MLB RPI SYSTEM 2012

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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: MLB RPI SYSTEM 2012
HECTAR PM HECTAR
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quote#1951
Posted: 6/1/2012 4:52:43 PM
CLV also won 10 of last 11 vs MIN...
radiobam PM radiobam
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quote#1952
Posted: 6/1/2012 5:03:58 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by CannedGoods:



19-1


hows it 19-1, theres been more than 1 loss.. im just confused with this.. could you explain.
radiobam PM radiobam
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quote#1953
Posted: 6/1/2012 5:14:41 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by irage:

May RPI Record

3-May-12,A,Yankees,0.542,-130,V116,LOSS,
3-May-12,A,Toronto,0.56,119,V98,WIN,
4-May-12,B,Yankees,0.542,-160,V116,WIN,
4-May-12,A,Toronto,0.56,111,V98,WIN,
4-May-12,A,Texas,0.68,-143,V89,LOSS,
4-May-12,A,Tampa Bay,0.68,-180,H77,WIN,
4-May-12,A,Dodgers,0.68,-136,V71,LOSS,
5-May-12,B,Texas,0.68,-144,V77,WIN,
5-May-12,B,Dodgers,0.68,-130,V71,WIN,
10-May-12,A,Toronto,0.548,-138,V104,WIN,
11-May-12,A,Toronto,0.548,-128,V104,LOSS,
11-May-12,A,Texas,0.656,-141,H101,WIN,
11-May-12,A,Dodgers,0.645,-159,V57,WIN,
11-May-12,A,WhiteSox,0.469,-145,H63,WIN ,v1
12-May-12,B,Toronto,0.548,-136,V104,WIN ,
13-May-12,Z,Texas,0.656,-127,H101,WIN,
14-May-12,A,Texas,0.657,-180,H90,LOSS,
14-May-12,A,Dodgers,0.676,-147,H62,LOSS,
15-May-12,B,Texas,0.653,-220,H101,LOSS,
15-May-12,B,Dodgers,0.676,-119,H62,WIN,
16-May-12,C,Texas,0.653,-227,H101,WIN,
16-May-12,A,Dodgers,0.676,-105,H62,LOSS,
17-May-12,B,Dodgers,0.676,116,H62,WIN,
21-May-12,A,Yankees,0.525,-157,H52,LOSS,
21-May-12,A,Miami,0.503,-155,H34,WIN,
21-May-12,A,Baltimore,0.545,102,H48,LOSS,
22-May-12,B,Yankees,0.525,-169,H52,WIN,
22-May-12,B,Baltimore,0.545,107,H48,WIN,
24-May-12,A,Mets,0.522,-136,H56,LOSS,
25-May-12,B,Mets,0.522,-113,H56,WIN,
25-May-12,A,Cincinnati,0.517,-154,H48,LOSS,
25-May-12,A,Baltimore,0.545,-123,H73,WIN,
26-May-12,B,Cincinnati,0.517,-147,H48,WIN,
28-May-12,A,Dodgers,0.52,-106,H40,LOSS,
29-May-12,B,Dodgers,0.52,-138,H40,LOSS,
30-May-12,C,Dodgers,0.52,-156,H40,LOSS,

A = 9 B = 9 C = 1 SERIES 19 - 1


like there, i see 15 losses, not trying to be a hole, but i dont understand it, could someone explain.
CanisMajor PM CanisMajor
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quote#1954
Posted: 6/1/2012 5:18:24 PM

This is a series chase.  If we start betting on Team #1 to win one game out of the series, and they do, then it is a win.

 

glefkb01 PM glefkb01
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quote#1955
Posted: 6/1/2012 5:19:31 PM
a loss only counts when you lose a c game.    record reflects the series chase win or lose           i agree though because for that kinda record i am down for the month of may.     
hansivonmueller PM hansivonmueller
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quote#1956
Posted: 6/1/2012 5:21:16 PM
The one series loss was the Dodgers, thus, one loss.
CannedGoods PM CannedGoods
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quote#1957
Posted: 6/1/2012 5:41:23 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by HECTAR:

I going to recoup half my losses with CLV.  Now way this system has 2 losses in a row!!!  Who's with me???


