MLB RPI SYSTEM 2012

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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: MLB RPI SYSTEM 2012
SoCal311 PM SoCal311
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quote#826
Posted: 4/27/2012 11:37:42 AM
BookieCrusher88 PM BookieCrusher88
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quote#827
Posted: 4/27/2012 12:21:30 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by murphmanny:


Yeah and that's when the Red Sox throw Lester at you lol.
We'll see, I'll be taking Red Sox the rest of the series though. Don't trust the RPI right now, since Boston's had ups and downs with injuries and bullpen issues. They're gonna be contenders this year and their RPI right now isn't showing it.


True that buddy! I saw Lester against Peavy but then again like I've said a while back, CHW has the best chance of winning since I believe Peavy won't be giving up a lot of runs. That's my opinion though.  BOL to all anyways
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quote#828
Posted: 4/27/2012 12:39:19 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bettor2win:

Because they dont.

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quote#829
Posted: 4/27/2012 1:59:51 PM
HECTAR loves ATL!!!!!
irage PM irage
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quote#830
Posted: 4/27/2012 2:41:38 PM
4/20 - (A) Toronto (4) .545 +102 - (V145) - WIN
4/20 - (A) WhiteSox .545 -123 - (H46) - WIN
4/20 - (A) Washington .769 -115 - (H133) - WIN
4/20 - (A) Cincinnati .333 -122 - (V64) - WIN
4/20 - (A) St. Louis .750 -124 - (V54) - WIN
4/20 - (A) Cleveland .500 -116 - (V85) - WIN
4/20 - (A) Mets .583 -131 (H153) - LOSS
4/20 - (A) Boston .333 -110 - (H77) - LOSS
4/20 - (A) Tampa Bay .500 -176 - (H43) - LOSS
4/20 - (A) Milwaukee .500 -127 - (H75) - LOSS

4/21 - (A) Texas .333 -103 - (V84) - WIN
4/21 - (B) Mets .583 -109 (H153) - WIN
4/21 - (B) Tampa Bay .500 -198 - (H43) - WIN
4/21 - (B) Milwaukee .500 -121 - (H75) - WIN
4/21 - (B) Baltimore .583 +181 (V174) - LOSS

4/22 - (C) Baltimore .533 +158 (V140) - WIN

4/23 - (A) Texas .800 -139 (H132) - LOSS?
4/23 - (A) St. Louis .667 -111 (V75) - LOSS
4/23 - (A) WhiteSox .600 -108 (V203) - WIN

4/24 - (B) Texas .800 -139 (H113) - WIN
4/24 - (B) St. Louis .667 -111 (V75) - LOSS
4/24 - (A) Mets .571 +104 (H138) - WIN
4/24 - (A) Washington .750 -115 (V112) - WIN
4/24 - (A) Cleveland .615 -130 (H104) - WIN
4/24 - (A) Tampa Bay .533 -148 (H109) - WIN

4/25 - (C) St. Louis .667 -144 (V75) - WIN

4/26 - (A) WhiteSox .583 -118 (V78) - LOSS

I'm out on the Sox and Mets today. I like Baltimore and San Fran back at home. Minny is below .500 so not a PRE RPI play, but I like them too.

4/27 - (B) WhiteSox .583 +101 (H78) - PENDING
4/27 - (A) Seattle .500 +178 (V50) - PENDING
4/27 - (A) Atlanta .632 -174 (H69) - PENDING
4/27 - (A) San Francisco .532 +104 (H53) - PENDING
4/27 - (A) Cleveland .529 +132 (H49) - PENDING
4/27 - (A) Baltimore .632 -126 (H88) - PENDING
4/27 - (A) Texas .789 -140 (H92) - PENDING
4/27 - (A) Mets .579 +149 (V108) - PENDING

mattymeach31 PM mattymeach31
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quote#831
Posted: 4/27/2012 3:06:29 PM
IRAGE, are you playing all these games?
choe20 PM choe20
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quote#832
Posted: 4/27/2012 3:14:27 PM
Laying off CHW as well for today.. will see how tonight turns out.. I like PHI, TEX, TOR today as well as leaning ATL and LAD 
Jaycut PM Jaycut
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quote#833
Posted: 4/27/2012 3:19:37 PM
I'm going 4 units on NYY as DET are BLOODY COLD....
traviosoway PM traviosoway
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quote#834
Posted: 4/27/2012 3:29:04 PM
I'm new to this thread.  Love the system.  I've been watching from last year, but I'm on it with ya'll this year.  I'm taking San Fran, Seattle, Texas (Fact, they will not lose all 3 to the Rays), Baltimore, and Atlanta. 
metsrinsane05 PM metsrinsane05
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quote#835
Posted: 4/27/2012 7:48:30 PM
are we still using the 42 away and 50 home RPI points?
bettor2win PM bettor2win
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quote#836
Posted: 4/27/2012 9:26:01 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by metsrinsane05:

are we still using the 42 away and 50 home RPI points?

