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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: 2012 NCAAF CAPPER EXTRAORDINAIRE
irage
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irage
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#1
Posted: 8/27/2012 6:34:30 PM
Well here we go. After killing it in MLB this year, I closed out in July up 30k. Now, I hope to up the ante in college football. This is a pure capping strategy. Much of this is based on a relative power index, strength, opponent, player performance and flat out experience. I've had a few years of good success and hope to continue.



RPI Visitor: 40
RPI Home: 38


0 - 0 - 0


WEEK ONE

LSU -43 (H41) PENDING
Houston -36.5 (H45) PENDING

Looks.............. this list will narrow on game day.
South Carolina
UCLA
Minnesota
Stanford
West Virgina
Penn State
Northwestern
Ohio St.
Iowa St.
California
Nebraska
Miami Florida
Iowa
Colorado
Georgia
Florida
Texas
USC
Rutgers
Oklahoma
Washington
Oregon
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#2
Posted: 8/27/2012 6:43:22 PM

I'm new to this forum and I was wondering if you could give some details on this strategy.

Thanks

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irage
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#3
Posted: 8/27/2012 8:05:58 PM
I gave all the details in the opener.

"Much of this is based on a relative power index, strength, opponent, player performance and flat out experience."
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#4
Posted: 8/28/2012 3:46:38 AM
will you be adding more plays on game day irage? i remember you had a blast last season - was terrific stuff
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#5
Posted: 8/28/2012 10:14:33 AM

Great stuff Irage - I don't know the first thing about college football - so i'll be following.

What was your record last year?

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glefkb01
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#6
Posted: 8/28/2012 3:58:40 PM
I hope you are hot this year like last... I ended up barely even in MLB....too much parody between teams this year...
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irage
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#7
Posted: 8/28/2012 6:39:54 PM

I killed in MLB. From about mid-May to the end of July I made 35k, with my inital 5k investment. I have a strategy to use for next year and I don't killed on the juice.

I don't remember if I have the stats for last year. I think I kept them, but I just have to find it. I use Covers to record my success and prove they are legit.

Still horrible at NFL, so I will look to others for help there.

I have been getting SPAM from a tout called Smooth. I remember him being a good football capper, but he absolutely sucks at baseball, yet claims he had a winning season. Hard to trust someone that won't post the plays before game time, but then you can't really trust anyone that makes you pay for their picks. I would be willing to pay for picks if they were verifiably hitting above 85%. Since no one can do that, anyone who charges is a scammer. 

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irage
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#8
Posted: 8/28/2012 7:41:05 PM
One other thing before this thread gets going I wanted to do a little promotion.

For the past 8 years I have been participating in a football survivor pool. The guy that runs the site is legit, it costs 110.00 and it's a ton of fun, unless you get eliminated in week one.

http://www.nflsurvivor.com/index.asp
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irage
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#9
Posted: 8/28/2012 8:11:01 PM

40
RPI Home: 38

0 - 0 - 0


WEEK ONE
Iowa St. +1.5 PENDING
LSU -43 (H41) PENDING
Houston -36.5 (H45) PENDING

Already begun to narrow. All picks below here are still pending.

8/30/2012
South Carolina -6.5
UCLA -15.5
Minnesota -8

8/31/2012
Stanford -25.5

9/1/2012
West Virginia -24
Northwestern -1
Ohio St. -22.5
California -11.5
Nebraska -17.5
Colorado -5
Rutgers -17.5
Washington -14.5
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#10
Posted: 8/29/2012 12:48:02 PM
yo irage , i remember you used to only pick the best 4 or i think max 5 games per week , will you be adding more picks this season per week?
I think the lesser the better 
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#11
Posted: 8/29/2012 1:21:59 PM
GL dude... I made a killing to in MLB not as much as you but half.. Ill be watching for this sytem. Does college FB hav an rpi like for MLB seems like your using the same system roughly. GL brotha
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irage
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#12
Posted: 8/29/2012 7:31:35 PM
Yes, I plan to only have a few games. You know how I work. I look for reasons to eliminate a game not make them a play. As you can see I have already eliminated a bunch of games and several more will drop tonight.
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#13
Posted: 8/29/2012 9:17:18 PM
Irage what was your record last year in college football ?
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irage
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#14
Posted: 8/29/2012 9:51:09 PM
Someone asked about RPI for football.

