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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: NBA System Plays
akell09
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akell09
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#101
Posted: 11/30/2012 1:02:02 PM

Road favorite system  (Brooklyn -4)    3.52 to win 3.2

Labby line:  1  1  1  1  2.2       Posted unist won +.8, from beginning +21.8

This play bothers me because Brooklyn has already beat Orlando twice this month.  I really think Phil. -3.5 is the better play, but I'll stay with Brooklyn since they have the better record.

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Air1
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#102
Posted: 11/30/2012 4:45:10 PM
Lets get that $ Akell

Plays
Road Favorite System Nets -4. risking 3.52 units to win 3.2 units

My system Plays
SAC sys #5 + Sys #2 on Sac win vs ind ATS. Total Bet 5.7 units
Mem sys #8 2nd and final Bet on Det to win ATS Bet 4.2 Units.
TBD Lac 1Q home fav ML chase A bet
Mem 1Q home fav ML chase A bet tonight.

Stiflers pending Plays:
- S2 Cle fade, B Bet on 30.11.2012
- S1 Det fade, B Bet on 30.11.2012
- S1 Tor chase, B Bet on 30.11.2012
- S1 Utah fade, A Bet on 30.11.2012
- S3 Ind fade, B Bet on 30.11.2012
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#103
Posted: 11/30/2012 10:29:51 PM
Mike Conley Jr. makes 26-foot three point jumper WITH FUKING 4 SECONDS LEFT!!!
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#104
Posted: 11/30/2012 11:19:48 PM
Our first loss was bound to happen. At least it is only a 2 game chase loss.
Lets hope for the Kings to pull through
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akell09
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#105
Posted: 12/1/2012 11:16:31 AM

Road favorite winner (Brooklyn -4) 

12/1 play (Ok. City -8)    2.2 units to win 2.

labby line: x  1  1  1  x,   I start over at:  1  1  1  1

units won +4,  from season beginning +25

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#106
Posted: 12/1/2012 3:21:13 PM
What's tonight looking like?
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akell09
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#107
Posted: 12/1/2012 3:37:48 PM

I don't think there are any plays in Air's systems.

Stifler's plays:

S3) fade Indiana C game  (Golden St -4)

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#108
Posted: 12/1/2012 3:42:34 PM
ooo i also have warriors -4 and okc -8 bol!!!
Posted using a mobile device.
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#109
Posted: 12/2/2012 3:02:15 AM
Thanks Akell for posting the plays. Forgot to do some in the morning before work.
I posted before, but I think most people missed it. LAC 1Q home fave ML chase. That cashed in making it a 3-0 night.

My Systems have no upcoming plays.
Stifler's only play (so far) is to fade Cle on monday. 3rd and final play/bet for S2.

I currently have 2 streakers.
OKC W 5
Orl L 4
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akell09
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#110
Posted: 12/2/2012 8:55:50 AM

Road favorite winner (Ok. City -8)  2.2 to win 2

Labby line:  x  1  1  x    I will set the line back to:  1  1  1  1

posted units won +6      from the season beginning +27

12/2  No Play.   There are only two games and the home team is favored in both.

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#111
Posted: 12/3/2012 12:31:39 PM
no plays from my system today.

Akells system is mil at -4

stifler's system:
S2 Cle Fade. final bet of 3 game chase.
S3 Tor Fade, first of 4 game chase.
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akell09
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#112
Posted: 12/3/2012 1:15:13 PM
Road favorite play 12/3  (L.A. Clippers -1.5)   Clippers have a better record then Milwakee.  Play 2.2 units to win 2.
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#113
Posted: 12/3/2012 5:07:38 PM
thanks akell. i am new to the system
Wondering, if on a certain day there are 2 teams with the same winning record on the road, which one would your system pick?
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akell09
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#114
Posted: 12/3/2012 5:44:04 PM
Since I have only been tracking this for a year and a half, I'm don't remember running into that yet.  But I could see if happenning.  I would look a what both teams have done recently in their last few road games.  And I would probably pick that has not covered their last road game and go with them.  It's basically a judgement call.
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#115
Posted: 12/3/2012 8:51:29 PM
i see.... if all those judgmental factors are equal and you had to rely on the line, which do you think would be better - the team favored more or less?
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#116
Posted: 12/4/2012 1:39:52 AM
unbelievable that both losses occurred on the same night.

                     05-12    | When played @ |
................... | Record | 1U since 05-06  | Playing @   | 12-13 Record
System #1: | 88-1.... | +79.74 Units | 3 unit chase    | +6 2-0 (0 pending)
System #2: | 75-11.. | +37.5 Units.. | 2 unit chase    | -4.8 1-1 (0 pending)
System #3: | 35-1.... | +26.74 Units | 1 unit chase    | (0 pending)
System #4: | 32-1.... | +23.74 Units | 1 unit chase    | +1 1-0 (0 pending)
System #5: | 77-44.. | +28.6 Units.. | 1.5 unit 1 play | -.5 1-1 (1 pending)
System #6: | 24-1.... | +15.74 Units | 1 unit chase    | +1 1-0 (0 pending)
System #7: | 12-4.... | +7.6 Units..... | 3 unit 1 play *  | +3 1-0 (0 pending)
System #8: | 44-5.... | +25.85 Units | 2 unit chase    | -6.8 0-1 (0 pending)
Total Units Won This Season                                     -1.1 Units

* = Replaced previous system play.

