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Author:	[Systems & Strategies] Topic: Neilsy's MLB 33 System
neilsy25	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Rookie Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 706 Location:	#26 Posted: 4/17/2012 5:21:09 PM update..thanks for pointing out the games i missed adding Angels (Oakland lose) -182 1.82u to win 1u Detroit (KC lose) -103 1.03u to win 1u Boston should be to win 1.21u , i already have the play in as above to win 2.21u .,,but to properly track the system i will count is as 1.82u to win 1.21u
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neilsy25	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Rookie Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 706 Location:	#27 Posted: 4/18/2012 6:07:04 AM Tuesday results +7.41u YTD : +8.09 units Wednesday Plays Boston -124 2.26u to win 1.82u Miami (Cubs lose) -118 1.18u to win 1u Dodgers +160 1.4u to win 2.24u Dodgers (Mil lose) +160 2.48u to win 3.97u Washington (Houston lose) -196 5.94u to win 3.03u Baltimore (W.Sox lose) +139 4.05u to win 5.63u St.Louis -128 1.28u to win 1u Cleveland -102 2.04u to win 2u Angels (Oak lose) -168 4.74u to win 2.82u Detroit (KC lose) - waiting for line
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jayray2324	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Aug 2011 Posts: 12 Location:	#28 Posted: 4/18/2012 10:11:01 AM Just double checked the plays and it seems Texas is a play as well, they have won 5 in a row, so there is another conflict with them and Boston. Also, what have the numbers been in the past in cases where a play has gone pasta third game which shifts the type of play?
	Posted using a mobile device.quote
jayray2324	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Aug 2011 Posts: 12 Location:	#29 Posted: 4/18/2012 10:18:50 AM From what I can see this year this has happened 4 times with split results, 2 of the times the 4th game hit on the original play and 2 of the times the play went to the first game for the new streak. Just curious if you have info on this, I know you have been switching to the other side, but why not play the original play and if it wins on what would be the 4th game, then you would have a second play on the second streak.
	Posted using a mobile device.quote
neilsy25	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Rookie Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 706 Location:	#30 Posted: 4/18/2012 10:51:01 AM Hey Jayray In the case of this conflict Boston is to win 2.82, Texas is to win 1 ..therefore my actual bet is boston to win 1.82 .. on my lines however, i will treat each as if they were bet as seperate plays..didnt really look into chasing past 3..
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neilsy25	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Rookie Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 706 Location:	#31 Posted: 4/18/2012 11:53:11 AM line update - Tigers (KC kose) -120 1.2u to win 1u
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Snappa	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Prospect Joined: Jan 2010 Posts: 289 Location: California	#32 Posted: 4/18/2012 2:20:44 PM Just jumped on board yesterday in time to for a 7.1 unit win. Thanks for posting your system, neilsy.
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neilsy25	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Rookie Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 706 Location:	#33 Posted: 4/19/2012 6:00:18 AM Wednesday results -10.94 units YTD : -2.85 units Thursday Plays Cleveland +141 2.87u to win 4.04u Miami -152 1.52u to win 1u Miami (Cubs lose) -152 3.02u to win 2u Dodgers +122 1.97u to win 2.4u Dodgers (Mil lose) +122 3.05u to win 3.72u Washington -157 1.57 u to win 1u Washington (Hou lose) -157 1.57u to win 1u Angels (oak lose) -198 11.37u to win 5.74u St. Louis -157 1.57u to win 1u Texas -115 1.15u to win 1u Baltimore (W.sox lose) +126 6.10u to win 7.68u
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Snappa	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Prospect Joined: Jan 2010 Posts: 289 Location: California	#34 Posted: 4/19/2012 9:32:25 AM Maybe I missed something, but I peg Wednesday's loss at -19.91 units, not -10.94.
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neilsy25	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Rookie Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 706 Location:	#35 Posted: 4/19/2012 9:45:08 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by Snappa: Maybe I missed something, but I peg Wednesday's loss at -19.91 units, not -10.94. Now come on, it was a bad night, but not that bad ! , i do not have my spreadsheet here at work, but I will double check when i get home, just quickly looking at the results, it woulsnot be -19.91..
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Snappa	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Prospect Joined: Jan 2010 Posts: 289 Location: California	#36 Posted: 4/19/2012 10:40:23 AM BOS L -2.26 MIA W +1.00 LAD L -1.4 -2.48 WAS L -5.94 BAL L -4.05 STL W +1.00 CLE L -2.04 LAA L -4.74 DET W +1.00 ________________ -19.91 I still come up with the same answer. Maybe I'm not understanding your system. My results are a little different, due to rounding, but my loss totaled 18.96U. Better luck today.
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jayray2324	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Aug 2011 Posts: 12 Location:	#37 Posted: 4/19/2012 10:56:26 AM Washington was a winner last night, that should bring the number down to where neilsy has it. I got off a little better last night, played cws to win and took lad run line which was a winner, also skipped Boston due to conflict with Texas, that saved me 3 big losses.
