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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: Homestand modified system...
jaime2309 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
jaime2309
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#76
Posted: 11/17/2012 7:46:23 AM
Plays for tonight:

Spurs first half v Denver. I still dont have a line on my book but the full game line is at -6.5, so I'm guessing line will be at 3.5 or so.

Pending chase: Sacramento first half (C Bet).

I am thinking about just eliminating the B bet in this chase. Just first half chases which is what I discussed with MCshady. You can do as you wish as this wasnt my system to begin with, I'm just trying to make it more efficient and less 'c' bets to have to put in.

2012 YTD
4-0, +4 units.
Pending plays
Sacramento C game vs Brooklyn on 11/18.

11/17
Spurs first half.




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#77
Posted: 11/17/2012 1:36:31 PM
Yeah I got -3.5 Spurs
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#78
Posted: 11/17/2012 2:14:36 PM
11/17
Spurs first half got mine in at -3.5 (-110) as well.

Good luck to everyone tonight.

2012 YTD
4-0, +4 units.

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#79
Posted: 11/17/2012 6:27:40 PM
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#80
Posted: 11/17/2012 9:37:46 PM
Spurs first half easy winner. If only all the winners were this easy.

1-0, +1 unit.

2012 YTD
5-0, + 5 units.

Sacramento chase pending.
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#81
Posted: 11/17/2012 9:47:11 PM
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#82
Posted: 11/18/2012 2:13:50 PM
damn i got the kings at +1.5
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#83
Posted: 11/18/2012 3:23:51 PM
Got them@+1.5 as well....lost 5 halves in a row @ home with a day off...feel confident
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#84
Posted: 11/18/2012 5:52:38 PM
2012 YTD.

5-0, +5 units.

Kings +1.5 tonight.

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#85
Posted: 11/18/2012 6:05:44 PM
I like Kings full game as well. Let's hope this system hits again!
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#86
Posted: 11/18/2012 7:08:41 PM
Chasing kings second half (-1.5).

Good luck.
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#87
Posted: 11/18/2012 7:10:00 PM
D chase at -1.5 kings?
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#88
Posted: 11/18/2012 7:26:20 PM
Yeah I took them second half.
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#89
Posted: 11/18/2012 8:25:47 PM
 Whew that was a nail biter!!! Good stuff though we got the W which is all that matters! Does that mean since it is a chase system that it is perfect record still?
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#90
Posted: 11/18/2012 8:25:54 PM
nice sweat but winner with kings second half.

1-1 today + 1 unit.


2012 YTD CHASE RECORD
6-0, +6 units!!! Cheers guys.
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#91
Posted: 11/18/2012 8:26:30 PM
Yep perfect chase record still. Cant beat that.
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#92
Posted: 11/18/2012 8:36:21 PM
Damn..thought that the 1st half was the last game of the chase...oh well
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#93
Posted: 11/18/2012 9:45:22 PM
Congrats on another win! Jaime have you or anyone had a chance to backtest previous seasons...prior to last season?
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#94
Posted: 11/18/2012 10:44:34 PM
I backtracked last season and the year before as well but haven't finished. I posted results in the thread. I've been busy with work this week and last abd haven't had a chance to finish. Married with kids doesn't give me much time to finish.
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#95
Posted: 11/19/2012 12:14:33 AM
I think I may have missed a game in the minnesota homestand. Keeping track of this is harder than I thought, but I was able to get a little bit more organized so I can really get a good grasp on this posting and stuff.

Having said that does anyone know of any sites where second half lines can be seen from past games?

Dallas and memphis begin their homestand tomorrow night. The objective for me is to make this an easy system to follow, and making plays on second halfs are hard because we have to be glued to the tv or refreshing our scoreboard on our phone to see if we should make a play on the second half. Going forward I will now only be making plays on first halfs and if they lose chase the next first half on a separate game. But, this system only starts after the home team losses their first first half.

Any questions let me know.


2012 YTD CHASE

6-0, + 6 UNITS

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#96
Posted: 11/19/2012 12:08:27 PM
I was thinking of running a similar chase Jaime...I'm in the same boat. trying to watch and react to halftime scores all the time drives me nuts. Started to work on a 1st half system before the season started but like you I have wife and kids...so little time and didn't get very far. 

Do you think its best to chase homestands only...or filter and chase maybe the best 10 first half teams? Thoughts anyone?
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#97
Posted: 11/19/2012 12:09:44 PM

Dallas and Memphis tonight. If they dont cover their first half, the chase begins on their next home game.

2012 YTD

6-0, + 6 UNITS

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#98
Posted: 11/19/2012 12:28:52 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by stickbit:

I was thinking of running a similar chase Jaime...I'm in the same boat. trying to watch and react to halftime scores all the time drives me nuts. Started to work on a 1st half system before the season started but like you I have wife and kids...so little time and didn't get very far. 

Do you think its best to chase homestands only...or filter and chase maybe the best 10 first half teams? Thoughts anyone?

Yeah man having a wife, kids and a job takes up too much of my time and having to look at scores is a pain as well.

To answer your question about the top 10 teams, I say no. One thing I have noticed is that when bad teams are playing at home they have just as good of a chance of covering the first half as the favorites do at home. In fact, I noticed that teams like Boston two years ago struggled mightly in covering their first halfs. They would usually come back and win the game in the second half but struggled in the first. But teams like the Kings or Nets or even GSW were always close to covering or covering their first halfs and would eventually get blown out in the second half.

I am only going to chase the first half after the first FIRST half of a 3 or more game homestand has not been covered by the home team. I will not chase after a C bet. A,B and C and thats it. I'm up 6  units already in this short chase which brings me up to $150 profit so far at $25 a unit. Everyone else that may be following, you know what you can afford to lose or win so its up to you. Either way good luck everyone and hope that this season we hit it off good.

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#99
Posted: 11/19/2012 12:32:35 PM
Excellent points - agreed! I will be chasing along with you so good luck to us! For fun I might do a 2nd chase fading road teams (minus the top 3-4) in the 1st half that cover the 1st game/1st half of a road trip - 2 game chase. Thoughts?
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#100
Posted: 11/19/2012 1:42:59 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by jaime2309:

Dallas and Memphis tonight. If they dont cover their first half, the chase begins on their next home game.

2012 YTD

6-0, + 6 UNITS


Correct me if I'm wrong but isn't Charlotte a play tonight against Milwaukee 1H? They are on a 4 game homestand and didn't cover their last gm 1H vs. Memphis.  Please advise, thanks!
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