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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: Thursday Night Football Unders
Burly send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
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#1
Posted: 9/14/2012 11:43:36 PM

Since 2009 the unders on TNF are 18-9

thats a good % to start with, now add a filter:

when the total is 42 or below at closing the record is 10-1

i will try and post any plays that come up during the season

 

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#2
Posted: 9/19/2012 5:53:00 AM
10-1 OVER OR UNDER
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#3
Posted: 9/19/2012 1:55:54 PM
Under
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#4
Posted: 9/20/2012 10:44:02 AM
[Quote: Originally Posted by Burly]

Since 2009 the unders on TNF are 18-9

thats a good % to start with, now add a filter:

when the total is 42 or below at closing the record is 10-1

i will try and post any plays that come up during the season

 

Burly,  hope this isn't a stupid question but is this NFL or college?  Thanks for the info!!!
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#5
Posted: 9/20/2012 12:26:29 PM

Definitely NFL.

Just be careful, because for the 3 years prior to the OP's data, this TNF under went 10-17. (From 2006-2008)

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#6
Posted: 9/20/2012 1:48:11 PM
Thank You!!!
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Burly send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
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#7
Posted: 9/20/2012 7:47:11 PM

yep that is true, i started looking further and i have started looking into a second filter which would be total of overs between both teams must be greater than total of unders on the season to be considered a play.

I will post info from 2006-present once i get a chance

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#8
Posted: 9/24/2012 2:30:19 PM
Very husky trend Burly - carrying a lot of weight your discerned data !

This one, along with your other 'BUTT' trend , gets TNF to yield upto 3 very strong plays.

Ostensibly, as Berners-Lee is to the Web, so Burly is to TNF data mining.
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#9
Posted: 9/25/2012 12:52:42 AM

If Cle Balt total drops to 42 or less

Under will be a confirmed play

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#10
Posted: 9/25/2012 1:42:39 AM

Thank you  for last week winners

I already play under 43.5

Please post this week winners.

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#11
Posted: 9/27/2012 10:59:35 AM
Total has risen to 44, do you suggest staying away?
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#12
Posted: 9/27/2012 7:33:48 PM
Yes this is a no play for me
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#13
Posted: 9/28/2012 9:26:08 AM
another under....nice
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#14
Posted: 9/28/2012 2:51:16 PM
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#15
Posted: 10/4/2012 6:47:22 PM
Guessing your taking the U at 39.5
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#16
Posted: 10/4/2012 7:54:02 PM
there has been no "confirmed plays" but i do like any under with a total less than 42
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#17
Posted: 10/4/2012 11:12:33 PM
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#18
Posted: 10/4/2012 11:57:50 PM
woooooooooo!
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#19
Posted: 10/5/2012 8:29:28 AM
Let's say a total is 43, would you ever buy to 42 and then go under?
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#20
Posted: 10/5/2012 11:42:05 AM
This continues to be money, nice hit last night, I was on it. Gave most of it back as I took Ari pk too but, stili nice to be up a little.
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#21
Posted: 10/5/2012 12:28:00 PM
3 units last night, under now 11-1 when the line is less than 42.5
Home Dogs are now 14-13 SU this season, and TNF home dogs with worse records 7-4 ATS over the last 2+ seasons (short sample)

Burly, still breaking down bye week intel, will send it when finished... if it shows any good trends
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Burly send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
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#22
Posted: 10/5/2012 2:00:19 PM
Hardy I have some bye week intel that I've been working as well I will pm you sometime tonight some very interesting systems which I must credit WinAllSports for giving me the ideas of how to break it down
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Burly send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
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#23
Posted: 10/8/2012 2:31:23 PM
For Pit/Ten game if total drops to 42 it will be a confirmed play
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Pendo
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#24
Posted: 10/15/2012 6:47:42 PM
Burl The Earl,
Confirm Sea-San
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Burly send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
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#25
Posted: 10/16/2012 12:34:57 AM

Sea - San will not be a confirmed play but the total is under 42

 

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