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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: NBA System Plays
Air1 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#1
Posted: 11/8/2012 2:47:15 AM
Continuing from last season in this thread I will post NBA streakers. Had +29 units by the end of the season.
I will also include some other plays from systems that i have researched. 1Q ML plays and some Overs/Unders.

Current Streakers
Knicks W3
Bos L4
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#2
Posted: 11/8/2012 9:57:14 AM
Glad to see you back.  I want to see how these systems do over a full regular season. 
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#3
Posted: 11/8/2012 11:56:14 AM
Any chance you can explain the system?

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#4
Posted: 11/8/2012 1:09:07 PM
@Jaime Systems can be found in this thread
There are like 6/7 of them. I may have done some minor adjustments, but find the other thread and they are in the first post.

Over/Under is still being researched, will post if I have something there.

1Q plays I am currently talking with another member about and will post here if we find any plays.
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#5
Posted: 11/8/2012 1:10:03 PM
In this section of the forums*
not this thread, but on i made the previous season
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#6
Posted: 11/8/2012 2:39:10 PM
First Over under System -
Dating back to start of 05-06 Season. At the beginning of the season only. Go the opp way of the first Over/Under result. Do so chasing for 4 games.

losers:
jazz 5 games
okc 5 games
phil 5 games
mil 5 games
gsw 5 games
gsw 07-7
lal 11 - 6 games
Kings  5 games
Mavericks CURRENT 5 games

in a 4 game chase you lose A game 1.1 units, B game 2.31 units, C game 4.85 units, D game 10.2 units.
Total is 18.4 units
so result of system: 30* 8 = 240 - 9= 231 -(18.4*9)= +65.4 units
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#7
Posted: 11/10/2012 12:36:26 AM
Mavericks Under hit. I chased the first 2 games and forgot to chase tonight. Wow, I screwed myself again.

I did not say in the thread to take them, so I will not count it to the record in this thread.
I hope some people jumped on it though
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#8
Posted: 11/10/2012 10:13:51 AM
When I made my plays yesterday morning, the Dallas total was 197.  I thought about it, but laid off.  I was surprised to see the total closed at 198.5, but I would have lost if I played it.
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#9
Posted: 11/10/2012 2:15:24 PM
Glad you laid off akell.
Nice to see you are still around

ALL my plays are using Covers closing lines! ANyone who follows, please keep that in mind.
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#10
Posted: 11/11/2012 10:38:28 AM
Current Streakers
NY 4
Min 4
Den 5
Chi 4

Experimental Plays:
(won't count to total record)
1Q ML or ATS chase today with
LAC as A game, OKC as B game and LAL as C game

Also
Start a separate chase on LAC game 1 of 3 on 1Q ML
Start a separate chase on OKC game 1 of 3 1Q ML..
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#11
Posted: 11/14/2012 5:46:53 PM
Still early guys, yet to have any streakers, but with 5 teams up there will definitely be one soon!!!
Current Streakers
NY 5
Min 5
Mem 5
Den 5
Chi 5 (L)

Experimental Plays:
(won't count to total record)
ML +2 Units,
ATS +2 Units
Pending (B game) on LAC. -185 A game.
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#12
Posted: 11/16/2012 2:59:44 AM
Current Streakers
NY 6 W's
waiting on a loss!
Mem 6 W's waiting on a loss!


System Records: Ordered from best to worst, added a few.
System #1: 88-1 + 79.74 Units
System #2: 75-11 +37.5 Units
System #3: 35-1 +26.74 Units
System #4: 32-1 +23.74 Units
System #5: 77-44 +21 Units
System #6: 24-1 +15.74 Units
System #7: 123-9 +58.74 Units
System #8: trying to find again
System #9: just a mess of other potential systems combined.

System 1-7 +263.2 units through 6 seasons
averaging 43.87 Units a season.
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#13
Posted: 11/17/2012 12:39:34 AM
Current Streakers
Sac 7 L's
with a PUSH, waiting on a win!
Mem 6 W's waiting on a loss!

PLAYS!!!!!!!!!!

Finally got some
1 Unit on Ind to win on 11/18.
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#14
Posted: 11/17/2012 10:47:26 AM
Found missing system #8: 44-5 +25.85 Units
Brings the season Average up to 48.1 units per each of the last 6 seasons.

Also 1Q plays
+ 2 units on ML if playing ats +2 units.
Game 2 on LAC to win lost -185 plus 1 unit.
Game 1 on SA
Game 1 on Bos.

And a 1Q ML chase on Bos to SA to the LAC
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#15
Posted: 11/17/2012 4:52:19 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Air1:

Current Streakers
NY 6 W's
waiting on a loss!
Mem 6 W's waiting on a loss!


System Records: Ordered from best to worst, added a few.
System #1: 88-1 + 79.74 Units
System #2: 75-11 +37.5 Units
System #3: 35-1 +26.74 Units
System #4: 32-1 +23.74 Units
System #5: 77-44 +21 Units
System #6: 24-1 +15.74 Units
System #7: 123-9 +58.74 Units
System #8: trying to find again
System #9: just a mess of other potential systems combined.

System 1-7 +263.2 units through 6 seasons
averaging 43.87 Units a season.

