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[Systems & Strategies] Topic: 2012 NCAAF CAPPER EXTRAORDINAIRE |
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DegenGamble |
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#76 Posted: 9/5/2012 10:45:41 PM So one question Irage - if the lines are available for the games above - why don't you lock them in? Do you feel all the game lines will move in your favor? |
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akuwudikeeze |
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#77 Posted: 9/6/2012 5:03:31 AM Irage Cincinnati is -4 on my bookmaker not +4.5?
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CoachIV |
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#78 Posted: 9/6/2012 10:17:25 AM Is this now a completely different system from last year? Keep up the good work. |
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frazierboy |
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#79 Posted: 9/6/2012 12:20:00 PM who u like tonight
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akuwudikeeze |
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#80 Posted: 9/6/2012 12:34:32 PM Irage in your plays you put in
THURSDAY Cincinnati +4.5
while on TheGreek and pinnacle sports book Cincinnati is - 4.5. Did you make a mistake or what? Please clarify
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buntyketti |
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#81 Posted: 9/6/2012 12:42:01 PM irage can you clarify if the bolded picks are the only picks officially locked in to be okayed so far,
too many questions , its getting popular time  |
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ApacheM |
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#82 Posted: 9/6/2012 4:21:28 PM My guy has Cinn-6 |
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Gator11 |
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#83 Posted: 9/6/2012 5:09:12 PM BOL irage!  |
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irage |
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#84 Posted: 9/6/2012 5:51:58 PM Cinncy should win outright tonight. Take it down to -1.If Cincy is favored I would still take them but only by 2 or 3. |
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DegenGamble |
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#85 Posted: 9/6/2012 6:56:49 PM You got a great line IRage - mine has it at -4.5 and hasn't moved - guess ill have to lay off this one |
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irage |
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#86 Posted: 9/6/2012 10:13:25 PM Degen:
The lines are important because the prediction generator gives me a margin of win, I have to watch the lines. In most cases it doesn't matter, but in this game Cincy was the DOG, so I jumped on it. |
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irage |
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#87 Posted: 9/6/2012 10:31:01 PM akuwudikeeze:
I got lucky and got Cincy at +2, but I got in before the lines started adjusting. |
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irage |
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#88 Posted: 9/6/2012 10:32:04 PM buntyketti:
The bolded picks are my personal favorite. |
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DegenGamble |
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#89 Posted: 9/6/2012 10:46:22 PM So - irage is it safe to lock in your Sat plays if I get the same lines now - or is there a chance that some of your Saturday pick will end up being a no play? |
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nghia1973 |
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#90 Posted: 9/6/2012 11:26:57 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by irage:
Screw the RPI, I was never convinced it worked for football. I adjusted the filters and have a few games already. Western Kentucky is locked in and I betting on them to cover. Tread lightly this week, lets see if the filters can hold up for at least one week. There are still a bunch of games that have no lines yet, so stay tuned. Watch that Oklahoma line, I expect them to favored by at least 43, if they open under 30 take Oklahoma before the line adjusts. Lets get back on track.
WEEK TWO 3 - 7 - 0
THURSDAY Cincinnati +4.5
SATURDAY Western Kentucky +40 Michigan -20 Bowling Green -7.5 Kansas St. -6.5 Washington +22 Nebraska -4 Central Florida +14.5
Bowling Green is @ -16.5 still a bet?
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irage |
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#91 Posted: 9/7/2012 12:24:33 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by nghia1973:
Bowling Green is @ -16.5 still a bet?
Bowling Green should be good to go even at 16. The computer is giving them 25, but I usually like to create some wiggle room and 16 is the absolute MAX. I would pass on this game. I am much more cautious with FAV's.
There are no games tomorrow, so I will update all the lines tomorrow night.
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bruin95 |
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#92 Posted: 9/7/2012 1:07:51 AM Irage, where do you bet? Cincinnati opened up as a 3.5 favorite, or better, EVERYWHERE. I don't see how you could have possibly got them as a dog. If you did, I need to get action with that book, LOL! The line closed at around -6. |
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CannedGoods |
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#93 Posted: 9/7/2012 10:30:29 AM I'm friggin loving that K-St. -7. This isn't 2003. Hurricanes blow.
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irage |
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#94 Posted: 9/7/2012 4:03:06 PM W. Kentucky good to go.Kansas St good to go Nebraska good to go Central Florida good to go
All others I have reservations on.
The book I used was the Rainbow in Wendover, NV. Got the line as soon as it hit the board. There lines are regulated from Reno. I wonder if it was a fuckup. All my online books started at -3. |
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irage |
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#95 Posted: 9/7/2012 11:53:45 PM Lets rock this girl.
WEEK TWO 4 - 7 - 0
THURSDAY Cincinnati +4.5 WIN
SATURDAY Western Kentucky +40 PENDING Kansas St. -6.5 PENDING Nebraska -4 PENDING Central Florida +14.5 PENDING
These games are pending. As soon as I get lines I can verify if they will be plays or not.
Boston College ? Buffalo ? BYU ? California ? Colorado ? Colorado St ? E. Michigan ? Florida St. ? Georgia Tech ? Louisville ? Marshall ? Miami Ohio ? Minnesota ? N. Texas ? N. Illinois ? Oklahoma ? Rutgers ? San Jose St. ? SMU ? S. Alabama ? TCU ? Tennessee ? UNLV ? UTSA ? Virginia Tech ? Washington St ? W. Michigan ?
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irage |
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#96 Posted: 9/8/2012 12:07:08 AM OK, so we are down to 3. Bolded games are my best picks. Maybe we will get a few more tomorrow.
WEEK TWO 4 - 7 - 0
THURSDAY Cincinnati +4.5 WIN
SATURDAY Western Kentucky +40 PENDING Kansas St. -6.5 PENDING Nebraska -4 PENDING
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glefkb01 |
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#97 Posted: 9/8/2012 9:44:34 AM dont like cent florida??anymore |
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irage |
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#98 Posted: 9/8/2012 11:16:55 AM The numbers say Ohio St by -7 not 18, but the sudden shift in line tells me they know something I don't. It's just not worth the risk, when the other 3 are more solid.
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glefkb01 |
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#99 Posted: 9/8/2012 2:21:25 PM my guy wont gimme line for bama game....so its kstate and nebraska for me |
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irage |
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#100 Posted: 9/8/2012 2:54:32 PM Glef, this one is for you.
Oregon St +6.5, great dog play |
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