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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: Testing 2 systems
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#1
Posted: 4/2/2013 10:41:10 AM
The first system is a modified version of James Jones Double Play System.  Backtesting has shown a profit 10 of 12 seasons, a winning percentage of 56% and an average profit of 19 units on 200 predictions per season.  The system will be only flat betting, there won't be any chasing.  I'll refer to this as Modified Double Play (MDP).

The Second system involves using a progression to predict winners.  I'll be listing games at 1-3 units.  The progression won't determine the size of the bet, it only determines what teams to bet.  The size of the bet will be based on what my backtesting says the strength should be.  I'm still backtesting this and expect to be another week before I have the final numbers.  I'll call this one Power Play (PP).

April 4th

MDP
Oakland Athletics -140

PP
3 unit
East Carolina +8 -105
St. Louis Cardinals +112
Los Angeles Dodgers -108

1 unit
Chicago Bulls +1½ -105
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Posted: 4/2/2013 2:52:04 PM
For PP I'll be adding picks throughout the day. And maybe I'll get the date right too.

April 2nd

MDP
Oakland Athletics -140

PP
3 unit
East Carolina +8 -105
St. Louis Cardinals +112
Los Angeles Dodgers -108

2 unit
St. Louis Cardinals/Arizona Diamondbacks Under 9 -110

1 unit
Chicago Bulls +1½ -105
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#3
Posted: 4/2/2013 7:07:03 PM
adding

3 unit
Washington Capitals -110
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#4
Posted: 4/2/2013 7:40:16 PM
adding

3 unit
Phoenix Coyotes +120
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#5
Posted: 4/3/2013 12:22:03 PM
Yesterday
MDP 0-1 -140
PP 5-2 +1067

April 3rd
MDP
Pittsburgh Pirates -133
Toronto Blue Jays -170
New York Yankees -117
Tampa Bay Rays -131
Oakland Athletics -147

PP
3unit
Los Angeles Dodgers -125
New York Yankees -117
New York Rangers -115
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#6
Posted: 4/3/2013 1:09:12 PM
adding
3 units
New York Knicks +1½ -105
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#7
Posted: 4/3/2013 1:16:24 PM
adding
3 units
Pittsburgh Penguins/New York Rangers Over 5 -130
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#8
Posted: 4/3/2013 4:49:23 PM
adding
3 units

Washington Wizards +4½ -107
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#9
Posted: 4/3/2013 6:17:30 PM
adding
3 units
Los Angeles Angels +114
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#10
Posted: 4/3/2013 8:02:05 PM
adding
3 units
Edmonton Oilers -125
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#11
Posted: 4/4/2013 10:04:13 AM
April 4th

MDP 3-3 -127
New York Yankees -118
Toronto Blue Jays -164

PP 9-6 +920
3 unit
Detroit Red Wings/Phoenix Coyotes Over 5 -135
New York Yankees -118
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#12
Posted: 4/4/2013 12:59:35 PM
adding
3 unit
Tampa Bay Rays -110
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#13
Posted: 4/4/2013 2:13:13 PM
adding
3 unit
Nashville Predators -125
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#14
Posted: 4/4/2013 2:37:31 PM

For the added plays can you say if they are MDP or PP plays...

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Posted: 4/4/2013 6:23:12 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by MONEYMACHINEMAN:

For the added plays can you say if they are MDP or PP plays...


All added plays are PP

adding
1 unit
San Antonio Spurs +7½ -108
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#16
Posted: 4/4/2013 7:01:52 PM
adding
3 unit
Detroit Red Wings +102
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#17
Posted: 4/4/2013 9:38:18 PM
upgrading San Antonio to 3 units
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#18
Posted: 4/5/2013 6:17:54 PM
MDP 5-3 +73 passing today

PP 11-10 +191
1 unit
Santa Clara/George Mason Under 147½ -105

2 unit
New York Rangers/Pittsburgh Penguins Over 5 -132

3 unit
Ottawa Senators -125
Milwaukee Brewers -135
Dallas Mavericks +2 -109
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#19
Posted: 4/5/2013 6:22:05 PM
adding

3 unit Cincinnati Reds -118
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#20
Posted: 4/5/2013 7:31:07 PM
adding
3 unit
Memphis Grizzlies +1.5 -102
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#21
Posted: 4/6/2013 11:46:55 AM
April 6th

MDP 5-3 +73
New York Mets -165
Toronto Blue Jays -139

Philadelphia Phillies -119

PP 13-15 -664
1unit
Wichita State/Louisville Over 132½ -105

2unit
Washington Capitals -120

3unit
Houston Rockets/Denver Nuggets Under 212½ -105
Syracuse +2 -109
Chicago Blackhawks -125
Philadelphia Flyers +110
Montreal Canadiens -107
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#22
Posted: 4/6/2013 2:03:05 PM
adding
1unit
Toronto Maple Leafs/New Jersey Devils Under 5½ -153
Indiana Pacers -3½ -109
Atlanta Hawks +9 -105
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#23
Posted: 4/6/2013 6:01:40 PM
adding
3 unit
Arizona Diamondbacks -104
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#24
Posted: 4/6/2013 7:59:57 PM
adding
2units
Minnesota Timberwolves -6 -105
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#25
Posted: 4/7/2013 12:13:21 PM
April 7th
MDP 8-3 +373
Houston Astros +147

PP 20-19 -315
1unit
Memphis Grizzlies -5½ -108

3unit
Washington Nationals +101
Milwaukee Brewers +101
Detroit Red Wings -108
St. Louis Blues/Detroit Red Wings Under 5½ -131
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