2012 Opening Game Favorite

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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: 2012 Opening Game Favorite
therizz PM therizz
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Posted: 4/11/2012 11:05:03 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SpOrTzFaN1:

*Ser #6 (G2)  8:00   sf @ COL +113             2.83U

shouldent this be 15-38 how are we comming up with 2.83 still a little confused im sorry


Colorado is a filter play.  I have a separate labby line for those plays.
There lines are 22-63 which is for 85.  This is based on the units I am playing (30 per U = 2.8 Units)
therizz PM therizz
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Posted: 4/11/2012 11:10:22 PM
No new series for tomorrow.

If COL loses tonight the play on the tomorrow will be to win 82 for 30 per unit or 2.73U

If they win, we get the day off.


robbypark PM robbypark
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Posted: 4/11/2012 11:32:28 PM
Looks like Colorado recovered after that 7-run inning 
robbypark PM robbypark
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Posted: 4/12/2012 1:15:11 AM
And Colorado wins! Still undefeated on the year! Let's keep it up boys.
therizz PM therizz
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Posted: 4/12/2012 7:46:00 PM

Plays for 4/11

SEASON RECORD: 8-0                                +6.4U
AL: 4-0 (G1:4, G2: 0, G3:0)
NL: 4-0 (G1:2, G2: 2, G3:0)
O/U Filter: 3-0 (G1:2, G2: 1, G3:0)

Series Game Time Line               o/u                towin
Ser #5 (G2)  7:00  mia @ PHI -130             1.77U

*Ser #6 (G2)  8:00   sf @ COL +113             2.83U







Labby Lines
AL:                                                        NL:
15-15                                                        15-37 
15-15                                                        x-x    +53
15-15                                                        15-15

O/U Filter Plays

   40      

x-x        +85

22-23

Base 1U = 30
therizz PM therizz
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Posted: 4/12/2012 9:06:41 PM

Plays for 4/11

SEASON RECORD: 8-0                                +6.4U
AL: 4-0 (G1:4, G2: 0, G3:0)
NL: 4-0 (G1:2, G2: 2, G3:0)
O/U Filter: 3-0 (G1:2, G2: 1, G3:0)

Series Game Time Line               o/u                towin
Ser #9 (G1)  3:00  chc @ STL -190     7          1.27

Ser #10 (G1)  4:00  pit @ SF -170       7          1.27

Ser #11 (G1) 7:00  nym @ PHI -180    6.5       1.27

Ser #12 (G1) 7:00  cin @ WAS -150  7.5         1.27

Ser #13 (G1) 7:00  hou @ MIA -200  7.5          1.27

Ser #14 (G1) 7:00  bal @ TOR -180   8.5         1U

Ser #15 (G1) 10:00  oak @ SEA -165  6.5       1U     




Labby Lines
AL:                                                        NL:
15-15                                                        15-23
15-15                                                        15-22  
15-15                                                        15-22

O/U Filter Plays

22-63      

22-23       

22-23

Base 1U = 30
robbypark PM robbypark
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Posted: 4/12/2012 11:02:29 PM
Rizz, why would Washington be a play when tomorrow is game 2 of the series? They played game 1 against Cincy today and Washington already won.
peter1988 PM peter1988
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Posted: 4/12/2012 11:07:14 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by robbypark:

Rizz, why would Washington be a play when tomorrow is game 2 of the series? They played game 1 against Cincy today and Washington already won.


Only thing I see its a 4-game series
robbypark PM robbypark
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Posted: 4/12/2012 11:24:54 PM
So if it's a 4-game series you go with another A game on game 2 if even if the home fav wins the first game?
therizz PM therizz
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Posted: 4/13/2012 12:13:44 AM
sorry guys, WAS is not a play for the reason you mentioned.  Only start series during game 1's
therizz PM therizz
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Posted: 4/13/2012 12:14:31 AM

Plays for 4/11

SEASON RECORD: 8-0                                +6.4U
AL: 4-0 (G1:4, G2: 0, G3:0)
NL: 4-0 (G1:2, G2: 2, G3:0)
O/U Filter: 3-0 (G1:2, G2: 1, G3:0)

