NBA teams with win percent below 425 fade

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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: NBA teams with win percent below 425 fade
Knoxpoker PM Knoxpoker
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Posted: 1/21/2012 10:41:43 AM

Hey Air1 another thing I noticed is that after the bottom 6 teams cover ATS they lose the next game .. The teams are NJ  TOR  DET  CHAR  WASH  NO these teams are awful.. I might start  to fade these as soon as they cover one ATS.. I will look into it ..

NO plays tonight for the original system

BigTenWatto PM BigTenWatto
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Posted: 1/21/2012 11:52:28 AM
I believe Sac is a play tonight from the original system. They are 6-10, which is a .375 winning percentage and they have covered two in a row.
I also believe NJ and Char fit the bad teams who covered their last game model.
Air1 PM Air1
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Posted: 1/21/2012 3:46:15 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Knoxpoker:

NO plays tonight for the original system


I thought you meant new orleans is a play for the system tonight, lol. almost went with it. good thing I double checked.

Also when you say the bottom 6 teams lose the next game after covering ats, you mean they lost ats right? I will see if I can back test this to previous seasons later tonight.
Knoxpoker PM Knoxpoker
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Posted: 1/21/2012 4:25:12 PM

Fading SAC  is a play tonight ... good looking out ..

Memphis -9.5    (A) game

 

Knoxpoker PM Knoxpoker
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Posted: 1/21/2012 4:35:20 PM

the other system of fading the bottom 6 teams after an ATS win  would be up 10 units .. so far this year .. 10 units @ 45.45 per

-110 bet if you were a 50.00 better would be up 454.50 and the season is very young .. I will try to back test last yr...

Knoxpoker PM Knoxpoker
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Posted: 1/21/2012 4:54:03 PM
So I checked up on it ... last yr fading the bottom 9 teams that were below 415 win percent after an ATS win you would have been up 28 units ... When I have time I will do earlier yrs just to make sure its solid. I am not sure which would be better to play . To play the team after 1 ATS or chase 2 games after they win  2 ATS in a row .. I think both are ok ...
Knoxpoker PM Knoxpoker
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Posted: 1/21/2012 10:16:59 PM

1/21/12  Memphis -9.5 (A)  Winner

System record  4-0

A 3-1

B 1-0     +4 units

Knoxpoker PM Knoxpoker
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Posted: 1/21/2012 10:49:20 PM

I back tested the 2009-2010 NBA season .. Playing against the bottom 10 teams with a win percent of below 350 and fading them  after a ATS win you would have won 30 units .. If I am missing something somebody chime in . But this seems to easy ..

BigTenWatto PM BigTenWatto
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Posted: 1/22/2012 1:44:52 AM
I think I will stick with the original system of fading a team after two ATS wins. It seems golden. Mem was money tonight.
Char covered tonight so, the second system seems a little less solid. I will keep checking in though.
Thanks again for this.
BigTenWatto PM BigTenWatto
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Posted: 1/22/2012 1:57:08 AM
Will be fading WAS and CHAR on Sunday as both are two covering streaks.

Knoxpoker PM Knoxpoker
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Posted: 1/22/2012 11:52:07 AM

2 plays today           SYSTEM RESULTS     +4 units

                              A- 3-1

                              B 1-0

Boston -4.5 (A)

NJ  -5 (A)

Knoxpoker PM Knoxpoker
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Posted: 1/22/2012 6:16:27 PM

Boston (A)  Winner  System results  + 5 units

                                A - 4-1

                                B - 1-0

Pending plays -    NJ - 5

Knoxpoker PM Knoxpoker
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Posted: 1/22/2012 8:20:54 PM

NJ -5 Winner  System results . +6 units

A Games   5-1

B Games  1-0

BigTenWatto PM BigTenWatto
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Posted: 1/23/2012 1:31:50 PM
3 games tonight? Fade NWO +4.5, Phx +5.5 and Mil?
Riceboi PM Riceboi
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Posted: 1/23/2012 1:55:40 PM
nwo=new world order? lol wut
BigTenWatto PM BigTenWatto
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Posted: 1/23/2012 3:48:22 PM
NWO = New Orleans. Shouldn't be that hard to figure out.
Handsdown PM Handsdown
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Posted: 1/23/2012 5:35:25 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by BigTenWatto:

3 games tonight? Fade NWO +4.5, Phx +5.5 and Mil?


This system definitely calls for a play on Atlanta going against Milwaukee.  MIL has covered 2 games in a row ATS.
Knoxpoker PM Knoxpoker
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Posted: 1/23/2012 6:09:07 PM

1/23/12  System Plays    

Dallas -5   ALL  (A) plays   good luck ..

San Antonio -4

Atlanta -1.5 

glefkb01 PM glefkb01
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Posted: 1/23/2012 9:33:13 PM

These teams are not doing very well through the 3rd... hope they come out strong in the 4th and close this out.

Been trailing and havent lost yet, if I lose tonight its time to pay the piper in the morning.

Knoxpoker PM Knoxpoker
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Posted: 1/23/2012 11:06:56 PM

1/23/12                               System Results  + 7 units

Dallas -5   Winner                      A 8- 2     

San Antonio -4 Loser                 B  1-0 

Atlanta -1.5   Winner

 

Knoxpoker PM Knoxpoker
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Posted: 1/23/2012 11:15:36 PM

Sorry wrong results ..... System Results  +  7 units

                                   A  7-2

                                   B 1-0     

Pending plays we are fading New Orleans on 1/25/12

                                  

glefkb01 PM glefkb01
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Posted: 1/24/2012 8:11:54 AM
I love this system
DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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Posted: 1/24/2012 5:31:26 PM
Any plays for today?
Handsdown PM Handsdown
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Posted: 1/24/2012 5:31:30 PM
No plays in this system for 1/24
Knoxpoker PM Knoxpoker
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Posted: 1/24/2012 6:53:06 PM
No plays tonight .. Tommorow we are fading New Orleans for the B game ..
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