22/2012 10:52:21 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by davopnz:

he was announced out yesterday so the books definitely know...he is the heart of soul of their team and a bloody good hooker...


Then why did the line move in favor of the Canes? 
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#25
Posted: 3/22/2012 11:09:07 PM
i have no idea...
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