NFL 2012 handicapping strategy / Matchup Rating System

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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: NFL 2012 handicapping strategy / Matchup Rating System
sports_Network PM sports_Network
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Posted: 11/16/2012 8:10:05 AM

Sunday,November 18th,2012 [MRS*]qualifying projections:

Top Rated "Total action"

Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers UNDER 41.5 / -11O  4.4units

Chicago Bears @ S.F. 49ers UNDER 39 / -110  4.4units    (MondayNightFootball)

Top Rated "Underdog action"

Indianapolis Colts -10 /-110  4.4units @ N.E. Patriots

Top Rated "Favorite action"

T.B. Bucaneers -1 /-110  4.4units @ Carolina Panthers

Top Rated "MoneyLine action"

New Orleans Saints -190 ML /  3.8units @ Oakland Raiders

Chicago Bears @ S.F. 49ers -185 ML /  3.7units

 

*the MRS is based on individual OFFENSE/DEFENSE in-game handicapping systems, connected to 'situational' play projections.

Jattdoit PM Jattdoit
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Posted: 11/16/2012 4:52:34 PM
Good to see you back SN. 
oilcountry99 PM oilcountry99
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Posted: 11/16/2012 7:24:51 PM
Amazing! He's back...let's go s_N!!!
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Jattdoit PM Jattdoit
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Posted: 11/16/2012 9:33:26 PM
SN are these the official plays for this week?
sports_Network PM sports_Network
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Posted: 11/17/2012 11:30:11 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Jattdoit:

SN are these the official plays for this week?

yes, the thread will be updated until kick-off through out the upcoming week. the plays are official- derived from the MRS and the attached NFL handicapping formulas; which justifies result management, and adjustment technique.

sports_Network PM sports_Network
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Posted: 11/18/2012 10:15:08 AM

MRS Proposition Handicaps 11/18/12

San Diego Chargers vs Denver Broncos

Ist Half: Broncos -3.5 [-120]  4.8units

Ist Half: UNDER 24.5 [-110]  4.4units

Pre In-Game: Broncos -12.5 [+450]  2.25units

Pre In-Game: Broncos +8.5 [-655]  6.55units

Pre In-Game: Chargers +12.5 [-740]  7.4units

Pre In-Game: Chargers -6.5 [+525]  2.62units

take note: The value to prop wagering is the investment of hedging  to contain risk, and manage the initial ROI

All posted odds at the time of publishing;  that are connected to the MRS handicap are derived exclusively from CantorLV SportBooks. The sanctioned on-line/off-shore sportbooks that coincide with propositional wagers posted in this thread, can be found at the following> Pinnacle | Bet365 | 5Dimes | StanJames | BetFairEx |  I am certain their are numerous books available taking 'prop' bets, the five I have mentioned, are certified, and recommended  as a courtesy to the cappers who may not have availability through their present "recreational classified sportsbook"  may today's action bring prosperity to the cappers who (seriously) participate in NFL investments....the best to you always

ERBATIZ PM ERBATIZ
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Posted: 11/18/2012 10:30:55 AM
akuwudikeeze PM akuwudikeeze
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Posted: 11/18/2012 10:43:31 AM
glad you are back
sports_Network PM sports_Network
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Posted: 11/18/2012 10:51:11 AM
[Quote: Originally Posted by sports_Network]

Sunday, November 18th, 11/18/12

Today's Unlimited Action (Final Card)

Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions OVER 5O / -120  4.8units

Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers UNDER 41.5 / -11O  4.4units

Chicago Bears @ S.F. 49ers UNDER 39 / -110  4.4units    (MondayNightFootball)

Indianapolis Colts -10 /-110  4.4units @ N.E. Patriots

T.B. Buccaneers -1 /-110  4.4units @ Carolina Panthers

New Orleans Saints -190 ML /  3.8units @ Oakland Raiders

Chicago Bears @ S.F. 49ers -185 ML /  3.7units

S.D. Chargers @ Denver Broncos -3.5 /-120  4.8units [1st Half]