http://www.statfox.com/cfb/power/

BDub2308

I ended up 39 - 21 - 1 which I believe is 65%

Sept 03 - Auburn -24 (H39) LOSS
Sept 03 - Stanford -30  (H49) WIN
Sept 03 - Ohio St -34 (H49) WIN
Sept 03 - Virginia Tech -26 (H53) WIN
Sept 03 - Mississippi St. -30 (V40) WIN
Sept 09 - Missouri +10 - WIN
Sept 09 - Stanford (V39) - WIN
Sept 09 - USC -8.5 - WIN
Sept 09 - N. Illinois -4 - LOSS
Sept 09 - Arkansas -35.5 (V41) - WIN
Sept 16 - Boise St.. -19 - WIN
Sept 17 - TCU -28.5 (H58) - LOSS
Sept 17 - Temple +7.5 - WIN
Sept 17 - Stanford -10 - WIN
Sept 23 - BYU -2.5 - WIN
Sept 24 - Missouri +22 - WIN
Sept 24 - Boise St OVER 61 - WIN
Sept 24 - Wisconsin -35 (H62) - WIN
Sept 24 - TCU -38 (H55) - WIN
Sept 30 - BYU -7.5 - LOSS
Oct 01 - Wisconsin -9 - WIN
Oct 01 - Stanford -20 (H35) - WIN
Oct 01 - TCU -11.5 - LOSS
Oct 01 - Arizona +12.5 - WIN
Oct 07 - Boise St -21 - WIN
Oct 08 - Ohio St. +12 - WIN
Oct 08 - Stanford -29.5 (H33) - WIN
Oct 08 - Alabama -29 (H35) - WIN
Oct 08 - Connecticut +19 - LOSS
Oct 08 - San Jose St. +12 - LOSS
Oct 14 - Hawaii -6 - LOSS
Oct 15 - Utah St. -3 - LOSS
Oct 15 - Stanford -21 (V33) - WIN
Oct 15 - Iowa -6.5 - WIN
Oct 15 - UTEP +1.5 - WIN
Oct 20 - Arizona -4.5 - WIN
Oct 22 - Nevada -10.5 - LOSS
Oct 22 - UTEP -7 - WIN
Oct 22 - Wisconsin -7 - LOSS
Oct 26 - Connecticut +10.5 - LOSS
Oct 27 - Virginia v Miami OVER 48 - WIN
Oct 29 - Stanford -7.5 - WIN
Oct 29 - Oklahoma St -14 - WIN
Nov 3 - Boston College OVER 44 - WIN
Nov 5 - SMU -25 (H27) - LOSS
Nov 5 - Ohio St. -27.5 (H30) - LOSS
Nov 9 - Miami Ohio OVER 44 - WIN
Nov 12 - Stanford -3.5 - LOSS
Nov 12 - Wisconsin -27 - WIN
Nov 19 - New Mexico UNDER 50.5 - WIN
Nov 19 - Arkansas OVER 53 - WIN
Nov 19 - BYU -22.5 - WIN
Nov 19 - Oklahoma -15.5 - LOSE
Nov 19 - Stanford -18 - LOSE
Nov 25 - N. Illinois -19.5 - LOSE
Nov 25 - Houston -3 - WIN
Nov 25 - Iowa OVER 53.5 - LOSE
Nov 26 - Texas Tech +13.5 - LOSE
Nov 26 - Nevada +1.5 - LOSE
Nov 26 - Mississippi +17 - LOSE
Dec 01 - West Virginia -1.5 - WIN
Dec 02 - N. Illinois -3 - PUSH
Dec 02 - Oregon -31 - LOSE
Dec 03 - Houston -13.5 - LOSE
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nghia1973
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#15
Posted: 8/29/2012 11:12:45 PM
good luck this year rage
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nghia1973
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#16
Posted: 8/29/2012 11:21:14 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by irage:


40
RPI Home: 38

0 - 0 - 0


WEEK ONE
Iowa St. +1.5 PENDING
LSU -43 (H41) PENDING
Houston -36.5 (H45) PENDING


Already begun to narrow. All picks below here are still pending.

8/30/2012
South Carolina -6.5
UCLA -15.5
Minnesota -8

8/31/2012
Stanford -25.5

9/1/2012
West Virginia -24
Northwestern -1
Ohio St. -22.5
California -11.5
Nebraska -17.5
Colorado -5
Rutgers -17.5
Washington -14.5


So Iowa St., LSU, and Houston are the official picks so far?
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irage
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#17
Posted: 8/30/2012 12:01:26 AM

RPI
Visitor: 40 -- Home: 38

0 - 0 - 0

These games are locked in. Many of the games still don't have lines.

WEEK ONE
South Carolina -6.5 - PENDING
Iowa St. +1.5 PENDING
LSU -43 (H41) PENDING
Houston -36.5 (H45) PENDING
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#18
Posted: 8/30/2012 1:09:37 AM
 I ended up even with MLB as well but still riding along with b2w. Main reason was of course, poor money management and that 5 game losing streak for the Nats yet they won tonight when I passed on em. 
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#19
Posted: 8/30/2012 1:14:13 PM
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#20
Posted: 8/30/2012 2:03:50 PM
Irage am new to NCAAF so please pardon me if i ask you this question. you put in your plays  LSU -43 (H41) so what does the (H41) means? thanks
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#21
Posted: 8/30/2012 7:07:34 PM
I assume no MIN or UCLA tonight?
Posted using a mobile device.
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#22
Posted: 8/30/2012 7:58:19 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by akuwudikeeze:

Irage am new to NCAAF so please pardon me if i ask you this question. you put in your plays  LSU -43 (H41) so what does the (H41) means? thanks

That would be the rpi difference of both teams
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irage
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#23
Posted: 8/30/2012 9:57:07 PM
Correct, no MINNY or UCLA.


The H is for the home team and number represents the RPI difference.
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irage
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#24
Posted: 8/30/2012 10:01:08 PM
RPI
Visitor: 40 -- Home: 38

0 - 0 - 0

These games are locked in. Many of the games still don't have lines.

WEEK ONE
South Carolina -6.5 - PENDING
Washington St +11.5 - PENDING
Iowa St. +1.5 PENDING
LSU -43 (H41) PENDING
Houston -36.5 (H45) PENDING
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#25
Posted: 8/30/2012 10:03:54 PM
south carolina...pending a miracle  
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