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[Systems & Strategies] Topic: 2012 Opening Game Favorite

robbypark

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#351

Posted: 5/25/2012 2:14:29 AM

Tons of games on tap for tomorrow.

quote

therizz

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#352

Posted: 5/25/2012 4:28:27 PM

Plays for 5/24

SEASON RECORD: 43-5 -7.5U
AL: 20-2 (G1:13, G2: 6, G3:1, L:2)
NL: 22-3 (G1:17, G2: 4, G3:1, L:3)

IL: 1-0 (G1: 1, G2:, G3: )
O/U Filter: 8-0 (G1:5, G2: 3, G3:0)

Series Game Time Line o/u towin

Ser#49 (G1) 7:00 sf@ MIA -140 7 78/2.6U

Ser#50 (G1) 8:00 phi @ STL -130 8.5 78/2.6U

* denotes plays passing the o/u filter of 9+ for game 1

Labby Lines
AL:                                                  NL:
59-70                               78-105       -210
x-x-x                                       74-63-105
15-86-75-66-75                            99-62-80-90

*O/U Filter Plays

22-23

Base 1U = 30

quote

therizz

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#353

Posted: 5/25/2012 4:47:48 PM

Plays for 5/24

SEASON RECORD: 43-5 -7.5U
AL: 20-2 (G1:13, G2: 6, G3:1, L:2)
NL: 22-3 (G1:17, G2: 4, G3:1, L:3)

IL: 1-0 (G1: 1, G2:, G3: )
O/U Filter: 8-0 (G1:5, G2: 3, G3:0)

Series Game Time Line o/u towin

Ser#49 (G2) 7:00 sf@ MIA -141 137/4.6U

!Ser#50 (G2) 8:00 phi @ STL +110 137/4.6U

*Ser#51 (G1) 7:00 tb @ BOS -159 9 139/4.7U

!Ser#52 (G1) 7:00 col @ CIN -150 8 78/2.6U

Ser#53 (G1) 7:30 was @ ATL -150 7 105/3.5U

!Ser#54 (G1) 10:00 hou @ LAD -210 6 74/2.46U

* denotes plays passing the o/u filter of 9+ for game 1

! fishy line moves

Labby Lines
AL:                                                  NL:
59-70                               78-105
x-x-x                                       74-63-105
15-86-75-66-75                            99-62-80-90

*O/U Filter Plays

22-23

Base 1U = 30

quote

therizz

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#354

Posted: 5/25/2012 4:55:43 PM

Huge night tonight

Going to start tagging reverse line moves on here to see what percentage they are hitting. May become a filter in the future..

quote

SoCal311

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#355

Posted: 5/25/2012 5:03:54 PM

quote

therizz

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#356

Posted: 5/25/2012 8:07:34 PM

quote

Air1

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#357

Posted: 5/26/2012 2:04:11 AM

Unbelievable how this system is doing this year. Would have been such great fade material if not for its past record.

Maybe that old saying 'all systems eventually fail' is taking its effect now???

quote

Cool_Money

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Location: Ontario

#358

Posted: 5/26/2012 9:54:45 AM

I think the philosophy of the system is still sound. Its not whether the teams win individual games its whether they win the chase by not getting swept at home. Vegas does seem to be skewing the odds in favour of the home team a little too much to start a series. I was surprised that Boston was that much of a favourite over Tampa Bay. A few other lines seemed fishy too.

quote

therizz

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#359

Posted: 5/26/2012 10:18:35 AM

Getting absolutely pounded this year guys. Sorry for posting this crap. I am heading out of town today. I think everyone knows the plays for this weekend, so chase at your own risk. Still not exactly sure what I am going to do to try to recoup the losses from last night, the labby lines are completely loaded and it is creating a vicious cycle of huge losses compounding on each other. This thing usually bounces a little forward then a bit back and then forward while generating a profit. This year has had crazy losses come in bunches.... If nothing else, I think this season has shown it is probably best to just have fewer plays and focus on those that you really like and/or pass the over/under filter in game 1....

quote

therizz

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#360

Posted: 5/26/2012 10:26:56 AM

most likely a futile effort, but I just put in a parlay of all 5 teams for 2U
that will pay 35U or so. I know this is like giving money to the book but I am just going to throw it out there. I don't want to have an astronomical amount of units in play today. Good luck to everyone. Hopefully there is someone out there fading this system and doing very well this year

quote

robbypark

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#361

Posted: 5/27/2012 4:30:19 AM

Still got games tomorrow with STL and Atl. If they win, it's a good weekend overall.

quote

Cool_Money

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#362

Posted: 5/27/2012 9:30:43 AM

I think the system says a maximum of 3 chases. The Cardinals lost their 3rd last night and I think that counts as an official loss.

