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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: NBA teams with win percent below 425 fade
Knoxpoker send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#101
Posted: 1/30/2012 6:34:27 PM

No plays today..

the teams we are fading are

New York

New Jersey

Toronto

Detroit

Washington

Charlotte

Phoenix

Golden State

Sacramento

New Orleans     these are the 10 teams we are going to fade after

2 ATS . The 425 win percent is too high .. the highest win percent right now ia Phoenix at 368 thats as high as I go .. sorry for the wrong info .. So 368 or lower is a fade after 2 ats ..

 

 

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#102
Posted: 1/30/2012 8:18:47 PM
im starting a new system today listen up if you want to beat da NBA  I DONE DA NUMBERS ON THIS FEEL FREE TO CHECK 4 YOURSELF HERE IT IS . ONLY BET GAME WITH  HOME FAVS -7 OR MORE TAKE FAV  +6.5 OR LESS TAKE DOG . FOR DA SEASON  DA RECORD IS 117-82 THATS 35 UNITS SINCE OPENING DAY AT  $100 PER UNIT YOU R WINNING $2678  EXP 2NITE PHIL -7 HEAT -12   SPURS +6 BUCKS -7.5 MIN +6.5 GL
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IPICKGAMES
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#103
Posted: 1/30/2012 9:38:23 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by gmoney1747:

im starting a new system today listen up if you want to beat da NBA  I DONE DA NUMBERS ON THIS FEEL FREE TO CHECK 4 YOURSELF HERE IT IS . ONLY BET GAME WITH  HOME FAVS -7 OR MORE TAKE FAV  +6.5 OR LESS TAKE DOG . FOR DA SEASON  DA RECORD IS 117-82 THATS 35 UNITS SINCE OPENING DAY AT  $100 PER UNIT YOU R WINNING $2678  EXP 2NITE PHIL -7 HEAT -12   SPURS +6 BUCKS -7.5 MIN +6.5 GL

backtest 3 years and let us know the results, it would be interesting if this stood the test of time.
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glefkb01
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#104
Posted: 1/31/2012 3:31:21 PM

Teams under .368 (As of Jan 30)

           Teams         ATS          Current ATS Streak

  1. NY Knicks (ATS 5-15)   (.350)  Lost 1
  2. NJ Nets     (ATS 10-11)  (.333)  Lost 1
  3. Toronto      (ATS 11-10)  (,333)  won1
  4. Detroit       (ATS 6-15-1) (.182) lost 2
  5. Washington(ATS 7-14)  (.190)  lost 1
  6. Charlotte    (ATS 7-14)  (.143)   Lost 5  
  7. Phoenix     (ATS 8-12)   (.350)  lost 1
  8. G.S.          (ATS 8-10)   (.333)  lost1
  9. Sacremento (ATS 7-13)  (.300)  won 1
  10. New Orleans (ATS 10-11)  (.190) lost 2

TODAYS GAMES

none

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anthonybx20
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#105
Posted: 1/31/2012 4:00:44 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by gmoney1747:

im starting a new system today listen up if you want to beat da NBA  I DONE DA NUMBERS ON THIS FEEL FREE TO CHECK 4 YOURSELF HERE IT IS . ONLY BET GAME WITH  HOME FAVS -7 OR MORE TAKE FAV  +6.5 OR LESS TAKE DOG . FOR DA SEASON  DA RECORD IS 117-82 THATS 35 UNITS SINCE OPENING DAY AT  $100 PER UNIT YOU R WINNING $2678  EXP 2NITE PHIL -7 HEAT -12   SPURS +6 BUCKS -7.5 MIN +6.5 GL


Went 4-1 last night. Would've gone 5-0 if not for that moose in philly.
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#106
Posted: 1/31/2012 6:57:47 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by IPICKGAMES:


backtest 3 years and let us know the results, it would be interesting if this stood the test of time.

I want to know  2 things ...

1  Can this be back tested to see if it DOES stand the test of time ..

2. Why would you jump into this thread why not start a new one ???

As a smart player I really dont like to make 4-5-6- games a night .. i like 2-3 the most .. GMONEY start a thread on your own and please use THE instead of DA ..