Once the RPI comes out tomorrow morning I will evaluate the numbers. I have used different numbers, off by 2-5 points, in the past 4 years. Most likely the numbers will be right around 50 Visitor and 42 home. 

 

 

bettor2win PM bettor2win
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quote#837
Posted: 4/27/2012 11:32:20 PM

I must say, the Numbers this year are NOT as consistant as in years past with the RPI.  It's convoluted and it has teams with barely winning records in the top 10 teams (Sea/CWS).  It really has to do with the schedule that has been played so far. Good teams are playing the good teams and bad teams seem to be playing the bad teams.  I am still worried about the NYM though. They have a winning record BUT have been outscored by their opponents by 12 runs and tonight are losing tonight and COL scored 11 runs in the 5th inn.  The CWS are sure to drop if they keep playing like this against a losing record team (BOS). 

What WE really want in the RPI numbers is 2 great teams with high RPI's.  We barely had that last year. TEX & ATL (as long as Chipper stays healthy, otherwise, ATL is a No bet IMO) have a chance at being high RPI teams.  That way we will always have a play almost.

So, on monday, We start the RPI!! GL everybody!

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quote#838
Posted: 4/27/2012 11:52:54 PM
bettor2win PM bettor2win
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quote#839
Posted: 4/28/2012 12:08:55 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bettor2win:

So, on monday, We start the RPI!! GL everybody!

Or "We start the R.I.P."

bettor2win PM bettor2win
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quote#840
Posted: 4/28/2012 12:12:43 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by HECTAR:

HECTAR loves ATL!!!!!

 See! I have ONE friend. 

Ok, what the hell happened to my avatar again??? I lost my pic, then I replaced it with the elevator scene from Hangover and now my original pic is back (which I like).  I think covers.com is trying to tell me something.  JV, what do you think?

HECTAR PM HECTAR
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quote#841
Posted: 4/28/2012 1:07:25 AM
Hola b2w!!!  ATL
irage PM irage
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quote#842
Posted: 4/28/2012 1:20:16 AM
4/20 - (A) Toronto (4) .545 +102 - (V145) - WIN
4/20 - (A) WhiteSox .545 -123 - (H46) - WIN
4/20 - (A) Washington .769 -115 - (H133) - WIN
4/20 - (A) Cincinnati .333 -122 - (V64) - WIN
4/20 - (A) St. Louis .750 -124 - (V54) - WIN
4/20 - (A) Cleveland .500 -116 - (V85) - WIN
4/20 - (A) Mets .583 -131 (H153) - LOSS
4/20 - (A) Boston .333 -110 - (H77) - LOSS
4/20 - (A) Tampa Bay .500 -176 - (H43) - LOSS
4/20 - (A) Milwaukee .500 -127 - (H75) - LOSS

4/21 - (A) Texas .333 -103 - (V84) - WIN
4/21 - (B) Mets .583 -109 (H153) - WIN
4/21 - (B) Tampa Bay .500 -198 - (H43) - WIN
4/21 - (B) Milwaukee .500 -121 - (H75) - WIN
4/21 - (B) Baltimore .583 +181 (V174) - LOSS

4/22 - (C) Baltimore .533 +158 (V140) - WIN

4/23 - (A) Texas .800 -139 (H132) - LOSS
4/23 - (A) St. Louis .667 -111 (V75) - LOSS
4/23 - (A) WhiteSox .600 -108 (V203) - WIN

4/24 - (B) Texas .800 -139 (H113) - WIN
4/24 - (B) St. Louis .667 -111 (V75) - LOSS
4/24 - (A) Mets .571 +104 (H138) - WIN
4/24 - (A) Washington .750 -115 (V112) - WIN
4/24 - (A) Cleveland .615 -130 (H104) - WIN
4/24 - (A) Tampa Bay .533 -148 (H109) - WIN

4/25 - (C) St. Louis .667 -144 (V75) - WIN

4/26 - (A) WhiteSox .583 -118 (V78) - LOSS

4/27 - (B) WhiteSox .583 +101 (H78) - LOSS
4/27 - (A) Seattle .500 +178 (V50) - WIN
4/27 - (A) Atlanta .632 -174 (H69) - WIN
4/27 - (A) San Francisco .532 +104 (H53) - LOSS
4/27 - (A) Cleveland .529 +132 (H49) - WIN
4/27 - (A) Baltimore .632 -126 (H88) - LOSS
4/27 - (A) Texas .789 -140 (H92) - LOSS
4/27 - (A) Mets .579 +149 (V108) - LOSS

Horrible night for me 0 - 3, I have noticed a trend in A games. We are only at A = 53%, B = 42% C = 100%. C Games seem to be where the money is at.

