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[Systems & Strategies] Topic: CAP's MLB Query Results (Something for Everyone) |
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BCap888 |
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#226 Posted: 5/7/2012 9:22:29 PM Depending on when you looked at it Reds +115 was a play. Moved down before I wrote Giants ML |
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BCap888 |
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#227 Posted: 5/8/2012 9:16:01 AM 5/7
System-1 Tigers / Mariners U7 (+110) (W)
System-5 Reds +115 (W)
System-8 Rockies +100 (L)
5/7 Record: 2-1 +$125.00
YTD Record: 52-45-2 +$1012.63 +10% ROI |
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BCap888 |
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#228 Posted: 5/8/2012 9:27:14 AM Plays will be up between 2 and 3. |
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Hosser |
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#229 Posted: 5/8/2012 9:49:49 AM Bcap,
If it's not too much trouble can you add the Super-1 as System 16? |
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1958a |
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#230 Posted: 5/8/2012 12:01:00 PM Bcap888,
check this
AF and p:AFW and Series game=2
I see huge wins here on ML and RL
please confirm |
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1958a |
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#231 Posted: 5/8/2012 12:02:38 PM |
| SU: | 392-246 (1.1 rpg) | average line: -143 / +131 | on / against: +$4,463 / -$7,426 | ROI: +4.9% / -11.6%
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| RL: | 187-181 (-0.2 rpg) | average line: +118 / -131 | on / against: +$3,992 / -$6,269 | ROI: +10.3% / -12.7%
three games today, TEX, LAA and BOS |
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BCap888 |
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#232 Posted: 5/8/2012 2:17:22 PM Looks good.
5/8
System-3 Diamondbacks -130
System-14 Padres +110
Super-1 Rays +120
That's all for today.
I have a Super 2 to post and 1958a's post #230 will become Super 3. Not playing those games listed for today as I haven't looked very much into it yet.
YTD Record: 52-45-2 +$1012.63 +10% ROI
GL
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BCap888 |
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#233 Posted: 5/8/2012 2:20:00 PM Super 2:
If the team's opponent scored 75% or more of their baserunners in their previous game and lost, and the team we're betting has a line between +100 and +170 play them on the ML.
| 101-96 (-0.0 rpg) | average line: +129 / -140 | on / against: +$3,373 / -$4,468 | ROI: +17.1% / -16.2% |
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hyvong |
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#234 Posted: 5/8/2012 2:35:09 PM Thanks BCap for your help!!!
Can you add me as a friend? I have a few queries that need your help and don't want to clutter your thread. GL |
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BCap888 |
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#235 Posted: 5/9/2012 12:13:08 AM Hey 1958a:
p:PBRS > 35 and op:PBRS < 65 and and p:L and op:W and SG = 2
Best I've found. |
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BCap888 |
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#236 Posted: 5/9/2012 12:14:13 AM Shoot! Had two "and"s in there and it was throwing it off. My bad. Disregard. |
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BCap888 |
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#237 Posted: 5/9/2012 1:25:03 AM 5/8
System-3 Diamondbacks -130 (L)
System-14 Padres +110 (W)
Super-1 Rays +120 (L)
5/8 Record: 1-2 -$90.00
YTD Record: 53-47-2 +$922.63 +9% ROI
Tomorrow I'm going to put up a new post with all of the updated systems listed. |
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1958a |
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#238 Posted: 5/9/2012 8:56:08 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by BCap888:
Tomorrow I'm going to put up a new post with all of the updated systems listed. very anxious to see them
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BCap888 |
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#239 Posted: 5/9/2012 10:54:23 AM System- 1 Bet the UNDER when one or both teams have have gone under for 2 (or more) consecutive games the last two of which having totals LESS THAN 10. The total in this game must be less than 8, and the line on the favorite must be between -110 and -145, excluding -110 and -145. (+13.5% ROI) +45.95 Units System- 2 Bet the UNDER in a game with a total over 10 and one team has gone Over 4 and only 4 straight games. (+8.2% ROI) +15.05 Units System- 3 Bet on a HOME FAV between -120 and -130 after a Loss as a Home Dog. (+8.3% ROI) +30.07 Units System- 4 Bet on the HOME team on the RL when both teams scored over 8 runs in their last game. (+8.8% ROI) +17.19 Units System- 5 Bet a team on the ML when they beat a division opponent by more than 4, their next game is against a division opponent and they’re a Dog. (+9.2 ROI) +83.71 Units System- 6 Bet on a HOME DOG between +130 and +140 after a Loss as a Home Dog. (+9.4% ROI) +24.87 Units System- 7 Bet against a team when they have gone over the total for 4 and only 4 straight games and the current total is 10 or more. (+10.1% ROI) +44.20 Units System- 8 Bet AGAINST a HOME FAV in a division game after losing by 3 or more if the line is between -110 and -130. (+10.2% ROI) +51.60 Units
