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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: MLB RPI SYSTEM 2012
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#1576
Posted: 5/13/2012 10:25:19 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bettor2win:


 If it comes to fruition, we will join it along with this system next year...or at the all star break this year.  Are you good with that?


Your choice as you are the originator. I only spoofed off your system.
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#1577
Posted: 5/13/2012 10:32:47 PM

Plays tomorrow TENTATIVELY are:
TEX A GAME
CLV A GAME
LAD A GAME
WAS A GAME
NYM A GAME (lowekee, you're up buddy! Time to make up that        cash'o'LA)

Continuation Series play is: TEX Looks like TEX will be a winner tonight vs laa. So, we will be at an A GAME with the continuation series as long as TEX holds on. 

ALSO!!! AIR1 seems to have some news! If you take the first 5 inning bet, it does as well or BETTER than our RPI system did last year.  KC would have won our bet with a 5inn bet last year.  IDK if AIR1 will start a thread or not, but, I'm showing you some different plays. 

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#1578
Posted: 5/13/2012 10:55:29 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bettor2win:

Plays tomorrow TENTATIVELY are:
TEX A GAME
CLV A GAME
LAD A GAME
WAS A GAME
NYM A GAME (lowekee, you're up buddy! Time to make up that        cash'o'LA)

Continuation Series play is: TEX Looks like TEX will be a winner tonight vs laa. So, we will be at an A GAME with the continuation series as long as TEX holds on. 

ALSO!!! AIR1 seems to have some news! If you take the first 5 inning bet, it does as well or BETTER than our RPI system did last year.  KC would have won our bet with a 5inn bet last year.  IDK if AIR1 will start a thread or not, but, I'm showing you some different plays. 



These are all only TWO game series... Still plays?
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#1579
Posted: 5/13/2012 11:16:56 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by dlunc3:



These are all only TWO game series... Still plays?

WELL EXCUSE ME! Strong work dlunc3. 
Tentative plays for MONDAY are:

TEX
LAD
both teams have back to back 2 game series vs RPI qualifying teams...TENTATIVELY. Will update in morning when new RPI is out. 

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#1580
Posted: 5/13/2012 11:30:25 PM
AND YES! We play interleauge games. Because if they suck in the NL or AL, they SUCK in BASEBALL.
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#1581
Posted: 5/13/2012 11:41:18 PM

TEX won our B game in the continuation series against MY LOSER ANGELS.  So, tomorrow looks like this:TENTATIVELY!!!

RPI SYSTEM:
TEX A GAME
LAD A GAME

CONTINUATION SERIES:
TEX A GAME

AIR1 RPI 1ST 5 INNING SERIES: (POSTING INCASE HE DOESN'T)
TEX
LAD

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#1582
Posted: 5/13/2012 11:56:07 PM

2012 BETTOR2WIN MLB RPI SYSTEM


FILTERS / RECORD

V1 (A = 1 - B = 0 - C = 0)

V2 (A = 7 - B = 4 - C = 0)

Z1 (WIN = 1 - LOSS = 0)


RPI FILTER

VISITOR = < 42

HOME = < 50



MAY - 2012

5/10 - (A) Toronto .548 -138 (V104) - WIN

5/11 - (A) Toronto .548 -128 (V104) - LOSS
5/11 - (A) Texas .656 -141 (H101) - WIN
5/11 - (A) Dodgers .645 -159 (V57) - WIN
5/11 - (A) WhiteSox .469 -145 (H63) - WIN (v1)

5/12 - (B) Toronto .548 -136 (V104) - WIN

5/13 - (Z) Texas .656 -127 (H101) - WIN
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#1583
Posted: 5/13/2012 11:59:15 PM
Sorry Guys. Looks like Covers is restricting the character limit in a single post. I had to cut some of the history to make it fit. I think I am going to post the entire record on my site. Give me a day or two to get it up and going.
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#1584
Posted: 5/14/2012 12:03:47 AM
Amen irage. Just post w/l records then if you have to.
Posted using a mobile device.
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#1585
Posted: 5/14/2012 12:08:20 AM
IRAGE, sent you a pm. Thanks bro.
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#1586
Posted: 5/14/2012 1:15:28 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by stickbit:

B2W: question...did you happen to keep track on how the Continuation System did 2 years ago?

I found last year's RPI Continuation thread...for anyone interested here is a rough idea of how it ended and I believe this was only for a July/August.

http://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=79&sub=101089039&page=1 

season record: 
A Game wins: 16
B Game wins: 10
C games:   0
Losses: 0
Total record: 26-0
unofficial plays: 2-0 Both "A" game wins.


Nice Find Stickbit, but it is incorrect. I read til the end of the thread and it should be
season record: 
A Game wins: 18
B Game wins: 11
C games:   0
Losses: 0
Total record: 29-0
unofficial plays: 2-0 Both "A" game wins.