I'm not really excited about betting on the Braves as they are a small favourite and the value seems like its on the Nationals.

quote

therizz

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#363

Posted: 5/28/2012 12:40:32 PM

Plays for 5/24-7

SEASON RECORD: 43-7 -29.5U
AL: 21-2 (G1:13, G2: 7, G3:1, L:2)
NL: 25-5 (G1:17, G2: 7, G3:1, L:5)

IL: 1-0 (G1: 1, G2:, G3: )
O/U Filter: 9-0 (G1:5, G2: 4, G3:0)

Series Game Time Line o/u towin

Ser#49 (G2) 7:00 sf@ MIA -141 137/4.6U G2

!Ser#50 (G2) 8:00 phi @ STL +110 137/4.6U loss

*Ser#51 (G1) 7:00 tb @ BOS -159 9 139/4.7U G2

!Ser#52 (G1) 7:00 col @ CIN -150 8 78/2.6U G2

Ser#53 (G1) 7:30 was @ ATL -150 7 105/3.5U loss

!Ser#54 (G1) 10:00 hou @ LAD -210 6 74/2.46U G2

* denotes plays passing the o/u filter of 9+ for game 1

! fishy line moves

*O/U Filter Plays

22-23

Base 1U = 30

quote

therizz

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#364

Posted: 5/28/2012 12:46:16 PM

Lost 22U over the weekend and could have been worse. I am going to walk away from the regular plays and focus on filtered plays only. Going to play each to win 2U in a hope to at least get back to even before the end of the season. I will keep track of the other series as well and may situationally play a few parlays with those to recoup some of the losses.

quote

therizz

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#365

Posted: 5/28/2012 12:49:32 PM

Plays for 5/28

SEASON RECORD: 43-7 -29.5U
AL: 21-2 (G1:13, G2: 7, G3:1, L:2)
NL: 25-5 (G1:17, G2: 7, G3:1, L:5)

IL: 1-0 (G1: 1, G2:, G3: )
O/U Filter: 9-0 (G1:5, G2: 4, G3:0)

Series Game Time Line o/u towin

*Ser#55 (G1) 8:00 sea@ TEX -192 10 60/2U

* denotes plays passing the o/u filter of 9+ for game 1

! fishy line moves

Labby Lines
AL:                                                  NL:
59-70-330                      330-78-105
x-x-x                                       74-63-105
15-86-75-66-75                            99-62-80-90

*O/U Filter Plays

30-30

Base 1U = 30

quote

therizz

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#366

Posted: 5/28/2012 12:52:57 PM

No regular games today

Played TEX -1 at -150

quote

robbypark

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#367

Posted: 5/30/2012 1:07:50 AM

No worries Rizz, still good system.

quote

robbypark

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#368

Posted: 6/2/2012 12:53:37 AM

There were some games today. Looks like there is a b game with the Brewers and the Giants won their A game.

quote

therizz

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#369

Posted: 6/5/2012 5:27:06 PM

Plays for 5/28

SEASON RECORD: 44-7 -27.5U
AL: 22-2 (G1:14, G2: 7, G3:1, L:2)
NL: 25-5 (G1:17, G2: 7, G3:1, L:5)

IL: 1-0 (G1: 1, G2:, G3: )
O/U Filter: 10-0 (G1:6, G2: 4, G3:0)

Series Game Time Line o/u towin

*Ser#55 (G1) 8:00 sea@ TEX -192 10 60/2U

* denotes plays passing the o/u filter of 9+ for game 1

! fishy line moves

*O/U Filter Plays

30-30 +60

30-30

Base 1U = 30

quote

therizz

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#370

Posted: 6/5/2012 5:28:25 PM

Last round of series

TB Game 1

SF Game 1

MIL Game 2

quote

therizz

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#371

Posted: 6/5/2012 5:35:36 PM

Plays for 6/5

SEASON RECORD: 51-7 -27.5U
AL: 23-2 (G1:15, G2: 7, G3:1, L:2)
NL: 27-5 (G1:18, G2: 8, G3:1, L:5)

IL: 1-0 (G1: 1, G2:, G3: )
O/U Filter: 10-0 (G1:6, G2: 4, G3:0)

Series Game Time Line o/u towin

Ser#59 (G2) 10:00 sea@ LAA -148

*Ser#60 (G1) 7:00 cle @ DET -157 9 60/2U

*Ser#61 (G1) 7:00 bal @ BOS -167 9 60/2U

Ser#62 (G1) 7:00 nym @ WAS -157 7

* denotes plays passing the o/u filter of 9+ for game 1

! fishy line moves

*O/U Filter Plays

30-30

Base 1U = 30

quote

robbypark

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#372

Posted: 6/5/2012 10:30:49 PM

Keep going Rizz, thanks.

quote

therizz

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#373

Posted: 6/6/2012 5:52:23 PM

BOS and DET to win 157/5.3U

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therizz

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#374

Posted: 6/8/2012 8:48:37 PM

NYY, MIL, ARI were the plays for tonight.

quote

robbypark

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#375

Posted: 6/10/2012 9:33:13 AM

I've noticed that slowly this system is becoming consistent and hitting winner after winner.

quote

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