| Author: |
[Systems & Strategies] Topic: NBA teams with win percent below 425 fade |
|
Knoxpoker |
RSI   View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Prospect
Joined: Dec 2011
Posts: 189
Location: |
#26 Posted: 1/21/2012 10:41:43 AM Hey Air1 another thing I noticed is that after the bottom 6 teams cover ATS they lose the next game .. The teams are NJ TOR DET CHAR WASH NO these teams are awful.. I might start to fade these as soon as they cover one ATS.. I will look into it ..
NO plays tonight for the original system |
|
quote |
|
BigTenWatto |
RSI  |
Rookie
Joined: Dec 2009
Posts: 661
Location: Canada |
#27 Posted: 1/21/2012 11:52:28 AM I also believe NJ and Char fit the bad teams who covered their last game model. |
|
quote |
|
Air1 |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Rookie
Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 874
Location: United States |
#28 Posted: 1/21/2012 3:46:15 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Knoxpoker:
NO plays tonight for the original system
I thought you meant new orleans is a play for the system tonight, lol. almost went with it. good thing I double checked.
Also when you say the bottom 6 teams lose the next game after covering ats, you mean they lost ats right? I will see if I can back test this to previous seasons later tonight.
|
|
quote |
|
Knoxpoker |
RSI |
Prospect
Joined: Dec 2011
Posts: 189
Location: |
#29 Posted: 1/21/2012 4:25:12 PM Fading SAC is a play tonight ... good looking out ..
Memphis -9.5 (A) game
|
|
quote |
|
Knoxpoker |
RSI |
Prospect
Joined: Dec 2011
Posts: 189
Location: |
#30 Posted: 1/21/2012 4:35:20 PM the other system of fading the bottom 6 teams after an ATS win would be up 10 units .. so far this year .. 10 units @ 45.45 per
-110 bet if you were a 50.00 better would be up 454.50 and the season is very young .. I will try to back test last yr... |
|
quote |
|
|
|
Knoxpoker |
RSI |
Prospect
Joined: Dec 2011
Posts: 189
Location: |
#31 Posted: 1/21/2012 4:54:03 PM |
|
quote |
|
Knoxpoker |
RSI |
Prospect
Joined: Dec 2011
Posts: 189
Location: |
#32 Posted: 1/21/2012 10:16:59 PM 1/21/12 Memphis -9.5 (A) Winner
System record 4-0
A 3-1
B 1-0 +4 units |
|
quote |
|
Knoxpoker |
RSI |
Prospect
Joined: Dec 2011
Posts: 189
Location: |
#33 Posted: 1/21/2012 10:49:20 PM I back tested the 2009-2010 NBA season .. Playing against the bottom 10 teams with a win percent of below 350 and fading them after a ATS win you would have won 30 units .. If I am missing something somebody chime in . But this seems to easy .. |
|
quote |
|
BigTenWatto |
RSI |
Rookie
Joined: Dec 2009
Posts: 661
Location: Canada |
#34 Posted: 1/22/2012 1:44:52 AM Char covered tonight so, the second system seems a little less solid. I will keep checking in though. Thanks again for this. |
|
quote |
|
BigTenWatto |
RSI |
Rookie
Joined: Dec 2009
Posts: 661
Location: Canada |
#35 Posted: 1/22/2012 1:57:08 AM
|
|
quote |
|
Knoxpoker |
RSI |
Prospect
Joined: Dec 2011
Posts: 189
Location: |
#36 Posted: 1/22/2012 11:52:07 AM 2 plays today SYSTEM RESULTS +4 units
A- 3-1
B 1-0
Boston -4.5 (A)
NJ -5 (A) |
|
quote |
|
Knoxpoker |
RSI |
Prospect
Joined: Dec 2011
Posts: 189
Location: |
#37 Posted: 1/22/2012 6:16:27 PM Boston (A) Winner System results + 5 units
A - 4-1
B - 1-0
Pending plays - NJ - 5 |
|
quote |
|
Knoxpoker |
RSI |
Prospect
Joined: Dec 2011
Posts: 189
Location: |
#38 Posted: 1/22/2012 8:20:54 PM NJ -5 Winner System results . +6 units
A Games 5-1
B Games 1-0 |
|
quote |
|
BigTenWatto |
RSI |
Rookie
Joined: Dec 2009
Posts: 661
Location: Canada |
#39 Posted: 1/23/2012 1:31:50 PM |
|
quote |
|
Riceboi |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes | |
Veteran
Joined: Feb 2011
Posts: 4475
Location: |
#40 Posted: 1/23/2012 1:55:40 PM
|
|
quote |
|
BigTenWatto |
RSI |
Rookie
Joined: Dec 2009
Posts: 661
Location: Canada |
#41 Posted: 1/23/2012 3:48:22 PM |
|
quote |
|
Handsdown |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |
Rookie
Joined: Mar 2009
Posts: 936
Location: |
#42 Posted: 1/23/2012 5:35:25 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by BigTenWatto:
3 games tonight? Fade NWO +4.5, Phx +5.5 and Mil?
This system definitely calls for a play on Atlanta going against Milwaukee. MIL has covered 2 games in a row ATS.
|
|
quote |
|
Knoxpoker |
RSI |
Prospect
Joined: Dec 2011
Posts: 189
Location: |
#43 Posted: 1/23/2012 6:09:07 PM 1/23/12 System Plays
Dallas -5 ALL (A) plays good luck ..
San Antonio -4
Atlanta -1.5 |
|
quote |
|
glefkb01 |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 2019
Location: Michigan |
#44 Posted: 1/23/2012 9:33:13 PM These teams are not doing very well through the 3rd... hope they come out strong in the 4th and close this out.
Been trailing and havent lost yet, if I lose tonight its time to pay the piper in the morning.
|
|
quote |
|
Knoxpoker |
RSI |
Prospect
Joined: Dec 2011
Posts: 189
Location: |
#45 Posted: 1/23/2012 11:06:56 PM 1/23/12 System Results + 7 units
Dallas -5 Winner A 8- 2
San Antonio -4 Loser B 1-0
Atlanta -1.5 Winner
|
|
quote |
|
Knoxpoker |
RSI |
Prospect
Joined: Dec 2011
Posts: 189
Location: |
#46 Posted: 1/23/2012 11:15:36 PM Sorry wrong results ..... System Results + 7 units
A 7-2
B 1-0
Pending plays we are fading New Orleans on 1/25/12
|
|
quote |
|
glefkb01 |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 2019
Location: Michigan |
#47 Posted: 1/24/2012 8:11:54 AM |
|
quote |
|
DegenGamble |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Rookie
Joined: Oct 2011
Posts: 842
Location: New Jersey |
#48 Posted: 1/24/2012 5:31:26 PM |
|
quote |
|
Handsdown |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |
Rookie
Joined: Mar 2009
Posts: 936
Location: |
#49 Posted: 1/24/2012 5:31:30 PM
|
|
quote |
|
Knoxpoker |
RSI |
Prospect
Joined: Dec 2011
Posts: 189
Location: |
#50 Posted: 1/24/2012 6:53:06 PM |
|
quote |