IRAGE ODDS BUSTER STRATEGY

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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: IRAGE ODDS BUSTER STRATEGY
BigTenWatto PM BigTenWatto
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quote#876
Posted: 8/16/2012 8:03:37 PM
Oak is good to go.

riceman003 PM riceman003
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quote#877
Posted: 8/16/2012 9:43:10 PM
what do you think of angels?
BigTenWatto PM BigTenWatto
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quote#878
Posted: 8/16/2012 9:52:16 PM
Hey Riceman,

I would advise staying away from LAA. They fit the line, for sure, however, they are the home team and more importantly, they really, really miss the pitcher filter.

Originally, we were looking for dogs against a fav of less than -110 AND we wanted that dog to have a pitcher with at least a 1.00 advantage in era. Since I've started keeping track about ten days ago, I've noticed that as long as the era is about even the dog should be good, especially if they are the visitor.

Tonight, Haren is up against Price. Haren's era is double that of Price's. Both for the season and for last three. I would stay away. However, again, I am not Irage. Its his system, so bet at your own risk.
riceman003 PM riceman003
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quote#879
Posted: 8/16/2012 10:25:46 PM
ty for your input
BigTenWatto PM BigTenWatto
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quote#880
Posted: 8/16/2012 11:22:52 PM
Oak cashes... Boo-ya. Looks like it was definitely wise to stay away from LAA. Might be getting a handle on this strategy, 2-0 today.

Cuntchaser PM Cuntchaser
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quote#881
Posted: 8/17/2012 3:42:28 PM
Dodgers?
BigTenWatto PM BigTenWatto
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quote#882
Posted: 8/17/2012 8:14:46 PM
Atl closed at -115, so LAD was a no play.

peter1988 PM peter1988
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quote#883
Posted: 8/18/2012 12:18:12 AM
hey big ten, could you please tell me where you get the lines from? thank you kindly
riceman003 PM riceman003
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quote#884
Posted: 8/18/2012 6:44:27 PM
@peter

the lines are being grabbed from here

http://scores.covers.com/baseball-scores-matchups.aspx

also bigten what do you think of MIL and would Giants be a play?
BigTenWatto PM BigTenWatto
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quote#885
Posted: 8/19/2012 6:39:34 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by riceman003:

@peter

the lines are being grabbed from here

http://scores.covers.com/baseball-scores-matchups.aspx

also bigten what do you think of MIL and would Giants be a play?

Sorry Rice, for whatever reason the covers mlb scoreboard page did not show odds for me yesterday. Had no idea which games to even look at.

Doesn't look like much today.
riceman003 PM riceman003
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quote#886
Posted: 8/19/2012 11:08:42 AM
i know KC wont be a play since they won last 2 games. what do you think of Dodgers if ATL drops below -110
riceman003 PM riceman003
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quote#887
Posted: 8/19/2012 11:08:45 AM
i know KC wont be a play since they won last 2 games. what do you think of Dodgers if ATL drops below -110
BigTenWatto PM BigTenWatto
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quote#888
Posted: 8/19/2012 12:18:19 PM
KC is definitely not a play based on the sweep. The Dodgers are a play, though. The line has dropped below -110, meaning money is coming in on our dog late. There is no sweep factor and the pitching filter works both on a season basis and last three. I would hammer the Dodgers.

CannedGoods PM CannedGoods
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quote#889
Posted: 8/19/2012 12:36:39 PM
If KC isn't a play...that means CHW is...
BigTenWatto PM BigTenWatto
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quote#890
Posted: 8/19/2012 6:53:03 PM
Hey CG, sorry dude, CHW was never a play, game was a no play. Good thing too.

LAD cashed. There is no way I am going back to the beginning of Irage's posts for a record but, I started keeping track last week. Since I started posting in this thread, we are 5-2 for profit of $255.50 on $100 unit.

Bos (half) +101 L -50
Stl (h) +101 W +50.50
Col (full) +102 W +102
Tor (f) +101 L -100
Tex (f) -101 W +101
Oak (h) +100 W +50
LAD (f) +103 W +103
 Total = +255.50

I 'll try and keep up the thread, including the half unit games that miss the pitching filter, as they also seem profitable.

BigTenWatto PM BigTenWatto
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quote#891
Posted: 8/20/2012 5:21:23 PM

CHW is a half unit play, no picther adv.

Pit would be a half unit play but, there is no pitcher data, so I'd advise staying away.

BigTenWatto PM BigTenWatto
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quote#892
Posted: 8/20/2012 6:04:27 PM
Correira has been announced as the starter. If your book is offering a line, take the Pirates for a full unit.

riceman003 PM riceman003
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quote#893
Posted: 8/20/2012 10:25:41 PM
did ur book close at +120 something for pirates? i know the cover was -101/-105 but the line seems weird...
BigTenWatto PM BigTenWatto
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quote#894
Posted: 8/21/2012 7:17:44 AM

Ya, the line at bet365 was +131 but, I thought what the hell. Volquez is usually terrible, Correira is not half bad. The bullpen is pretty good when not exhausted from a 19 inning game. I thought there was some value there. Didn't expect to Volquez to throw a season high in K's though. Oh well, probably should have went with my initial response and stayed away.

Good thing LAD cashed.

Again today I cannot see the covers odds on the scoreboard page. Not sure why that is. According to Bet365 we have three potentials today, NYY, LAA, and SF. None of them meet the pitching filter so I would be looking at half unit plays.

Will check back again around 6:30pm.

BigTenWatto PM BigTenWatto
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quote#895
Posted: 8/21/2012 4:52:22 PM

The Dodgers have ballooned to a -118 favorite, so SF is off. The Angels have moved from a +100 dog to a -110 fav, so while they (Sox) still barely fit the system, I will stay away.

Looks like the Yankees will be a play. They odds have held steady since 10am at -103 a piece. They ar ethe away team and they hold the picther advantage.

CannedGoods PM CannedGoods
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quote#896
Posted: 8/21/2012 7:02:08 PM
Why stay away from the BoSox?
BigTenWatto PM BigTenWatto
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quote#897
Posted: 8/21/2012 8:05:14 PM
CHW are a play. The line moved like crazy in NYY direction this evening. Pale hose fit the bill for a half unit.

MLBSYSTEM PM MLBSYSTEM
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quote#898
Posted: 8/22/2012 6:12:40 AM
where is IRAGE?  he must be on a losng STREAK.?
BigTenWatto PM BigTenWatto
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quote#899
Posted: 8/22/2012 6:25:33 AM
Hey CG, I advised staying away from the BoSox because although they were the dog, the circumstances that made them the dog scared me away. LAA was a +100 dog and quickly, yesterday afternoon, went to a -110 fav. I am guessing someone knew something for it to change that fast.
Plus, they really did not have the pitching advantage. This strategy started out looking for dogs with better pitchers. I have been pushing it on short dogs with even pitchers. Santana was over a run better than Cook. All that told me to stay away - and it worked! Again!

CHW cashed last night, another win. This strategy is awesome.

riceman003 PM riceman003
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quote#900
Posted: 8/22/2012 8:09:54 AM
looks like 2 plays and possibly 3. correct me if im wrong
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