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#1587
Posted: 5/14/2012 2:51:31 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bettor2win:

TEX won our B game in the continuation series against MY LOSER ANGELS.  So, tomorrow looks like this:TENTATIVELY!!!

RPI SYSTEM:
TEX A GAME
LAD A GAME

CONTINUATION SERIES:
TEX A GAME

AIR1 RPI 1ST 5 INNING SERIES: (POSTING INCASE HE DOESN'T)
TEX
LAD


So does this essentially mean we bet TEX twice? Once for the RPI and again for the Continuation?
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#1588
Posted: 5/14/2012 7:49:56 AM
B2W and irage - what is the win ratio like if I was to fade the system picks as the juice is lower and noticed that 4 games went to B games..

I'm not saying your system has a fault, I was just looking at it the other way round. When I get home today I'll back test the results and see how many failed or came through.. 

As our primary objective is to make money and to share our strengths.

As my first stake for GAME A is $300 x 1.5 = $450 (profit of $150) if game A wins

GAME B stake is stake $900 x 1.5 = $1350 (profit of $150 or loss of $1200)

GAME C stake is $2700 x 1.5 = $4050 (profit of $150 and had to risk $3900.

If by using the RPI filter and going for the other team juice is going to be much lower and if they do win in 3 game series were in the money...


Then again I might be completely wrong and a fool, only way to find out is to put it on to the drawing board.



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#1589
Posted: 5/14/2012 9:22:35 AM
B2w I had the same question was Jolive do we bet game a twice once for RPI official play and once for continuation
Posted using a mobile device.
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#1590
Posted: 5/14/2012 9:51:23 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Jaycut:

B2W and irage - what is the win ratio like if I was to fade the system picks as the juice is lower and noticed that 4 games went to B games..

I'm not saying your system has a fault, I was just looking at it the other way round. When I get home today I'll back test the results and see how many failed or came through.. 

As our primary objective is to make money and to share our strengths.

As my first stake for GAME A is $300 x 1.5 = $450 (profit of $150) if game A wins

GAME B stake is stake $900 x 1.5 = $1350 (profit of $150 or loss of $1200)

GAME C stake is $2700 x 1.5 = $4050 (profit of $150 and had to risk $3900.

If by using the RPI filter and going for the other team juice is going to be much lower and if they do win in 3 game series were in the money...


Then again I might be completely wrong and a fool, only way to find out is to put it on to the drawing board.




I mentioned last year something like this and got bashed severly. Enjoy.
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#1591
Posted: 5/14/2012 9:56:47 AM

B2W's RPI SYSTEM

Updates:

  • Updated schedule for some 2 game series that are not properly noted
  • MLB history has RPI history from 4/30 to 5/14

 

DegenGamble Latest Version

Download Here 

CanisMajor Latest Version

Download Here

If you have any questions about my spreadsheet, issues, feedback, etc.  PLEASE PM me - do not clutter the thread with spreadsheet questions.

If you have any questions about CanisMajor’s spreadsheet, issues, feedback, etc.  He has a thread located at: http://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=79&sub=101332893

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#1592
Posted: 5/14/2012 9:57:02 AM
You mention the 5 inning line lately. I have been having success in betting the first 5 run line. Instead of laying -200 with halladay. I might lay -.5. -120 instead.

The mets beat philly 3 times last week but philly led after the first 5 in all 3 games. Except for teamrankings i cannot find any 5 inning stats. Does anybody know a good place to find stats?

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bettor2win
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#1593
Posted: 5/14/2012 10:11:58 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Jaycut:

B2W and irage - what is the win ratio like if I was to fade the system picks as the juice is lower and noticed that 4 games went to B games..

I'm not saying your system has a fault, I was just looking at it the other way round. When I get home today I'll back test the results and see how many failed or came through.. 

As our primary objective is to make money and to share our strengths.

As my first stake for GAME A is $300 x 1.5 = $450 (profit of $150) if game A wins

GAME B stake is stake $900 x 1.5 = $1350 (profit of $150 or loss of $1200)

GAME C stake is $2700 x 1.5 = $4050 (profit of $150 and had to risk $3900.

If by using the RPI filter and going for the other team juice is going to be much lower and if they do win in 3 game series were in the money...


Then again I might be completely wrong and a fool, only way to find out is to put it on to the drawing board.



Somebody said we had like 16 sweeps last year.  IDK. It would work a lot of the time, but definitely not all the time.  At least you would normally have + juice.

