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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: NBA Rule of 6 = 6 Systems!!!!
gbpackman send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#176
Posted: 3/29/2012 11:51:20 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by The__Man:

I remember I backtested system #1.  It's not very good.  System #2 is sick though.

That's GREAT to hear now!!! WTF?

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#177
Posted: 3/29/2012 12:32:33 PM
System #1 is still in the positive unit range if you followed since I started posting.

I back-tested til the 05-06 season and BOTH system #1 & #2 had only 1 season with negative results. System #1 was last season and #2 was in 08-09
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#178
Posted: 3/29/2012 12:36:01 PM
FML NY
Pending Plays
System #3: 2 game chase on LAC to win ats vs port/utah.
System #3: 2 game chase on Mem to win ats vs Mil/OKC
Streakers
Cle lost 4 ats in a row
Sac lost 4 ats in a row

Results so far
System #1: +.74 Units
System #2: +6 Units
System #3: +.6 Units
System #4: No Plays
System #5: +4 Units
System #6: +1 Units
Total:::::::::: +12.34 Units
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thegetaway
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#179
Posted: 3/29/2012 2:00:40 PM
Lac covered last night for a system win, right?
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#180
Posted: 3/29/2012 3:01:52 PM
System #3: 2 game chase on LAC to win ats vs PORTLAND/utah.
System #3 is not against Phoenix.
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thegetaway
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#181
Posted: 3/29/2012 3:22:57 PM
Thanks for the clarification.  I should have read the system rules in post one better.  I did get lucky and took LAC last night.  I am following and really like the system.  Keep up the good work. 
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#182
Posted: 3/29/2012 6:16:12 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by The__Man:

I remember I backtested system #1.  It's not very good.  System #2 is sick though.

Could you please explain BOTH of your views?

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#183
Posted: 3/30/2012 7:21:45 PM
Did you backtest this system in baseball?
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#184
Posted: 3/30/2012 7:25:46 PM
I mean would it work with the ML's somehow?
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spilmaz88
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#185
Posted: 3/30/2012 7:30:42 PM

--the past ATS losses have nothing to do with future ATS losses or wins, its still about 50-50

--this is similar to the martinglae system which is proven to have short term gains but long term can have big losses

--the only good thing I can think of this is similar to "REGRESSION TO THE MEAN"- your probably better off fading abyone who is above 80% ATS in the leaderboard for any sport (no moneylines)

--the ONLY SYSTEM I believe in is FADING THE PUBLIC as outlined in the articles in SPORTS INSIGHTS, as they are statistically significant

--anthing you showw  has too small a sample size and anyone who does research knows that this could just be chance

there are a few reasons why I seriously doubt you will do well although I wish you luck and hope Im srong except for the REGRESSION TO THE MEAN idea which is a long held scientific principle

good luck!!

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#186
Posted: 4/1/2012 8:47:07 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by spilmaz88:

--the past ATS losses have nothing to do with future ATS losses or wins, its still about 50-50

--this is similar to the martinglae system which is proven to have short term gains but long term can have big losses

--the only good thing I can think of this is similar to "REGRESSION TO THE MEAN"- your probably better off fading abyone who is above 80% ATS in the leaderboard for any sport (no moneylines)

--the ONLY SYSTEM I believe in is FADING THE PUBLIC as outlined in the articles in SPORTS INSIGHTS, as they are statistically significant

--anthing you showw  has too small a sample size and anyone who does research knows that this could just be chance

there are a few reasons why I seriously doubt you will do well although I wish you luck and hope Im srong except for the REGRESSION TO THE MEAN idea which is a long held scientific principle

good luck!!


totally confused here with these points...and using labby lines for these systems is gold. 

lac and memphis! 
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#187
Posted: 4/1/2012 10:54:57 AM
Forgot to mention system #5 was a play on LAC to win last night too Sorry about that guys

Pending Plays

System #5: Mem to win ats vs OKC
Streakers


Results so far
System #1: +.74 Units
System #2: +6 Units
System #3: +2.6 Units
System #4: No Plays
System #5: + Units
System #6: +1 Units
Total:::::::::: +15.34 Units
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#188
Posted: 4/1/2012 12:35:11 PM
Streakers:
BOS has won 4 ATS
LAL has lost 5 ATS


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#189
Posted: 4/2/2012 2:34:14 AM
Thanks Man! Now we have
Pending Plays
System #5: Mem to win ats vs OKC
Streakers
Bos won 5 ats in a row
Okc won 4 ats in a row
Lal lost 6 ats in a row

Results so far
System #1: +.74 Units
System #2: +6 Units
System #3: +2.6 Units
System #4: No Plays
System #5: +5 Units
System #6: +1 Units
Total:::::::::: +15.34 Units
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#190
Posted: 4/2/2012 12:38:42 PM
MIL
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#191
Posted: 4/2/2012 12:40:44 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by gbpackman:

MIL

GET MY ABBR RIGHT! MEM! I AM LOSING IT!

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akell09
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#192
Posted: 4/2/2012 1:42:16 PM
Shouldn't Cleveland be on the current streaker list still?  I got them for 6 straight losses ats.
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#193
Posted: 4/2/2012 10:55:37 PM
Yeah akell.... I missed that one. Thanks.....
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#194
Posted: 4/3/2012 3:17:44 PM
[Quote: Originally Posted by Air1]
Thanks Man! Now we have

Mem to win ats vs OKC
Streakers
Bos won 5 ats in a row
CLE lost 6 ats in a row
Lal lost 6 ats in a row

I am still confused on System #6. Do we wait for the X game or do we bet on CLE and LAL to win tonite?

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thegetaway
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#195
Posted: 4/3/2012 4:21:52 PM
System #6 says when a team has lost 7 in a row ATS then you start a 3 game chase for them to win.  There is no X game involved. 
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#196
Posted: 4/3/2012 5:50:10 PM

Ok, CLE Irving (shoulder) is expected to play Tuesday against San Antonio

LAL Bynum (ankle) said he will not play against New Jersey on Tuesday

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#197
Posted: 4/3/2012 6:05:12 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by thegetaway:

System #6 says when a team has lost 7 in a row ATS then you start a 3 game chase for them to win.  There is no X game involved. 

It used to be 6 Ls in a row, so why not make a 1/2 unit bet tonite? If u lose, then u start with a 1U bet next game. If u win, then it's great, cause u didn't miss anything!

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#198
Posted: 4/3/2012 6:41:20 PM
If you want to play a 1/2 unit, its up to you as any bet is. This thread was made to track the systems I found and maybe place bets. I personally have not played all of the games and structure my bets differently than most.

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#199
Posted: 4/3/2012 6:43:48 PM
For all those following I am considering eliminating System #1 starting next season.
Also I might do the same research for Over/Under to see if I get similar results.
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#200
Posted: 4/3/2012 8:21:49 PM
I started to do research  on MLB with ML's with a 3 game chase of the first 3 games of a homestand. I saw a lot of winning, but I could use some help since their are soooo many games and I have trouble gauging how much I would lose if I don't win after a 3 game chase. I would be grateful if you would help by picking a team and going back 4 years. If we all help we could make a lot of $$$!!! Please let me know!
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