 

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#107
Posted: 2/1/2012 6:09:30 AM

Teams under .368 (As of Jan 31)

           Teams         ATS          Current ATS Streak

  1. NY Knicks (ATS 6-15)   (.350)  wom 1
  2. NJ Nets     (ATS 11-11)  (.333)  won 1
  3. Toronto      (ATS 11-11)  (,333)  lost 1
  4. Detroit       (ATS 6-16-1) (.182) lost 3
  5. Washington(ATS 7-14)  (.190)  lost 1
  6. Charlotte    (ATS 7-15)  (.143)   Lost 6  
  7. Phoenix     (ATS 8-12)   (.350)  lost 1
  8. G.S.          (ATS 8-11)   (.333)  lost 2
  9. Sacremento (ATS8-13)  (.300)  won 2 **
  10. New Orleans (ATS 10-11)  (.190) lost 2

TODAYS GAMES 2/1

none

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#108
Posted: 2/1/2012 10:34:37 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by anthonybx20:



Went 4-1 last night. Would've gone 5-0 if not for that moose in philly.

Gmoney's system went 2-2 last night. Not so special.

I'll stick to Knox's.

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glefkb01
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#109
Posted: 2/2/2012 5:53:37 AM

Teams under .368 (As of Feb 1)

           Teams         ATS          Current ATS Streak

  1. NY Knicks (ATS 6-15)   (.381)  won 1
  2. NJ Nets     (ATS 11-12)  (.348)  lost 1
  3. Toronto      (ATS 11-12)  (,304)  lost 2
  4. Detroit       (ATS 7-16-1) (.167) won 1
  5. Washington(ATS 8-14)  (.182)  won 1
  6. Charlotte    (ATS 7-16)  (.130)   Lost 7  
  7. Phoenix     (ATS 9-12)   (.381)  won 1
  8. G.S.          (ATS 8-11)   (.368)  lost 2
  9. Sacremento (ATS8-13)  (.286)  won 2 **
  10. New Orleans (ATS 10-12)  (.182) lost 3

TODAYS GAMES 2/2

Portland -3 at Sacremento

New York, Phoenix and Golden State are now over the mark to follow.

 

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#110
Posted: 2/2/2012 10:42:47 AM

  Great find Knox.  I love following systems like this.  Wish I would have found this thread sooner.  After reading the first 5 pages, I think a few guidelines should be determined. 

At what point do you start this system?  Like after how many games?

At what point do end the this system?  Obviously you don't want to run into a situation where you don't have two games left to actually chase.  I think it's hard to play on teams that really have nothing to play for at the end of the season. 

What happens if two shitty teams play each other in Game 2 of a chase?

BOL to you and us.  I'll be watching and playing accordingly.

 

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#111
Posted: 2/2/2012 6:27:54 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ringneck82:

  Great find Knox.  I love following systems like this.  Wish I would have found this thread sooner.  After reading the first 5 pages, I think a few guidelines should be determined. 

At what point do you start this system?  Like after how many games?

 

At what point do end the this system?  Obviously you don't want to run into a situation where you don't have two games left to actually chase.  I think it's hard to play on teams that really have nothing to play for at the end of the season. 

What happens if two shitty teams play each other in Game 2 of a chase?

BOL to you and us.  I'll be watching and playing accordingly.

 

 

1.I wait unitl about 19 gamens into the season

 2. If both teams are @ 2 ats wins just wait to see

who covers then fade them for the next play

Tonights plays Portland -3.5 good luck ..

 

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#112
Posted: 2/3/2012 12:31:02 AM
....Portland loser....

Let's get 'em maƱana !!!!!
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#113
Posted: 2/3/2012 1:39:09 AM

NOTICE.....We are fading the New York Knicks tonight ..

They are above the winning percent . But I  am chosing to fade them .. Also a revenge game from Christmas Day ...

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#114
Posted: 2/3/2012 9:15:28 AM

  So this fade against the Knicks really isn't a system play since it doesn't meet the criteria....it's just your play...

Also, how did you come up with the number of .368 winning percentage?