GL this season Air. Can you help explain these records? For ex System #2 is 75-11 for +37.5 units? How so? I know I am missing something obvious here but help me out if you can. thanks!
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#16
Posted: 11/17/2012 7:49:19 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by stickbit:


GL this season Air. Can you help explain these records? For ex System #2 is 75-11 for +37.5 units? How so? I know I am missing something obvious here but help me out if you can. thanks!

Each System involves a series of plays

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#17
Posted: 11/18/2012 12:36:03 AM
Welcome back stickbit.
Nice to have you abroad SuperHappyTime (wanted to use the acronym SHT, but people might misread it.)

Nice day today. won all 4 1Q ML plays.
THIS IS AN EXPERIMENT! I do not play them myself. A ML chase has devastating effects on a bankroll and your wallet - be wary!


@SB - Each system varies. They are either a 1 game play or a 2/3 game chase.
So 77-44 +21 units is a 1 game play. (minus 1.1 units a loss)
88-1 + 79.74 Units is a 3 game chase. (minus 8.26 units a loss)
75-11 +37.5 Units is a 2 game chase (Answer to your Q: minus 3.46 units a loss and 75 wins would be - 75- (11*3.41=37.51) ==> 75-37.51= +37.49 units.

Any other questions I'll try to answer as best I can.
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#18
Posted: 11/18/2012 12:40:07 AM
HOW THE HELL WAS DAL A DOG VS. CLE??????

I just saw they lost 6 in a row ats so dallas will be a play starting the 19th.

Current Streakers
Sac 7 L's
with a PUSH, waiting on a win!
Mem 8 W's waiting on a loss!
LAC 5 W's in a row

PLAYS!!!!!!!!!!

1 Unit on Ind to win on 11/18.
Dal
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#19
Posted: 11/18/2012 1:37:20 AM

Hey Air1!

Why is IND a play?

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#20
Posted: 11/18/2012 12:37:43 PM
garbage! Never mind! It was late and I didn't look at the rules! Now IND will win SU! Lost my avitar again!
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#21
Posted: 11/18/2012 9:32:01 PM
Here is where things get a little weird we are currently on the B game of the chase fading the NYK. However! at the same time another system is to play them!
so on 11/20 I am playing to win 2.1 units on NO and 1 unit on NYK.

@ Packman- Avatars on covers keep going off and on.
Plays are ats NOT SU

Current Streakers
Sac 8 L's
with a PUSH, waiting on a win!
Mem 8 W's waiting on a loss!
LAC 5 W's in a row

PLAYS!!!!!!!!!!

on 11/20 I am playing to win 2.1 units on NO and 1 unit on NYK
Dal TBD
1/2 a unit on SAC to win ats - 4 game chase.

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#22
Posted: 11/19/2012 12:52:31 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Air1:

Welcome back stickbit.
Nice to have you abroad SuperHappyTime (wanted to use the acronym SHT, but people might misread it.)

Feel free to use the acronym anytime I make a bad post (like above) or a bad pick.  I'm not use to a site that doesn't allow post edits in the forums, although I completely understand why it's done here.

[Quote: Originally Posted by Air1] Here is where things get a little weird we are currently on the B game of the chase fading the NYK. However! at the same time another system is to play them!
so on 11/20 I am playing to win 2.1 units on NO and 1 unit on NYK.

Yea, this seems a little weird, but couldn't there be a system here? Systems 1 and 2 will conflict for winning streak teams on Game B if there's a win for Game A. So what about a chase starting with Game C hoping for the opposite result of Game B?

I don't have access to a database (or know how to use one), but I'm pretty certain might be a bad system. On the System 1 continuation it probably has a 50-50 or so chance of winning if it makes it to Game C, and there's little connection to hitting on Games D & E (Otherwise, System 1 would be worth going to more than 3 games). System 2 on the other hand points to good fortune, since it's nearly undefeated, but again, it could strike well on the first game more often than the last.

I am pretty much theorycrafting that we should double down on System 2 if Game B is a NOLA ATS win, but I have no data to back it up

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#23
Posted: 11/19/2012 7:05:15 PM
Air - so systems 1-6 are your 6=6 systems but what about systems 7 and 8?
Posted using a mobile device.
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#24
Posted: 11/20/2012 2:32:16 AM
@Degen check your mailbox

@SHT - I thought of maybe doubling down on system #1 if the a game was lost, but then if system 1 loses you lost BIG. its a 4 game chase - game 1 -1.1 units. then you switch to win 2 units and chasing 3 games the other way SO game 2 is - 3.41 units game 3 is 7.16 units game 4 is 12.87 units for a total of 24.54 units.
If one system hits and the other misses you lost 8.26 units, but still win 1 unit for a net loss of 7.26 units.

I have been thinking of playing these systems for different amounts. To win from.5 units to 2/3 units.

I have either work or college 7 days a week and that leaves me with a minimal amount of time to spend on researching. Still looking more into streakers and will look into what you said about these contradicting systems SHT.
Also I am about half done with the overs/unders streakers and will look into what happens to the team that snaps a streak as well as others.
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#25
Posted: 11/20/2012 2:40:32 AM
Current Streakers
Sac 8 L's
with a PUSH, waiting on a win!
Mem 8 W's waiting on a loss!
LAC 6 W's waiting on a loss!

PLAYS!!!!!!!!!!

on 11/20 I am playing to win 2.1 units on NO and 1 unit on NYK
Dal TBD
1/2 a unit chase on SAC to win ats starts vs LAL - 4 game chase. I don't like it when a team Pushes during a streak!
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