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#1594
Posted: 5/14/2012 10:17:49 AM

Looks like we only have 2 Official plays today.  Since both teams play two- 2 game series, treat this like a 4 game series. 
TEX A GAME
LAD A GAME

The Continuation Series is on an A Game as well.The play is:
TEX

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#1595
Posted: 5/14/2012 10:37:45 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by DegenGamble:

B2W's RPI SYSTEM

Updates:

  • Updated schedule for some 2 game series that are not properly noted
  • MLB history has RPI history from 4/30 to 5/14
  • FORGOT TO MENTION - I added Home 1st 5 and Visitor 1st 5 as an option in the dropdown in the "MLB Results" tab

 

DegenGamble Latest Version

Download Here 

CanisMajor Latest Version

Download Here

If you have any questions about my spreadsheet, issues, feedback, etc.  PLEASE PM me - do not clutter the thread with spreadsheet questions.

If you have any questions about CanisMajor’s spreadsheet, issues, feedback, etc.  He has a thread located at: http://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=79&sub=101332893

quote
bettor2win
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#1596
Posted: 5/14/2012 10:48:59 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by cytdemasi08:

B2w I had the same question was Jolive do we bet game a twice once for RPI official play and once for continuation

Personally, I bet them seperate.  So, YES, I bet them 2X. 

One more thing guys, I don't mind whatsoever if you want to try a reverse system or whatever.  lowekee00 said he mentioned it last year and had his head bit off. Well, sorry about that.  But if it works, do it. Backtest, create filters, whatever.  If you do a reverse system, even with a few losses it may work, or at least make money because you would be getting a lot of +juice points. 

 

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#1597
Posted: 5/14/2012 10:59:19 AM
BTW,

Some food for thought. Since we are playing the GOOD team as a four game series against two lessor teams in two two-game series back-to-back...would it not also make sense to play against the BAD team as a four game series against two better teams in two two-game series?

Such as: VS San Diego against WAS & LAD and also VS Kansas City against TEX & BAL

Both SD and KC qualify as inferior in RPI to both of their upcoming opponents. MIN would also qualify to play against  as well, EXCEPT DET does not have a better than .500 record. (Unofficial I guess).

My guess is that there has not been back-testing on this? It follows the same logic - that bad teams will lose at least one against two good teams.

However it is a slightly different dynamic invloved - going against a bad team to lose one against two DIFFERENT good teams instead of backing a good team to win one against two different bad teams.

This would add a VS KC (Tex again) as it's own separate series and a VS SD (WAS) as it's own series to this group. If you wanted to add an unofficial VS MIN (DET) series you could as well.

I understand this is not your system, but it is right in line with the exact same logic

Talk to me Goose!
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#1598
Posted: 5/14/2012 11:07:14 AM
One other chunk of fat to chew on:

neither SD or MIN have won more than two in a row this season. KC won three in a row once, and are on a two game winning streak. They'd have to run that to six in a row to lose that series vs Tex & Bal. Odds are high against that.
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#1599
Posted: 5/14/2012 11:23:21 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by LSU2thBone:

BTW,

Some food for thought. Since we are playing the GOOD team as a four game series against two lessor teams in two two-game series back-to-back...would it not also make sense to play against the BAD team as a four game series against two better teams in two two-game series?

Such as: VS San Diego against WAS & LAD and also VS Kansas City against TEX & BAL

Both SD and KC qualify as inferior in RPI to both of their upcoming opponents. MIN would also qualify to play against  as well, EXCEPT DET does not have a better than .500 record. (Unofficial I guess).

My guess is that there has not been back-testing on this? It follows the same logic - that bad teams will lose at least one against two good teams.

However it is a slightly different dynamic invloved - going against a bad team to lose one against two DIFFERENT good teams instead of backing a good team to win one against two different bad teams.

This would add a VS KC (Tex again) as it's own separate series and a VS SD (WAS) as it's own series to this group. If you wanted to add an unofficial VS MIN (DET) series you could as well.

I understand this is not your system, but it is right in line with the exact same logic

Talk to me Goose!

seems smart to me... good call
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#1600
Posted: 5/14/2012 11:57:50 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by LSU2thBone:

BTW,

Some food for thought. Since we are playing the GOOD team as a four game series against two lessor teams in two two-game series back-to-back...would it not also make sense to play against the BAD team as a four game series against two better teams in two two-game series?

Such as: VS San Diego against WAS & LAD and also VS Kansas City against TEX & BAL

Both SD and KC qualify as inferior in RPI to both of their upcoming opponents. MIN would also qualify to play against  as well, EXCEPT DET does not have a better than .500 record. (Unofficial I guess).

My guess is that there has not been back-testing on this? It follows the same logic - that bad teams will lose at least one against two good teams.

However it is a slightly different dynamic invloved - going against a bad team to lose one against two DIFFERENT good teams instead of backing a good team to win one against two different bad teams.

This would add a VS KC (Tex again) as it's own separate series and a VS SD (WAS) as it's own series to this group. If you wanted to add an unofficial VS MIN (DET) series you could as well.

I understand this is not your system, but it is right in line with the exact same logic

Talk to me Goose!

B2Dubs...what are your thoughts on playing against bad teams just like playing on good teams?
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