Current Streakers
OKC 5 W

PLAYS!

No upcoming plays.


Experimental Plays Record: (won't count to total record)
1Q ML +11.5 Units .... these plays are from a system i am going to develop + very minimal capping.
1Q ATS +3 Units
NBA non-system plays: - 1.1 + 1.5 Units = +.4 Unit
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akell09
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#117
Posted: 12/4/2012 12:35:57 PM

Road favorite loser (LA Clippers -1.5)  We should have this one. They had a four point lead with about 20 seconds left but missed some free throws to let Utah cover.

12/4 play (Miami -10)  3.52 to win 3.2 units.

Labby line:  1  1  1  1  2.2

To answer your question Air, I really have not come across this scenario as of yet.  So I'm not sure what I would exactly do.

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#118
Posted: 12/4/2012 1:17:33 PM
Lets just hope we dont play the wrong team if that ever occurs.

Stiflers records:
S1: W 10 | L 1 (+1,75 units)
S2: W 1 | L 0 (+1,00 units)
S3: W 5 | L 0 (+5,00 units)
S4: W 12 | L 0 (+13,00 units 1, 2 unit play by him)

pending:
TOD
AY - S4 Mem Fade. A bet on 4 game chase. Phoenix +10
- S3 Tor fade, B Bet on 05.12.2012
- S1 SA, A Bet on 05.12.2012
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akell09
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#119
Posted: 12/5/2012 12:56:56 PM

Road favorite loser (Miami -10)

Labby line:  1  1  1  1  2.2  3.52

12/5 play (New York -7.5)  4.97 units to win 4.52

 

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#120
Posted: 12/5/2012 1:05:54 PM
Current Streakers
OKC 6 W!!
Min 4 W

Stiflers records:
S1: W 10 | L 1 (+1,75 units)
S2: W 1 | L 0 (+1,00 units)
S3: W 5 | L 0 (+5,00 units)
S4: W 12 | L 0 (+13,00 units 1, 2 unit play by him)

pending:
S4 Mem Fade. A bet on 4 game chase PUSHED, so new A Bet on 07.12.2012
- S3 Tor fade, B Bet on 05.12.2012 Game 2 of 4 on Sac -2.5
- S3 GS fade, A Bet on 05.12.2012 Game 1 of 4 on Det wait on better line
- S1 SA, A Bet on 05.12.2012 Game 1 of 3 on Spurs -8.5
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akell09
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#121
Posted: 12/6/2012 5:43:46 PM

Road favorite loser (NY -7.5)

labby line: 1  1  1  1  2.2  3.52  4.97

12/6  no plays

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#122
Posted: 12/7/2012 1:46:07 AM

Current Streakers
OKC 6 W!!
Min 4 W


Stiflers records:
S1: W 11 | L 1 (+2,75 units)
S2: W 1 | L 0 (+1,00 units)
S3: W 6 | L 0 (+6,00 units)
S4: W 12 | L 0 (+13,00 units  - 1, 2 unit play by him)
pending:
- S4 Mem Fade. A bet on 4 game chase PUSHED, so new A Bet on 07.12.2012
- S1 Sac fade, A Bet on 07.12.2012 1st of 3 game chase
- S3 GS fade, B Bet on 07.12.2012 2nd of 4 game chase
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akell09
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#123
Posted: 12/7/2012 12:54:51 PM

Road favorite.

labby line: 1  1  1  1  2.2  3.52  4.97

12/7 play ( Memphis -7.5 )  6.57 units to win 5.97.

posted units won -4.69, since season start +16.31

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#124
Posted: 12/8/2012 3:53:08 AM
Plays!!!
Okc waiting......1/7

Current Streakers

Cle 4 L
BK lost 3, THAT IS IT. Alls other teams don't have a streak greater than 2 right now.

Stiflers records:
S1: W 11 | L 1 (+2,75 units)
S2: W 1 | L 0 (+1,00 units)
S3: W 6 | L 0 (+6,00 units)
S4: W 12 | L 0 (+13,00 units  - 1, 2 unit play by him)
pending:
All 3 games lost!
Will update when next games are after stifler does.
- S4 Mem Fade. A bet on 4 game chase PUSHED, so new A Bet on 07.12.2012
- S1 Sac fade, A Bet on 07.12.2012 1st of 3 game chase
- S3 GS fade, B Bet on 07.12.2012 2nd of 4 game chase
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akell09
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#125
Posted: 12/8/2012 11:35:41 AM

Road favorite loser (Memphis -7.5)               

labby line: 1  1  1  1  2.2  3.52  4.97  6.57

12/8 play ( San Antonio -9.5 )  8.33 units to win 7.57

posted units won -11.26, since season start +9.74

Some bad luck in this 4 game losing streak. I lost two of the four games by a half a point.  I was due for some losses because in November it hit 70% and last season's record was just over 60%, I'll try to ride this out, but one or two more losses and I'll adjust my labby line.

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