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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: Neilsy's MLB 33 System
neilsy25 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
neilsy25
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#26
Posted: 4/17/2012 5:21:09 PM

update..thanks for pointing out the games i missed

adding

Angels (Oakland lose)  -182     1.82u to win 1u

Detroit (KC lose)  -103   1.03u to win 1u

Boston should be to win 1.21u   , i already have the play in as above to win 2.21u .,,but to properly track the system i will count is as 1.82u to win 1.21u

 

 

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#27
Posted: 4/18/2012 6:07:04 AM

Tuesday results   +7.41u

YTD :  +8.09 units

Wednesday Plays

Boston  -124   2.26u to win 1.82u

Miami (Cubs lose)  -118   1.18u to win 1u

Dodgers  +160   1.4u to win 2.24u

Dodgers (Mil lose)  +160   2.48u to win 3.97u

Washington (Houston lose) -196  5.94u to win 3.03u

Baltimore (W.Sox lose) +139   4.05u to win 5.63u

St.Louis -128     1.28u to win 1u

Cleveland -102    2.04u to win 2u

Angels (Oak lose) -168  4.74u to win 2.82u

Detroit (KC lose) - waiting for line

 

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#28
Posted: 4/18/2012 10:11:01 AM
Just double checked the plays and it seems Texas is a play as well, they have won 5 in a row, so there is another conflict with them and Boston. Also, what have the numbers been in the past in cases where a play has gone pasta third game which shifts the type of play?
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#29
Posted: 4/18/2012 10:18:50 AM
From what I can see this year this has happened 4 times with split results, 2 of the times the 4th game hit on the original play and 2 of the times the play went to the first game for the new streak. Just curious if you have info on this, I know you have been switching to the other side, but why not play the original play and if it wins on what would be the 4th game, then you would have a second play on the second streak.
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neilsy25 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
neilsy25
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#30
Posted: 4/18/2012 10:51:01 AM

Hey Jayray

In the case of this conflict  Boston is to win 2.82, Texas is to win 1 ..therefore my actual bet is boston to win 1.82 .. on my lines however, i will treat each as if they were bet as seperate plays..didnt really look into chasing past 3..

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#31
Posted: 4/18/2012 11:53:11 AM

line update - Tigers (KC kose)  -120  1.2u to win 1u

 

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Snappa send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
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#32
Posted: 4/18/2012 2:20:44 PM
Just jumped on board yesterday in time to for a 7.1 unit win.  Thanks for posting your system, neilsy.
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neilsy25 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#33
Posted: 4/19/2012 6:00:18 AM

Wednesday results   -10.94 units

YTD :  -2.85 units

Thursday Plays

Cleveland   +141   2.87u to win 4.04u

Miami  -152    1.52u to win 1u

Miami (Cubs lose) -152   3.02u to win 2u

Dodgers  +122           1.97u to win 2.4u

Dodgers (Mil lose)   +122   3.05u to win 3.72u

Washington  -157    1.57 u to win 1u

Washington (Hou lose)  -157   1.57u to win 1u

Angels (oak lose) -198    11.37u to win 5.74u

St. Louis   -157   1.57u to win 1u

Texas   -115   1.15u to win 1u

Baltimore (W.sox lose) +126    6.10u to win 7.68u

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#34
Posted: 4/19/2012 9:32:25 AM
Maybe I missed something, but I peg Wednesday's loss at -19.91 units, not -10.94.
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Posted: 4/19/2012 9:45:08 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Snappa:

Maybe I missed something, but I peg Wednesday's loss at -19.91 units, not -10.94.

Now come on, it was a bad night, but not that bad !  , i do not have my spreadsheet here at work, but I will double check when i get home, just quickly looking at the results, it woulsnot be -19.91..

 

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#36
Posted: 4/19/2012 10:40:23 AM
BOS   L       -2.26

MIA    W      +1.00

LAD    L       -1.4
                    -2.48
 
WAS   L       -5.94

BAL    L       -4.05

STL    W      +1.00

CLE    L       -2.04

LAA    L       -4.74

DET   W      +1.00
________________
                    -19.91
 I still come up with the same answer.  Maybe I'm not understanding your system.  My results are a little different, due to rounding, but my loss totaled 18.96U.   Better luck today.

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#37
Posted: 4/19/2012 10:56:26 AM
Washington was a winner last night, that should bring the number down to where neilsy has it. I got off a little better last night, played cws to win and took lad run line which was a winner, also skipped Boston due to conflict with Texas, that saved me 3 big losses.
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Snappa send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
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#38
Posted: 4/19/2012 11:16:19 AM
Thanks, Jayray.  I had WAS as a loss on my ticket for some reason. DUH.  My bad, Neilsy. 