I agree B2W, something is up. We may need to wait a little longer until more teams have played. I'm a little concerned that we are not seeing better numbers out of A and B games. I know it's early, but I would advise treading lightly out of the gate.

Again work the system, don't get worked by the system.

Glad your pic is back to normal. I like this one better.
bettor2win PM bettor2win
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quote#843
Posted: 4/28/2012 1:56:25 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by irage:



Horrible night for me 0 - 3, I have noticed a trend in A games. We are only at A = 53%, B = 42% C = 100%. C Games seem to be where the money is at.

I agree B2W, something is up. We may need to wait a little longer until more teams have played. I'm a little concerned that we are not seeing better numbers out of A and B games. I know it's early, but I would advise treading lightly out of the gate.

Again work the system, don't get worked by the system.

Glad your pic is back to normal. I like this one better.

Thanks for the avatar comment

Here's the problem I see Irage....Usually the "predictions" are pretty much right in what they see. But things are "backwards right now."  Now, maybe "WE" are the ones that are backwards but here's the BIG problem I see...I have never, and I mean never have had +juice on this system, which is a potential I see coming up.  Even against King Felix!!! This may actually take some modifying because I created this system to put heavy winners against LOSERS...Not favs vs winning teams. Last year I did notice one thing though and I mentioned it early on, it was that there was "parity"/mediocrity between the MLB teams.  Maybe that's the problem.  I say we start the MLB RPI on Monday but with a new filter.....In the month of "MAY", the higher RPI team must be at least 4 games ahead of the lower RPI team. This is just a starting line.  This way it creates a "division". 

BookieCrusher88 PM BookieCrusher88
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quote#844
Posted: 4/28/2012 4:42:25 AM
I agree with irage. It seems that its hard to win "A" and "B" games this year. I have actually thought about this about 2 weeks ago but just didn't post it. I really feel that we will need to have to go through a lot of "C" games this year. That's just how I feel.
xX80Xx PM xX80Xx
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quote#845
Posted: 4/28/2012 6:39:56 AM
If in this season we will have more B and C games, maybe we have to change bet system... I mean not 1u for A, 3u for B, and back 1u on game C.

Today im really bad shape with our games... open CWS and BAL for game B 3 units...

Hope monday and system changes give us a fresh breath.

Regards Masters
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quote#846
Posted: 4/28/2012 6:49:54 AM
I agree too. A lot of plays and not much desperation of good teams and bad teams and a lot of b and c games BUT the pre RPI is like undefeated and we so many series that have qualified early half of last years profit has been won already IN TWO WEEKS! But with such a low winning % on a & b games it seems like its only a matter of time till one or two series losses unless the RPI ratings change.
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cytdemasi08 PM cytdemasi08
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quote#847
Posted: 4/28/2012 6:51:35 AM
Sorry I meant "separation of good and bad teams"
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glefkb01 PM glefkb01
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quote#848
Posted: 4/28/2012 6:51:45 AM

Maybe its just me but ... Dont we all notice when a season in ANY sport starts playing we are all winning and then right around the 4th week BAM! vegas takes it all back.

Maybe patients is good and we hold off on the RPI for another 2 weeks... Has the RPI ever had a bad year B2W.

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quote#849
Posted: 4/28/2012 8:38:38 AM
There sure has been alot of DOGS winning lately.
bettor2win PM bettor2win
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quote#850
Posted: 4/28/2012 9:48:32 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by glefkb01:

Maybe its just me but ... Dont we all notice when a season in ANY sport starts playing we are all winning and then right around the 4th week BAM! vegas takes it all back.

Maybe patients is good and we hold off on the RPI for another 2 weeks... Has the RPI ever had a bad year B2W.

No. worset year was 3 losses.  I only lost 2 of those series because quit series before 3rd game.

It's an "El Nino" year so far with the RPI.

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