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#115
Posted: 2/3/2012 6:32:20 PM

Its a system play  trust me I am from NY . Moved to knoxville 6 months ago , the Knicks suck .. I like the play..-The Knicks are at 364 its just about right .. I am wiling to take a chance since most of the week we were not making plays ..

Tonights plays  Boston -6.5

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#116
Posted: 2/3/2012 8:11:52 PM
Can someone run the statistics on taking the team only if their home to cover the spread against the under .425 team for last year and this year after the .425 team covered 2 games?
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#117
Posted: 2/3/2012 10:58:27 PM

almost on Boston .. Down to 5 units ... next play tommorow

Sacramento (nl)  game B

New Orleans (nl)

NJ Nets   (nl)  yes I am fading the Knicks again for game B

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#118
Posted: 2/4/2012 11:06:20 AM

Just to confirm, the plays today are:

 

Detroit -2  ( A bet)

Golden St +1.5  ( B bet)

 

And you're playing on the New Jersey Nets +6 ( B bet) because you feel fading the Knicks is a good bet.

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#119
Posted: 2/4/2012 11:37:21 AM

Teams under .368 (As of Feb 3)

           Teams         ATS          Current ATS Streak

  1. NY Knicks (ATS 8-15)   (.348)  won 3
  2. NJ Nets     (ATS 12-12)  (.333)  won 1
  3. Toronto      (ATS 12-12)  (,333)  won1
  4. Detroit       (ATS 8-16) (.200) won 2
  5. Washington(ATS 8-15)  (.174) lost 1
  6. Charlotte    (ATS 7-16)  (.130)   Lost 7  
  7. Phoenix     (ATS 9-13)   (.364)  lost 1
  8. G.S.          (ATS 9-11)   (.400)  won1
  9. Sacremento (ATS 9-13)  (.318)  won 3
  10. New Orleans (ATS 10-13)  (.174) lost 4

Watch on Cleveland (0.381) lost 1

GS is now over the mark but will continue to watch

TODAYS GAMES 2/4

NJ +6 at NYK

New Orleans +2 at Detroit

Golden State +1.5 at Sacremento

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#120
Posted: 2/4/2012 2:31:31 PM

TODAYS GAMES 2/4   We are at 5 units ..I am ready to pick up 3 more tonight .... good luck

NJ +6 at NYK (B)

New Orleans +2 at Detroit (A)

Golden State +1.5 at Sacremento (B) 

This is what they plays are ..thanks Glefkb01

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#121
Posted: 2/4/2012 2:33:19 PM

I think its 3 units ... what are the units  do you guys know ???

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#122
Posted: 2/6/2012 6:22:15 AM

Teams under .368 (As of Feb 5)

           Teams         ATS          Current ATS Streak

  1. NJ Nets     (ATS 12-13)  (.320)  lost 1
  2. Toronto      (ATS 13-12)  (,320)  won 2 ***
  3. Detroit       (ATS 9-16) (.231) won 3 ***
  4. Washington(ATS 8-16)  (.167) lost 2
  5. Charlotte    (ATS 8-16)  (.125)   won 1  
  6. Sacremento (ATS 10-13)  (.348)  won 4 ***
  7. New Orleans (ATS 10-14)  (.167) lost 5

--------------------------------------------------------------------------

  1. G.S.          (ATS 9-12)   (.381) lost 1
  2. Phoenix     (ATS 9-14)   (.391)  lost 2
  3. NY Knicks (ATS 9-15)   (.375)  won 4
  4. Cleveland (13-9) (.375) won 1

TODAYS GAMES 2/6

WAS -4 vs TOR

NO vs SAC

Watch UTAH -4 at NYK

YTD 13-3???   I have just been following daily

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#123
Posted: 2/6/2012 2:33:55 PM
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#124
Posted: 2/6/2012 7:04:43 PM

TODAYS PLAYS

WASHINGTON -4

UTAH +3  I AM PLAYING THIS AS A (B) PLAY

NEW ORLEANS -2    GOOD LUCK

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#125
Posted: 2/6/2012 7:19:34 PM
wizards
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