S.D Chargers @ Denver Broncos UNDER 24.5 /-110 4.4units [1st Half]

 

The MRS is based on individual OFFENSE/DEFENSE in-game handicapping systems, connected to 'situational' play projections.

akuwudikeeze PM akuwudikeeze
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Posted: 11/18/2012 11:00:34 AM
SN i cant find any prob for chargers and broncos at pinnacle. also checked thegreek.com i cant even find broncos first half -3.5 and only getting -5.5 first half. am abit confusion can you please explain more
akuwudikeeze PM akuwudikeeze
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Posted: 11/18/2012 11:10:23 AM
just saw your final card, thanks. but what of the props?
sports_Network PM sports_Network
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Posted: 11/18/2012 11:25:10 AM

Please pardon a typographical error*

*Indianapolis Colts +10 /-110  4.4units @ N.E. Patriots

in post #1 and #9 the Colts are listed as -10 this was a typo error, and incorrectly published.

 

sports_Network PM sports_Network
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Posted: 11/18/2012 11:29:22 AM
[Quote: Originally Posted by sports_Network] 

Sunday, November 18th, 11/18/12

Today's Unlimited Action (Final Card)

Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions OVER 5O / -120  4.8units

Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers UNDER 41.5 / -11O  4.4units

Chicago Bears @ S.F. 49ers UNDER 39 / -110  4.4units    (MondayNightFootball)

Indianapolis Colts +10 /-110  4.4units @ N.E. Patriots

T.B. Buccaneers -1 /-110  4.4units @ Carolina Panthers

New Orleans Saints -190 ML /  3.8units @ Oakland Raiders

Chicago Bears @ S.F. 49ers -185 ML /  3.7units

S.D. Chargers @ Denver Broncos -3.5 /-120  4.8units [1st Half]

S.D Chargers @ Denver Broncos UNDER 24.5 /-110 4.4units [1st Half]

 

The MRS is based on individual OFFENSE/DEFENSE in-game handicapping systems, connected to 'situational' play projections.

akuwudikeeze PM akuwudikeeze
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Posted: 11/18/2012 11:30:55 AM
also you posted T.B. Buccaneers -1 /-110  4.4units @ Carolina Panthers so is the play T.B. Buccaneers -1? becuase in my book  T.B. Buccaneers is +1? just want to understand how your plays are placed so i dont make mistakes. Appricate your response
akuwudikeeze PM akuwudikeeze
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Posted: 11/18/2012 11:40:08 AM
ok, i have found it now at pinnacle for -1. thanks. but am getting S.D. Chargers @ Denver Broncos -3.5 /-120  4.8units [1st Half] for -5.5, is it still a play? or do I wait for the line to come down?
sports_Network PM sports_Network
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Posted: 11/18/2012 12:08:10 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by akuwudikeeze:

ok, i have found it now at pinnacle for -1. thanks. but am getting S.D. Chargers @ Denver Broncos -3.5 /-120  4.8units [1st Half] for -5.5, is it still a play? or do I wait for the line to come down?

Always bet the NFL 10 minutes til' kickoff, their are no exceptions to this unwritten rule of handipping the NFL, AND GAINING POINTSPREAD ADVANTAGE;

Jattdoit PM Jattdoit
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Posted: 11/18/2012 5:37:04 PM
Are thes e the official plays for the week? 
Jattdoit PM Jattdoit
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Posted: 11/18/2012 6:09:18 PM
Sorry for the above post. No freaking idea how that got reposted from earlier
sports_Network PM sports_Network
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Posted: 11/20/2012 7:11:39 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by sports_Network:

 

MRS Performance Results: 

Sunday, November 18th, 11/18/12

Today's Unlimited Action (Final Card)

Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions OVER 5O / -120  4.8units [L]

Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers UNDER 41.5 / -11O  4.4units [W]

Chicago Bears @ S.F. 49ers UNDER 39 / -110  4.4units    (MondayNightFootball) [PUSH]*

Indianapolis Colts +10 /-110  4.4units @ N.E. Patriots [L]

