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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: CISCOS. 470 HOME FAV system
bettor2win
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#1
Posted: 4/4/2012 11:29:42 PM
I told cisco I would run this sytem this year. It's very simple but you gotta keep track everyday. The first play will not be until the 2nd weekend of baseball. Heres the system:
1. Play on a team that is. 470+ winning percentage that has lost thier last 3 games as FAVS of -110 or more AND is now Favored AT HOME by -110 or more. Chase up to 4 games.
2. System "SKIPS" GAMES, so be aware.
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#2
Posted: 4/4/2012 11:43:14 PM

Check twitter. It will be run there as well.

@5runMLBchase

 

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#3
Posted: 4/4/2012 11:50:53 PM

The Home Favorite is one system

The 5 run chase and under .470 is another system.

The dog chase is another system.

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#4
Posted: 4/5/2012 12:39:33 AM
Nice, it should be fun. What was the record in previous years?
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#5
Posted: 4/6/2012 7:18:22 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by robbypark:

Nice, it should be fun. What was the record in previous years?

If I had a dime for every time that question was asked.

Sorry, I'm not doing it any more.

 

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#6
Posted: 4/6/2012 7:20:33 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by robbypark:

Nice, it should be fun. What was the record in previous years?

 

http://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=79&sub=101121207

so i did it

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#7
Posted: 4/9/2012 3:28:11 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bettor2win:

I told cisco I would run this sytem this year. It's very simple but you gotta keep track everyday. The first play will not be until the 2nd weekend of baseball. Heres the system:
1. Play on a team that is. 470+ winning percentage that has lost thier last 3 games as FAVS of -110 or more AND is now Favored AT HOME by -110 or more. Chase up to 4 games.
2. System "SKIPS" GAMES, so be aware.

have sent a friends request to you.  There is alot of slock on these pages but certain people put alot of effort into trying to come up with legitimate research.  So before i ask alot of stupid questions what i did is download into a spreadsheet the last nine years of baseball results. I have used Covers data so we are looking at the same thing and came up with a much different result than you posted. My assumption when that happens is that I have made a mistake. When i look at your list of variables, i suppose a definition of chase is required in exact terms.  I am quite willing to share my data with others who also do the work. So I have a nice nine year database of lines and results for MLB what is the method or software that you use to post this can you direct me so that i can send you my results.  I am just another set of eyes to assist and share with those that actually do the work.k Hope that is clear email me.  I am also doing a 7 year database of college basketball.  I need about 40 hours more work on it and will have the 250 teams with lines going back to the 05/06 season, updated through this year.  
Wilson5353
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#8
Posted: 4/9/2012 9:28:53 PM
this variable of 3losses in a row as a favorite (-1.10+), playing the next game at home as a 1.10+ favorite produced 325 plays since the 2004 season (8 years) producing a Loss of 31.01 units.
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Alldaygambler28
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#9
Posted: 4/9/2012 9:55:54 PM
QUOTEThe plays aren't straight up, Wilson.  It is a chase to win 1 unit out of the next 4 games. 


Originally Posted by Wilson5353:

this variable of 3losses in a row as a favorite (-1.10+), playing the next game at home as a 1.10+ favorite produced 325 plays since the 2004 season (8 years) producing a Loss of 31.01 units.
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#10
Posted: 4/9/2012 10:52:23 PM
adg.,  cool i will run it late tonight and check that out.  Better reserve judgement until i do.  I would call the 3 losses in a row as favorite,taking the next game as home favoriite (-1.10+) and then being a loser consistently over 9 years as a rather weak trigger. But like i said i shall reserve judgement until I run it.  I appreciate you chiming in.  Also i took that game after the three loses not as a straight up play but whatever the odds were that produced a negative 31.01 units.    The next favorite at home of greater than -1.10 produces a loss using the odds system of 31.10, let me run numbers.  I am rather slow what is the best add on to put up my numbers for everyone to see.  I have my own database using covers numbers and havent a clue how those guys put the numbers up for everyone to see.  thanks.  
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#11
Posted: 4/10/2012 12:02:34 AM
Or u good just look at the chase records cisco posted for this already..
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#12
Posted: 4/11/2012 10:56:18 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bettor2win:

I told cisco I would run this sytem this year. It's very simple but you gotta keep track everyday. The first play will not be until the 2nd weekend of baseball. Heres the system:
1. Play on a team that is. 470+ winning percentage that has lost thier last 3 games as FAVS of -110 or more AND is now Favored AT HOME by -110 or more. Chase up to 4 games.
2. System "SKIPS" GAMES, so be aware.