Good.  I didn't lose as much as I thought!  Go get 'em today!!
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#39
Posted: 4/20/2012 10:56:15 AM

Wednesday results   +5.76 units

YTD :  +2.91 units

Friday Plays

Baltimore +137   1u   to win 1.37u

Atlanta -118   1.18 u to win 1u

Atlanta (Arizona lose) -118   1.18u to win 1u

Yankees (Boston lose)  -109   4.36u to win 4u

Cincinatti (Cubs lose)   -121  2.42u to win 2u

Detroit  -107    1.07u to win 1u

Dodgers (Houston lose)  -132     3.39u to win 2.57u

Jays (KC lose)  -108  2.16u to win 2u

Washington  -115    1.81u to win 1.57u

Oakland  +108    7.75u  to win 8.37u

Philly (SD lose)  -133  1.33u to win 1u

St. Louis   -133     3.42u to win 2.57u

 

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#40
Posted: 4/20/2012 10:57:05 AM
sorry that above shouild read Thursday results  +5.76u
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Posted: 4/21/2012 12:33:06 AM
I'm trying to follow along to help out, a couple things about Friday games, should lad(hou to lose) have been a play? Also, how was balt a play? And what about Texas? I know Detroit was a play, but Texas is rolling.
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Posted: 4/21/2012 2:04:03 AM
Yah, it looks like Baltimore shouldn't have been a play.

They are WWLWWLWL in their last 8 games.
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Posted: 4/21/2012 2:07:12 AM
Oops nevermind....Baltimore was a play against Angels LLL
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Posted: 4/21/2012 3:12:32 AM
Yeah my bad on the Baltimore, but, glad I took laa on another system (Cisco's home fav system)
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neilsy25 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#45
Posted: 4/21/2012 10:38:54 AM

Friday results   +8.96 units

YTD :  +11.87 units

Saturday Plays

Baltimore  +181   1.31u tw 2.37u

Atlanta  -120   1.59u to win 1.33u

Atlanta (Zona lose)  -120   1.59u  to win 1.33u

Yankees (Bos lose)  +109      3.03u to win 3.30u

Colorado +110     1.21u to  win 1.33u

Cincy (Cubs lose)  -132  1.76u to win 1.33u

Detroit   -103   1.03u to win 1u

Jays  (KC lose)  -120     2.8u to win 2.33u

San Fran  +1.03    2.45u to win 2.52u

San Fran (Mets lose)  +103   2.26u to win 2.33u

Miami   +156      2.56u to win 4u

Philly  (SD lose)   -146   3.4u to win 2.33u

Oakland   -133      11.3u   to win 8.37u

 

Notes - I have cleared the first 50 lines, therefore increased my base unit 33%  to 1.33 (the power of compounding !)

I have spread out the 7.75u  loss on Oakland last night over several different team lines to keep Oaklands numbers from getting to big.

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neilsy25 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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Posted: 4/21/2012 11:06:41 AM

just noticed Detroit/Texas are playing a doubleheader,, so there will be a play on the 2nd game based on the results of the 1st game.

 

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Posted: 4/21/2012 2:53:20 PM

game 2 of Detroit/Texas ...(I am assuming Texas holds on to the 9-2 lead and getting it in now while i can)

Detroit  -152     3.04u to win 2u

 

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Posted: 4/22/2012 11:41:04 AM

Saturday results   -16.96 units  

YTD :  -5.09 units  

Sunday Plays

 

Baltimore  +149   1.55u to win 2.31u

Atlanta +138  1.69u to win 2.33u

Atlanta (Zona lose)  +138     1.69u to win 2.33u

Yankees   -130   3.52u to win 2.71u

Yankees (Bos lose) -130     1.73u to win 1.33u

Oakland  -114      10.68u to win 9.37u

Colorado  +132   2.68u to win 3.54u

Cincy  (Cubs lose)  -146     4.51u to win  3.09u

Dodgers  -126    2.52u to win 2u

Jays  (KC lose)  -108     1.44u to win 1.33u

San Fran   -124      6.16u to win 4.97u

San Fran (Mets lose) -124    5.69u to win  4.59u

Philly  (SD lose)    +103    5.56u to win  5.73u

Texas    -131   5.24u to win 4u

 

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#49
Posted: 4/22/2012 12:19:26 PM
CWS (Sea to lose)?
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neilsy25 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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Posted: 4/22/2012 12:31:45 PM

indeed...thanks

 

adding

W.Sox  (seattle lose)    -114    1.52u to win 1.33u

 

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