T.B. Buccaneers -1 /-110  4.4units @ Carolina Panthers [W]

New Orleans Saints -190 ML /  3.8units @ Oakland Raiders [W]

Chicago Bears @ S.F. 49ers -185 ML /  3.7units [W]

S.D. Chargers @ Denver Broncos -3.5 /-120  4.8units [1st Half] [W]

S.D Chargers @ Denver Broncos UNDER 24.5 /-110 4.4units [1st Half] [W]

* Bears vs 49ers / the TOTAL opened at 39.5, at the time of posting it slipped to 39, the 'action' was intense on the UNDER, the balance concluded a hour before kickoff, to 36, and further to 35.5  with thirty minutes until kickoff. Although listed as a PUSH at 39; This wager was 'scratched' and would be classified as a "no play" based on erratic line movement.

 

The MRS is based on individual OFFENSE/DEFENSE in-game handicapping systems, connected to 'situational' play projections.

sports_Network PM sports_Network
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Posted: 11/20/2012 7:24:38 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by sports_Network:

MRS Proposition Handicaps 11/18/12

RESULTS:

San Diego Chargers vs Denver Broncos

Ist Half: Broncos -3.5 [-120]  4.8units  [W]

Ist Half: UNDER 24.5 [-110]  4.4units  [W]

Pre In-Game: Broncos -12.5 [+450]  2.25units [OPPOSITE,NO ACTION]

Pre In-Game: Broncos +8.5 [-655]  6.55units [W]

Pre In-Game: Chargers +12.5 [-740]  7.4units [W] hedge

Pre In-Game: Chargers -6.5 [+525]  2.62units [OPPOSITE,NO ACTION]

take note: The value to prop wagering is the investment of hedging  to contain risk, and manage the initial ROI

All posted odds at the time of publishing;  that are connected to the MRS handicap are derived exclusively from CantorLV SportBooks. The sanctioned on-line/off-shore sportbooks that coincide with propositional wagers posted in this thread, can be found at the following> Pinnacle | Bet365 | 5Dimes | StanJames | BetFairEx |  I am certain their are numerous books available taking 'prop' bets, the five I have mentioned, are certified, and recommended  as a courtesy to the cappers who may not have availability through their present "recreational classified sportsbook"  may today's action bring prosperity to the cappers who (seriously) participate in NFL investments....the best to you always

jaime2309 PM jaime2309
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Posted: 11/20/2012 12:14:17 PM

Sports, glad to see your back. Missed the first week, but I also noticed you had a lot of plays as well, so I probably wouldnt have tailed either way.

 

Good luck this year!

In sports_network we trust!

sports_Network PM sports_Network
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Posted: 11/21/2012 8:56:49 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by jaime2309:

Sports, glad to see your back. Missed the first week, but I also noticed you had a lot of plays as well, so I probably wouldn't have tailed either way.

 

Good luck this year!

In sports_network we trust!

May your NFL Sundays, be prosperous; the best in your winning direction

sports_Network PM sports_Network
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Posted: 11/21/2012 9:43:23 AM

Three on Thursday, November 22, 2012  'early' line play*

12:30 PM EST

Houston Texans -4.5 / -162 ML @ Detroit Lions +4.5 / +160 ML

4:15 PM EST

Washington Redskins +3 / +164 ML @ Dallas Cowboys -3 / -165 ML

8:20 PM EST

N.E. Patriots -7 / -265 ML @ N.Y. Jets +7 / +220 ML

 

*MRS will release one qualifying game, (of the three) on Thursday AM  [attached to prescribed propositions]

nghia1973 PM nghia1973
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Posted: 11/21/2012 10:05:45 AM
Missed your 1st post.  Looking forward to Thursday picks. BOL
sports_Network PM sports_Network
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Posted: 11/21/2012 10:47:15 AM

1st Half 'strong' Leans

NFL Thursday, November 22, 2012

Detroit Lions +3.5  EVEN

Dallas Cowboys -2  EVEN

N.Y. Jets +4.5  -110

 

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