Series Game Time Line               o/u                towin
Ser #9 (G1)  3:00  chc @ STL -190     7          1.27

Ser #10 (G1)  4:00  pit @ SF -170       7          1.27

Ser #11 (G1) 7:00  nym @ PHI -180    6.5       1.27

Ser #12 (G1) 7:00  hou @ MIA -200  7.5          1.27

Ser #13 (G1) 7:00  bal @ TOR -180   8.5         1U

Ser #14 (G1) 10:00  oak @ SEA -165  6.5       1U     




Labby Lines
AL:                                                        NL:
15-15                                                        15-23
15-15                                                        15-22  
15-15                                                        15-22

O/U Filter Plays

22-63      

22-23       

22-23

Base 1U = 30
SpOrTzFaN1 PM SpOrTzFaN1
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Posted: 4/13/2012 1:04:43 AM
robbypark PM robbypark
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Posted: 4/13/2012 1:06:57 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by therizz:

sorry guys, WAS is not a play for the reason you mentioned.  Only start series during game 1's

gcee PM gcee
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Posted: 4/13/2012 9:44:32 AM
Therizz, thanks for posting your plays.
Have you tracked the system results at -1 plays instead of ml? If so, Has it been profitable or do the home faves often win by 1 run resulting in too many pushes?
Posted using a mobile device.
alekomtz PM alekomtz
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Posted: 4/13/2012 10:48:27 AM

are we playing yankees?

therizz PM therizz
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Posted: 4/13/2012 11:14:40 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by gcee:

Therizz, thanks for posting your plays.
Have you tracked the system results at -1 plays instead of ml? If so, Has it been profitable or do the home faves often win by 1 run resulting in too many pushes?


I generally will play G1's on the -1 line if they open -190 or higher.....
therizz PM therizz
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Posted: 4/13/2012 11:15:39 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by alekomtz:

are we playing yankees?



The line did not open high enough, but obviously would have been a good one.  Not a system play though..

therizz PM therizz
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Posted: 4/13/2012 11:21:18 PM

Plays for 4/13

SEASON RECORD: 10-0                                +2.6U
AL: 4-0 (G1:4, G2: 0, G3:0)
NL: 6-0 (G1:4, G2: 2, G3:0)
O/U Filter: 3-0 (G1:2, G2: 1, G3:0)

Series Game Time Line               o/u                towin
Ser #9 (G1)  3:00  chc @ STL -190     7          1.27

Ser #10 (G1)  4:00  pit @ SF -170       7          1.27  

Ser #11 (G1) 7:00  nym @ PHI -180    6.5       1.27  

Ser #12 (G1) 7:00  hou @ MIA -200  7.5          1.27    

Ser #13 (G1) 7:00  bal @ TOR -180   8.5         1U    

Ser #14 (G1) 10:00  oak @ SEA -165  6.5       1U      pend




Labby Lines
AL:                                                        NL:
15-42     -54                                              x-68    +76, -136
15-42                                                        x-68 
15-15                                                        15-22

O/U Filter Plays

22-63      

22-23       

22-23

Base 1U = 30
therizz PM therizz
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Posted: 4/13/2012 11:27:46 PM
Game 2's for NL tomorrow on PHI, STL to win 2.77U

Game 2's for AL on TOR for 1.9U if sea wins
If sea loses play on TOR, SEA to win 81 = 2.7U


SpOrTzFaN1 PM SpOrTzFaN1
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Posted: 4/14/2012 3:04:45 AM
robbypark PM robbypark
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Posted: 4/14/2012 8:00:14 AM
Let's hope our b games hit tomorrow!
SoCal311 PM SoCal311
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SoCal311
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Posted: 4/14/2012 10:50:28 AM
boycali01 PM boycali01
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boycali01
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Posted: 4/14/2012 2:58:45 PM
robbypark PM robbypark
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robbypark
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Posted: 4/14/2012 7:07:51 PM
Yikes, two C games already.  If M's lose it will be a 3rd one.  Was there ever a day last year where there were 2 or more C games in one day?
airattackers PM airattackers
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quote#100
Posted: 4/15/2012 12:41:53 AM
thank you seattle!!!!
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