Therizz's NHL Opening Game Fav 2012-13

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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: Therizz's NHL Opening Game Fav 2012-13
Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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quote#176
Posted: 3/6/2013 12:55:05 PM

With Carolina winning on the regular chase last night..

Regular chase record:

23-2

A 15-10

B 7-3

C 1-2

We have Anaheim on the A game tonight on the regular chase.

 

Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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quote#177
Posted: 3/7/2013 10:35:11 AM

With Anaheim winning on the regular chase last night..

Regular chase record:

24-2

A 16-10

B 7-3

C 1-2

No game today, PHX doesn't qualify.

Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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quote#178
Posted: 3/7/2013 12:19:31 PM
Just curious if anyone is still following and playing this system. I'm playing most plays and making some $.
therizz PM therizz
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quote#179
Posted: 3/7/2013 6:11:53 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Danrules24:

Just curious if anyone is still following and playing this system. I'm playing most plays and making some $.


First couple losses scared them off DR.  You have to use labby for this or it can get brutal.  Either way, good job keeping up with it.  Other than the C bets things are getting close to where it normally runs.  That being said I would be just fine if the C game record just stayed right at 1-2 for the rest of the season
SweetDickWormy PM SweetDickWormy
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quote#180
Posted: 3/7/2013 6:37:16 PM
Still with you Dan, very much appreciate you keeping this going!  
Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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quote#181
Posted: 3/7/2013 8:25:33 PM

Very good. Tracking is easy. I work from home so basically on the computer almost 15 hours a day.

Yes, the couple losses really hurt for those using Martingale.

Rizz, how do you bet a labby line on a chase system like this? One for A games, one for B, one for C?

grecycle99 PM grecycle99
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quote#182
Posted: 3/7/2013 8:38:23 PM
I'm with you dan.

Still 3 games on LA do we play on double dip again?
grecycle99 PM grecycle99
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quote#183
Posted: 3/7/2013 8:41:45 PM
I'm with you dan.

Still 3 games on LA do we play on double dip again?
grecycle99 PM grecycle99
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quote#184
Posted: 3/7/2013 9:04:31 PM
I'm with you dan.

Still 3 games on LA do we play on double dip again?
grecycle99 PM grecycle99
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quote#185
Posted: 3/7/2013 9:05:41 PM
sorry for the triple post, didn't know that I was posting again
Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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quote#186
Posted: 3/7/2013 9:57:19 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by grecycle99:

I'm with you dan.

Still 3 games on LA do we play on double dip again?

Sorry, I missed this one. Yes LA on the double dip system A Game.

Jattdoit PM Jattdoit
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quote#187
Posted: 3/8/2013 12:51:37 AM
With you dan. So far so good.
therizz PM therizz
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quote#188
Posted: 3/8/2013 8:25:35 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Danrules24:

Very good. Tracking is easy. I work from home so basically on the computer almost 15 hours a day.

Yes, the couple losses really hurt for those using Martingale.

Rizz, how do you bet a labby line on a chase system like this? One for A games, one for B, one for C?



Dan,
I run an aggressive labby for this which works nicely as there are limited plays going on at any one time.  If the lines get to heavy I just split the numbers.

Make a separate line for each Game level A, B, and C bets

50-50
50-50
50-50

Say I play 150 to win 100 on a Game 1.  If it loses I split the amount and split it on that line and the one below

50-125
50-125
50-50

So my next A bet I play to win 175 as well as my B bet.  This spreads the burden of recovering loses through all levels of games.  If we go on a losing streak and the numbers get too big I will just split the bigger number.  I try to do that very rarely.  The biggest key is to make sure your original base bet is comfortable for your bankroll (I generally don't set it at more than 2-3% of my bankroll)

Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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quote#189
Posted: 3/8/2013 11:09:47 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by therizz:



Dan,
I run an aggressive labby for this which works nicely as there are limited plays going on at any one time.  If the lines get to heavy I just split the numbers.

Make a separate line for each Game level A, B, and C bets

50-50
50-50
50-50

Say I play 150 to win 100 on a Game 1.  If it loses I split the amount and split it on that line and the one below

50-125
50-125
50-50

So my next A bet I play to win 175 as well as my B bet.  This spreads the burden of recovering loses through all levels of games.  If we go on a losing streak and the numbers get too big I will just split the bigger number.  I try to do that very rarely.  The biggest key is to make sure your original base bet is comfortable for your bankroll (I generally don't set it at more than 2-3% of my bankroll)

Very interesting, much appreciated. I thought about this yesterday but struggled with what to do if there are 2 or more plays on the same day for the same line. For example 3 teams play on the A game on the same day. I'd run into this with baseball systems more than hockey. Last year on the RPI baseball system there would have been numerous times that there were 2-4 teams on the same line on the same day.

Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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quote#190
Posted: 3/8/2013 11:19:08 AM

With LA losing on the double dip A game last night..

Record 12-1

A 10-4

B 1-2 (LA pending Sat vs Calgary)

C 1-1

For the regular chase, no games today, Colorado and Florida do not qualify.

Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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quote#191
Posted: 3/9/2013 11:34:11 AM
Double dip chase, we have LA on the B game today.
Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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quote#192
Posted: 3/10/2013 12:24:42 AM

Posting this early and assuming LA holds on to their 5-2 3rd period lead.

Double dip record

Record 13-1

A 10-4

B 2-2

One regular chase game on Sunday, MINN (if they qualify vs. Van).

Jattdoit PM Jattdoit
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quote#193
Posted: 3/12/2013 10:26:20 AM
STL A game? 
Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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quote#194
Posted: 3/12/2013 1:25:26 PM

STL A game on the regular chase I guess depending on what lines you look at. I see it ranging from -120 to -130. The first two games of this homestand are SJ and Phx followed by Anaheim. It's -130 at the RedRock which is where I bet, so I'll play it as a 2 game chase for 1/2 of what I usually do. BOL everyone.

Columbus and Dallas do not qualify.

Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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quote#195
Posted: 3/12/2013 10:46:59 PM

With STL winning on the regular chase last night..

Regular chase record:

25-2

A 17-10

B 7-3

C 1-2

Upcoming possibilities:

3/14 Tampa 3, Toronto 3, Van 4

3/15 Edm 4

3/16 Colo 3, LA 5, Pitt 3

Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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quote#196
Posted: 3/13/2013 10:35:45 PM

Looks like we have some plays on Thursday.

Van will qualify

Tampa will be close. Seeing -125 or -130 now. I'm playing it.

Toronto will not qualify against PITT.

Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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quote#197
Posted: 3/14/2013 1:03:28 PM

On the regular chase:

VAN A game

Tampa (-125) and Toronto (dog) do not qualify.

Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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quote#198
Posted: 3/15/2013 2:02:31 PM

With VAN winning on the regular chase last night..

Regular chase record:

26-2

A 18-10

B 7-3

C 1-2

No game today, EDM does not qualify. VAN moves to the double dip chase for Saturday!

Upcoming possibilities:

3/16 Colo 3, LA 5, Pitt 3 (plus VAN on the DD)

3/18 ANA 5

3/19 CAR 3, NYI 4, WIN 4

3/21 NASH 4, OTT 5

BigTenWatto PM BigTenWatto
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quote#199
Posted: 3/16/2013 8:14:48 AM
Hey Dan,

Any idea how much the 2 C losses generated in lost dollars? At 26-2 I would expect you are still profitable but, by how much?

If you don't know, let me know who the losses were and I will research it.

Thanks
Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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quote#200
Posted: 3/16/2013 12:38:30 PM

We have VAN on the double dip A game today.

We have LA and PITT on the regular chase A game.

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