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BCap888 |
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#240 Posted: 5/9/2012 10:54:36 AM System- 9 Bet a HOME DOG in a division game after winning by 3 or more if the line is between +110 and +180. (+10.8% ROI) +48.60 Units System- 10 Bet on an AWAY FAV between -120 and -140 on the RL in the first game of a series when their opponent won their last game by 5 or more. (+22.3% ROI) +13.99 Units System- 11 Bet the UNDER when a Home Dog has gone Over two straight games, the current total is more than 9.5, and the line is between +110 and +140. (+23.0% ROI) +27.25 Units System- 12 Bet the UNDER when a Home Fav lost by 5 or more in their previous game, when the total was more than 10 and the game went Over. (+34.8% ROI) +30.30 Units System- 13 Bet on the HOME team on the RL or ML when both teams are coming off being shut out. (+84.9% ROI RL / +28.7% ROI ML) +7.77 Units RL / +7.24 Units ML System-14
Both teams must have winning percentages of below .500. The Underdog line must be less than +150. It must be a division game. And the Underdog team has to have scored more than 1 run in their last game. +5.9% ROI +57.53 Units
System-15 (1958a)
Bet on a home dog for the 3rd game of a series, if the home team has lost previous 2 games of the series as dog. +13.4% ROI +35.94 Units
System-16
First game of division series. Scored more than 2 runs last game and left more than 8 on base. And the line is between +114 and +148. Away team. +19.1% ROI +101.96 Units
For Systems 17-22 I'm just going to post the scripts. If you're interested as to what they are specifically either send me a message or, well, figure it out.
System-17
op:PBRS >= 75 and op:L and line >= 100 and line <= 170. ML. +17.1% ROI +33.73 Units
System-18 (1958a)
AF and p:AFW and Series game=2. RL. +10.1% ROI +39.41 Units
System-19
Bet Against: ppp:PBRS > 50 and pp:PBRS > 50 and p:PBRS > 50 and p:W and pp:W and ppp:W and p:U ML and UNDER. ML- +13.7% ROI +14.91 Units. UNDER- +19.4% ROI +19.90 Units
System-20
Bet Against On RL: pppp:W and ppp:W and pp:W and p:W and ppp:U and pp:O and p:O and D. RL. +54.2% ROI +34.10 Units
System-21
pppppp:L and ppppp:W and pppp:L and ppp:W and pp:L and p:W and HD. ML. +24.5% ROI +20.80 Units. RL. +29.2% ROI +22.55 Units.(Playing whichever is the dog line)
System-22
p:SO >= 10 and p:margin < -5 and p:LOB <= 9 and total > 8.5. UNDER- +16.7% ROI +17.35 Units |
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gbpackman |
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#241 Posted: 5/9/2012 11:03:07 AM My life is a system! I am just a robot! LOL |
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BCap888 |
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#242 Posted: 5/9/2012 11:05:03 AM 5/9
System-1 Padres / Rockies U7 (-130)
System-15 Orioles +110
System-19 Cardinals / Diamondbacks U9.5 (-115) Diamondbacks +100
System-20 Phillies -1.5 (+110)
Thats all. GL. |
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tehskylark |
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#243 Posted: 5/9/2012 11:08:18 AM Awesome work BCap888.
Would you ever consider posting the query string's for your original systems?
Either way, I think I owe you a few beers. Keep it up! |
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gbpackman |
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#244 Posted: 5/9/2012 11:12:36 AM System-18 (1958a) How come I got diff results?
| SU: |
393-248 (1.1 rpg) |
average line: -143 / +131 |
on / against: +$4,283 / -$7,266 |
ROI: +4.7% / -11.3% |
| RL: |
188-183 (-0.2 rpg) |
average line: +118 / -131 |
on / against: +$3,941 / -$6,231 |
ROI: +10.1% / -12.5% | |
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BCap888 |
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#245 Posted: 5/9/2012 11:19:41 AM Different from what? That's exactly what's posted on the RL.
And skylark I don't think I will during the season. Maybe afterwards. And maybe in a couple years on the beers LOL. Not quite of age yet.
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gbpackman |
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#246 Posted: 5/9/2012 1:47:34 PM How did you get +39.41 Units? |
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BCap888 |
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#247 Posted: 5/9/2012 2:41:35 PM Look at "on/against" on the RL row. +$3,941. Translates to 39.41 units. |
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gbpackman |
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#248 Posted: 5/9/2012 3:37:47 PM DOH! Now, I got it! I know you have done a great job, BCap, but it's really hard to have faith in systems that are new to me. I see you win, then I bet higher and lose. I lower my bet and win. It's hard to get a "feel" for these systems.  |
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BCap888 |
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#249 Posted: 5/9/2012 4:11:00 PM Understandable. |
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1958a |
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#250 Posted: 5/9/2012 4:11:51 PM Bcap888, do you flat bet all plays? ROI% is an excellent criterion for establishing unit size.
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