	Posted using a mobile device.quote
Snappa	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Prospect Joined: Jan 2010 Posts: 289 Location: California	#38 Posted: 4/19/2012 11:16:19 AM Thanks, Jayray. I had WAS as a loss on my ticket for some reason. DUH. My bad, Neilsy. Good. I didn't lose as much as I thought! Go get 'em today!!
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neilsy25	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Rookie Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 706 Location:	#39 Posted: 4/20/2012 10:56:15 AM Wednesday results +5.76 units YTD : +2.91 units Friday Plays Baltimore +137 1u to win 1.37u Atlanta -118 1.18 u to win 1u Atlanta (Arizona lose) -118 1.18u to win 1u Yankees (Boston lose) -109 4.36u to win 4u Cincinatti (Cubs lose) -121 2.42u to win 2u Detroit -107 1.07u to win 1u Dodgers (Houston lose) -132 3.39u to win 2.57u Jays (KC lose) -108 2.16u to win 2u Washington -115 1.81u to win 1.57u Oakland +108 7.75u to win 8.37u Philly (SD lose) -133 1.33u to win 1u St. Louis -133 3.42u to win 2.57u
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neilsy25	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Rookie Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 706 Location:	#40 Posted: 4/20/2012 10:57:05 AM sorry that above shouild read Thursday results +5.76u
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jayray2324	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Aug 2011 Posts: 12 Location:	#41 Posted: 4/21/2012 12:33:06 AM I'm trying to follow along to help out, a couple things about Friday games, should lad(hou to lose) have been a play? Also, how was balt a play? And what about Texas? I know Detroit was a play, but Texas is rolling.
	Posted using a mobile device.quote
bigdog56	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Apr 2006 Posts: 35 Location:	#42 Posted: 4/21/2012 2:04:03 AM Yah, it looks like Baltimore shouldn't have been a play. They are WWLWWLWL in their last 8 games.
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bigdog56	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Apr 2006 Posts: 35 Location:	#43 Posted: 4/21/2012 2:07:12 AM Oops nevermind....Baltimore was a play against Angels LLL
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jayray2324	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Aug 2011 Posts: 12 Location:	#44 Posted: 4/21/2012 3:12:32 AM Yeah my bad on the Baltimore, but, glad I took laa on another system (Cisco's home fav system)
	Posted using a mobile device.quote
neilsy25	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Rookie Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 706 Location:	#45 Posted: 4/21/2012 10:38:54 AM Friday results +8.96 units YTD : +11.87 units Saturday Plays Baltimore +181 1.31u tw 2.37u Atlanta -120 1.59u to win 1.33u Atlanta (Zona lose) -120 1.59u to win 1.33u Yankees (Bos lose) +109 3.03u to win 3.30u Colorado +110 1.21u to win 1.33u Cincy (Cubs lose) -132 1.76u to win 1.33u Detroit -103 1.03u to win 1u Jays (KC lose) -120 2.8u to win 2.33u San Fran +1.03 2.45u to win 2.52u San Fran (Mets lose) +103 2.26u to win 2.33u Miami +156 2.56u to win 4u Philly (SD lose) -146 3.4u to win 2.33u Oakland -133 11.3u to win 8.37u Notes - I have cleared the first 50 lines, therefore increased my base unit 33% to 1.33 (the power of compounding !) I have spread out the 7.75u loss on Oakland last night over several different team lines to keep Oaklands numbers from getting to big.
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neilsy25	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Rookie Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 706 Location:	#46 Posted: 4/21/2012 11:06:41 AM just noticed Detroit/Texas are playing a doubleheader,, so there will be a play on the 2nd game based on the results of the 1st game.
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neilsy25	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Rookie Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 706 Location:	#47 Posted: 4/21/2012 2:53:20 PM game 2 of Detroit/Texas ...(I am assuming Texas holds on to the 9-2 lead and getting it in now while i can) Detroit -152 3.04u to win 2u
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neilsy25	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Rookie Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 706 Location:	#48 Posted: 4/22/2012 11:41:04 AM Saturday results -16.96 units YTD : -5.09 units Sunday Plays Baltimore +149 1.55u to win 2.31u Atlanta +138 1.69u to win 2.33u Atlanta (Zona lose) +138 1.69u to win 2.33u Yankees -130 3.52u to win 2.71u Yankees (Bos lose) -130 1.73u to win 1.33u Oakland -114 10.68u to win 9.37u Colorado +132 2.68u to win 3.54u Cincy (Cubs lose) -146 4.51u to win 3.09u Dodgers -126 2.52u to win 2u Jays (KC lose) -108 1.44u to win 1.33u San Fran -124 6.16u to win 4.97u San Fran (Mets lose) -124 5.69u to win 4.59u Philly (SD lose) +103 5.56u to win 5.73u Texas -131 5.24u to win 4u
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jayray2324	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Aug 2011 Posts: 12 Location:	#49 Posted: 4/22/2012 12:19:26 PM CWS (Sea to lose)?
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neilsy25	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Rookie Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 706 Location:	#50 Posted: 4/22/2012 12:31:45 PM indeed...thanks adding W.Sox (seattle lose) -114 1.52u to win 1.33u
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