|I haven't posted anything before but I just found a pretty simple underdog system that was extremely profitable last year for the whole league and over the last 3 years was good as well when betting on American League teams only. I apologize if anyone has posted this before, as far as I know it's an original idea. The rules of the system are:
Posted: 4/1/2012 12:27:39 PM
The game must be the first game of a series of at least 3 games.
The team you're betting has to be an underdog of +150 or more.
The team you're betting has to have scored 5+ runs in each of it's past 2 games.
If the team loses the 1st game of the series, you chase the series for a win, but, you don't double your bet or increase your bet at all. You just continue betting the same amount.
My thinking: While your not always going to be betting on a good team with odds of greater than +150, you are betting on a team that has scored some runs and may be hot. Plus because the team is an underdog you're almost always getting a good value. And with such high odds you can make up ground relatively quickly.
In 2011 this system was 22-19 for +18.25 units.
From 2009-2011, American League teams were +21.21 units and National League teams were -3.29 units.
There weren't a ton of plays but there was an average of 58 games over the last 3 years.
Because the 2011 season was so profitable, I'm inclined to use this system for the entire MLB rather than just the A.L. but there's going to be risk either way with a dog system.
I would appreciate any feedback and I will try to post the plays on this thread when they occur.