Have gone back 9 years and this set of variables as stated is a loser........Have gone through app 1/3 of the system and its a consistent loser.  whats wrong with the variables as stated in the quote.
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#13
Posted: 4/11/2012 11:57:15 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Wilson5353:


Have gone back 9 years and this set of variables as stated is a loser........Have gone through app 1/3 of the system and its a consistent loser.  whats wrong with the variables as stated in the quote.


It's not just one game.  We chase it for 4 games.
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#14
Posted: 4/11/2012 12:42:09 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Wilson5353:

adg.,  cool i will run it late tonight and check that out.  Better reserve judgement until i do.  I would call the 3 losses in a row as favorite,taking the next game as home favoriite (-1.10+) and then being a loser consistently over 9 years as a rather weak trigger. But like i said i shall reserve judgement until I run it.  I appreciate you chiming in.  Also i took that game after the three loses not as a straight up play but whatever the odds were that produced a negative 31.01 units.    The next favorite at home of greater than -1.10 produces a loss using the odds system of 31.10, let me run numbers.  I am rather slow what is the best add on to put up my numbers for everyone to see.  I have my own database using covers numbers and havent a clue how those guys put the numbers up for everyone to see.  thanks.  

It looks like you're trying to track the Home Favorite system. Here is the link for the 2011 results with the rule.

http://tinyurl.com/7rmvt6w

You can also check here. Match up the HF system with all games played in 2011.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AkIdkXC0UBUbdGxOd0ZROE9lXy1BM25ZaFJCdTVnVWc

 

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#15
Posted: 4/11/2012 1:02:41 PM
hi Cisco where can i see the play on home fav chase ,is there excel or spread sheet i can follow ?   thx
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#16
Posted: 4/11/2012 8:22:54 PM
Wilson: I've played these plays and I've won money. I'm not sure what you are tracking but the Home Fav system works. And it makes sense. Some of these systems are based on crap but this system actually makes sense.
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#17
Posted: 4/11/2012 9:52:11 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by suikei1963:

hi Cisco where can i see the play on home fav chase ,is there excel or spread sheet i can follow ?   thx


Damm, where do you people come from? The link is in the post right above yours.
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#18
Posted: 4/11/2012 10:02:12 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by The__Man:



It's not just one game.  We chase it for 4 games.

Exactly.

You are asking a good team to lose seven games in a row as a home favorite with -110 or more odds.

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#19
Posted: 4/12/2012 2:12:33 AM
bad of me Cisco i meant the speard sheet for this year ,so i can follow the playand beating the bookie  thx
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#20
Posted: 4/12/2012 3:24:59 AM

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AkIdkXC0UBUbdE5tcmE0NzZDb01TYzJMN3Q4QkRYSnc

 

 

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nghia1973
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#21
Posted: 4/12/2012 7:15:41 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by cisco:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AkIdkXC0UBUbdE5tcmE0NzZDb01TYzJMN3Q4QkRYSnc

 

 




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#22
Posted: 4/14/2012 3:03:39 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Ddubb_Steady:

Wilson: I've played these plays and I've won money. I'm not sure what you are tracking but the Home Fav system works. And it makes sense. Some of these systems are based on crap but this system actually makes sense.

just figured out how to use the google spreadsheet and will put my work up, probably by monday.  Linguistically there are to many shortcuts in communication on these comments. The written word has become lingo, what i did was measure the one system.  So i made a spreadsheet going back to 2004 using the stated variables. Fact is either is works or it doesnt. OR i dont understand the word chase. I am adding you to my friends list and will be happy to share work with you.  I dont want to seem rude and saying no its not, rather i assume i am making a mistake either in understanding the variablles or i am making a mistake in the way i do the spreadsheet.  Thanks for the comment.
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#23
Posted: 4/14/2012 4:31:58 PM
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AgcAOjS0y6RTdHl4Yl9fLUhLQnh3Q2o2N2l1WlVvWWc#gid=0

lets see if this works here is an example of the over .470 system -1.10 or over at home on the fourth game after the 3L as favorites as trigger, take a look and see if i got this right......thanks for all the comments
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#24
Posted: 4/14/2012 4:34:09 PM
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AgcAOjS0y6RTdFpmMkduMldfYzAwWERmRkFPQmlDQ2c

this link has better explanation out to the right
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#25
Posted: 4/14/2012 7:24:31 PM

No. Game 1 was on 4/22 -185. The chase is finished. Read the friggin rule. There's only one.

Home Favorite Chase System
Play on a +.470 team that has lost their last 3 or more home games as a favorite of -110 or more, and is again favored at home by -110 or more. I chase for up to 4 games

and get the un .470 out of your head. it's a different system.

Don't ask me any questions. I'm done with this.

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