I would do this too but I must pass as I lost 50% of my BR on LAD.  Not smart to continue to risk more as I could lose all of it.
DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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quote#1958
Posted: 6/1/2012 5:42:01 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by irage:

May RPI Record

3-May-12,A,Yankees,0.542,-130,V116,LOSS,
3-May-12,A,Toronto,0.56,119,V98,WIN,
4-May-12,B,Yankees,0.542,-160,V116,WIN,
4-May-12,A,Toronto,0.56,111,V98,WIN,
4-May-12,A,Texas,0.68,-143,V89,LOSS,
4-May-12,A,Tampa Bay,0.68,-180,H77,WIN,
4-May-12,A,Dodgers,0.68,-136,V71,LOSS,
5-May-12,B,Texas,0.68,-144,V77,WIN,
5-May-12,B,Dodgers,0.68,-130,V71,WIN,
10-May-12,A,Toronto,0.548,-138,V104,WIN,
11-May-12,A,Toronto,0.548,-128,V104,LOSS,
11-May-12,A,Texas,0.656,-141,H101,WIN,
11-May-12,A,Dodgers,0.645,-159,V57,WIN,
11-May-12,A,WhiteSox,0.469,-145,H63,WIN ,v1
12-May-12,B,Toronto,0.548,-136,V104,WIN ,
13-May-12,Z,Texas,0.656,-127,H101,WIN,
14-May-12,A,Texas,0.657,-180,H90,LOSS,
14-May-12,A,Dodgers,0.676,-147,H62,LOSS,
15-May-12,B,Texas,0.653,-220,H101,LOSS,
15-May-12,B,Dodgers,0.676,-119,H62,WIN,
16-May-12,C,Texas,0.653,-227,H101,WIN,
16-May-12,A,Dodgers,0.676,-105,H62,LOSS,
17-May-12,B,Dodgers,0.676,116,H62,WIN,
21-May-12,A,Yankees,0.525,-157,H52,LOSS,
21-May-12,A,Miami,0.503,-155,H34,WIN,
21-May-12,A,Baltimore,0.545,102,H48,LOSS,
22-May-12,B,Yankees,0.525,-169,H52,WIN,
22-May-12,B,Baltimore,0.545,107,H48,WIN,
24-May-12,A,Mets,0.522,-136,H56,LOSS,
25-May-12,B,Mets,0.522,-113,H56,WIN,
25-May-12,A,Cincinnati,0.517,-154,H48,LOSS,
25-May-12,A,Baltimore,0.545,-123,H73,WIN,
26-May-12,B,Cincinnati,0.517,-147,H48,WIN,
28-May-12,A,Dodgers,0.52,-106,H40,LOSS,
29-May-12,B,Dodgers,0.52,-138,H40,LOSS,
30-May-12,C,Dodgers,0.52,-156,H40,LOSS,

A = 9 B = 9 C = 1 SERIES 19 - 1

And if you're interested in how mnay units the system is up or down if you played the above series

Assuming -200 ML on every game just to make the math easy.  If you were betting each game in the series to win your losses back plus 1 unit.  You would be down 5 Units

If you bet only the A and B game of the series to win your losses back plus 1 unit, but only bet 1 unit on C games (i.e. the way B2W says he bets in the beginning of the thread in his google doc) - then you would be up 3 units

CannedGoods PM CannedGoods
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quote#1959
Posted: 6/1/2012 5:44:03 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by radiobam:



hows it 19-1, theres been more than 1 loss.. im just confused with this.. could you explain.


Sure thing. We "chase" series.  This means that we bet a certain amount to win the A game.  If A game loses, we bet to win what we lost + what we wanted to win for game B.  If game B loses then we bet A losses + B losses + what we wanna win for C on game C.  As long as one of those games win, you win a unit.  Be careful though as losses cost a lot of $, should they happen.
radiobam PM radiobam
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quote#1960
Posted: 6/1/2012 6:45:50 PM
ok i understand now a bit, are picks listed everyday if there is a play.. and also does it state whether or not its a.. A B or C..

because b games are 10-1
peter1988 PM peter1988
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quote#1961
Posted: 6/1/2012 6:48:49 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by DegenGamble:

Things to think about:

1) The system is based on a 3 game series.  B2W said you can bet the D game if losing A,B, and C - but he doesn't.

2) Does Kemp start tonight?  If no, remember one of the system rules is no injuries. - I don't know if that is based on at the start of the series or while in the middle - but take it as you will.

3) Teams going in opposite direction in the W/L column - don't know if this qualifies and again - we arte in the middle in the series - but it makes you go hmmm.

 

All that being said - if LAD is a home dog - it may be worth putting a unit on it for me, but I don't think i'm gonna try to recoup my series losses on a "D" game here. 

On another note - here is the good news.  We at least got the "C" game loss out of the way for the season.  And for the bad news...... as of today - I don't see a RPI play until 6/15!!!!!!

of course that may change as games are played out - but imagine if we have to wait until 6/15 until we can even start winning some of our money back!!!! 



Just to go back to the LAD series loss for a second, I personally don't think this should of been a play if we follow rule two.

not only was Kemp hurt (joined team on game 2), but Lilly is out too (i'd consider him the 2nd best pitcher they have). I know they were hot coming into the series, but if we stuck to the real, the serious should of been bailed on.
bettor2win PM bettor2win
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quote#1962
Posted: 6/1/2012 8:36:52 PM
OH MAN!!!! I can't believe my eyes! Maybe an "A" Game easy win?????
CannedGoods PM CannedGoods
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quote#1963
Posted: 6/1/2012 9:22:57 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by peter1988:



Just to go back to the LAD series loss for a second, I personally don't think this should of been a play if we follow rule two.

not only was Kemp hurt (joined team on game 2), but Lilly is out too (i'd consider him the 2nd best pitcher they have). I know they were hot coming into the series, but if we stuck to the real, the serious should of been bailed on.


The other interesting note I'd like to share is that Texas fucked us in 2010, KC last year and LAD this year.  All were 4 game series.  I assume if we just would ignore these series, although tempting, we would save ourselves some hassle and $.  Or even if we modify 4 games to pass on game 1 and chase the final 3.  Something to consider as a whole and something I personally plan on implementing.
stickbit PM stickbit
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quote#1964
Posted: 6/1/2012 10:05:21 PM
I think last yr was something like 55-22-5-1 ??
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RealRedDragon PM RealRedDragon
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quote#1965
Posted: 6/1/2012 10:46:43 PM
Hey, SoCal311 
where is your  now?
Your still following or looking for another superwinsystem? Or looking for some money to loose?
PLAYAAAA1969 PM PLAYAAAA1969
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quote#1966
Posted: 6/1/2012 10:52:37 PM
Indians 
Fade the Dodgers, A's, Padres 
BookieCrusher88 PM BookieCrusher88
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quote#1967
Posted: 6/1/2012 11:44:19 PM
What's happening to the Dodgers the last 5 games? Were their skills sucked by the Monstars like Space Jam
smoothd20 PM smoothd20
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quote#1968
Posted: 6/2/2012 12:05:20 AM
Yo Matty I apologize if I offended you. That wasn't my intent at all. I was speaking in general terms not specifically about you. There are lots of negative people on these threads and we're not one of them. That's why my other thread has been running for so long because of the quality of people that visit and post on it. So now that you know that I'm hoping we can put this behind us. I'm prone to ramble once in a while that's just my style but don't take it personal. It's all meant to be fun. That's why I wanted to have this Battle Forum so it could be fun and also to shut the big mouths up. 
sw208ll PM sw208ll
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quote#1969
Posted: 6/2/2012 1:25:34 AM
When we talk about the overall record for the system, we are referring to the series wins/losses - not individual wins and losses. We don't care so much if a team loses a game, as long as they don't lose a "series". For us, a win is when a team wins a game in the series. If its a 3 game series, we bet the A game and if we lose, we bet the B game and if we lose, we bet the C game. Same goes for a 4 game series, but we don't play D games, if it gets that far. Generally, if we win an A game, that series is over for us - we won. If we lose the A game and win the B game, that series is done. I had a lot of trouble understanding it at first, but hopefully I explained it in an okay way.
sw208ll PM sw208ll
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quote#1970
Posted: 6/2/2012 1:26:28 AM
Also if you guys have twitter on your phone, or computer I guess, follow me at @MLBRPI and I post the plays each day and whether its an A, B or C game.
radiobam PM radiobam
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quote#1971
Posted: 6/2/2012 2:06:48 AM
I understand now, thanks for explaining it guys. But just wondering how much are you guys up or down right now ?

And I'm guessing results from previous years have been positive as well ? Only one loss last year I think right and like 85-90 wins.
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pazim PM pazim
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quote#1972
Posted: 6/2/2012 2:21:20 AM
If we bet the runline when the odds are over -150 then record would be A=9-B=8 C=2  and 1 loss. Yankees won by 1 run against kansas city and then they won by 5 against them the next day. That's the only series that was affected by this so far.
smoothd20 PM smoothd20
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quote#1973
Posted: 6/2/2012 3:11:48 AM
MATTYMEACH- I posted the results in the Battle Forum. You're winning 4-3. The rules are there for everyone to see and I updated them. You can pick any game you want. Baseball is money line or run line. Just post them like you did today and it's cool. Don't let people get to you. I appreciate you being in the first battle. That's why I'm paying for the beer to the winner. Hopefully you will finish the Battle. Good luck.
TheGovernor11 PM TheGovernor11
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quote#1974
Posted: 6/2/2012 4:21:08 AM
Hey guys, I want the credit for doing none of the work.  Follow me on Twitter @FuckYou.  You'll have that twitter account until another loss hits and then you'll be back screaming that this system is bullshit. 

Know what I liked about the Dodgers losing?  It was like Swine Flu.  Killed off the weak and dumb.  Or at least from constantly questioning/ripping on a proven system because they're so damn impatient. 

God I love posting at 420 in the morning.  It's only rants and mean garbage. 
bikemcr PM bikemcr
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quote#1975
Posted: 6/2/2012 7:18:49 AM

I have not been following playing this system but did follow some of BTW and Irage`s plays before it kicked in . BOL with it guys and last night should restore some faith in it .

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