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[Systems & Strategies] Topic: Above .500 teams vs Sub .500 teams |
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mindtides |
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#1 Posted: 1/15/2012 5:19:08 PM The core of the system will be based on any .500 + team coming off of at least 1 straight up loss playing a sub .500 team at home, it will be ATS and 1st halfs will be played in any sport that has halfs as well as the whole game. There are a few other factors involved in the plays that I will discuss should this do well.... plays to come soon.
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mindtides |
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#2 Posted: 1/16/2012 5:49:06 PM Ok. Will still include plays based on system above, but I will also include plays based on Home teams with a better record than opp. and favorable hm vs opp. away stats.
1/16
1H LA LAKERS -2-105
LA LAKERS -3½-110
MISSOURI -15-110
1H MISSOURI -9-115
1H PORTLAND ST -5½-110
PORTLAND ST -9-110
1P WINNIPEG +115
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#3 Posted: 1/17/2012 4:29:53 AM 1/16
Record : 5-2
1H LA LAKERS -2-105 
LA LAKERS -3½-110 
MISSOURI -15-110 
1H MISSOURI -9-115 
1H PORTLAND ST -5½-110 
PORTLAND ST -9-110 
1P WINNIPEG +115 
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mindtides |
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Prospect
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#4 Posted: 1/17/2012 4:32:58 AM The Winnipeg play was a spot play which I will also throw in the mix as well.
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YieldSread |
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#5 Posted: 1/17/2012 8:30:07 AM great start. |
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mindtides |
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Prospect
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#6 Posted: 1/17/2012 11:43:01 AM 1/17
Houston -7
Houston 1H -4
Purdue -10.5
Purdue 1H -6
Kentucky 1H -9
Colorado St. 1H -3.5
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#7 Posted: 1/17/2012 5:34:44 PM Adding some NHL period plays, I am using a combination of statistical data and the good old gut feeling for these.
1P WINNIPEG +115
2P CAROLINA +135
2P TAMPA BAY +120
2P LOS ANGELES +115
3P EDMONTON -105
3P OTTAWA -115
3P DALLAS +105
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#8 Posted: 1/18/2012 5:27:37 AM 1/17
Houston -7 
Houston 1H -4 
Purdue -10.5 
Purdue 1H -6 
Kentucky 1H -9 
Colorado St. 1H -3.5 
Will be laying off the volume of NHL period plays from now on, only playing my strongest leans on plays from -115 or less.
1P WINNIPEG +115 
2P CAROLINA +135 push 2P TAMPA BAY +120 
2P LOS ANGELES +115 push
3P EDMONTON -105 
3P OTTAWA -115 
3P DALLAS +105 push
Record : 10-7
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#9 Posted: 1/18/2012 1:10:43 PM PHILADELPHIA -5½-110
ATLANTA -2-110
1H ATLANTA -1-110
SOUTH FLORIDA -7-110
1H SOUTH FLORIDA -3½-115
TOLEDO -8½-110
1H TOLEDO -4½-115
RICE -4½-110
1H RICE -2½-110
WISCONSIN -10-110
1H WISCONSIN -5½-115
1H OHIO -3-110
1H IOWA STATE -4½-110
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#10 Posted: 1/18/2012 2:40:18 PM Adding:
3P WASHINGTON -110 |
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#11 Posted: 1/18/2012 10:43:26 PM PHILADELPHIA -5½-110 
ATLANTA -2-110 
1H ATLANTA -1-110 
SOUTH FLORIDA -7-110 
1H SOUTH FLORIDA -3½-115 
TOLEDO -8½-110 
1H TOLEDO -4½-115 
RICE -4½-110 
1H RICE -2½-110 
WISCONSIN -10-110 
1H WISCONSIN -5½-115 
1H OHIO -3-110 push
1H IOWA STATE -4½-110 
3P WASHINGTON -110 push
Record: 18-11
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#12 Posted: 1/19/2012 6:28:09 PM 1/19
NHL[2002] 2P COLUMBUS EV NHL[3007] 3P PITTSBURGH -105 CBB[594] OREGON ST -2-110 CBB[598] EASTERN KENTUCK -11-110 CBB[624] WEBER ST -16½-110 CBB[1548] 1H MIDDLE TENN ST -8-115 CBB[1558] 1H NC STATE -9½-105 CBB[1582] 1H CAL SANTA BARB -8½-115 CBB[1594] 1H OREGON ST -1-115 CBB[1598] 1H EASTERN KENTUCK -6-115 CBB[1624] 1H WEBER ST -9½-110
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#13 Posted: 1/20/2012 5:22:53 AM 1/19
NHL[2002] 2P COLUMBUS EV  NHL[3007] 3P PITTSBURGH -105  CBB[594] OREGON ST -2-110  CBB[598] EASTERN KENTUCK -11-110  CBB[624] WEBER ST -16½-110  CBB[1548] 1H MIDDLE TENN ST -8-115  CBB[1558] 1H NC STATE -9½-105  CBB[1582] 1H CAL SANTA BARB -8½-115  CBB[1594] 1H OREGON ST -1-115 push CBB[1598] 1H EASTERN KENTUCK -6-115  CBB[1624] 1H WEBER ST -9½-110 
Record: 23-16
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#14 Posted: 1/20/2012 5:38:43 PM 1/20
NBA[818] SAN ANTONIO -11-110
NBA[1818] 1H SAN ANTONIO -6-110
NHL[2051] 2P MONTREAL +115
NHL[2054] 2P CAROLINA -115
CBB[1844] 1H CLEVELAND ST -5½-115
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buntyketti |
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#15 Posted: 1/20/2012 8:07:29 PM mindtides am i missing something , Montreal a +.500 team ? it isnt right ? isnt the system supposed to be about backing +.500 teams after a loss, Montreal is well below the +.500 mark overall this season in NHL, or are you referring to its home stats ? |
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#16 Posted: 1/20/2012 9:02:55 PM No you are not, sorry I was not clear about the nhl period plays, I wrote a few nights ago, that these were based on a combination of statistical (period)data and the good old gut feeling for these. Maybe I should start another thread for these?
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#17 Posted: 1/21/2012 6:58:20 AM 1/20
NBA[818] SAN ANTONIO -11-110 
NBA[1818] 1H SAN ANTONIO -6-110 
NHL[2051] 2P MONTREAL +115 
NHL[2054] 2P CAROLINA -115 
CBB[1844] 1H CLEVELAND ST -5½-115 
Record: 26-18
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#18 Posted: 1/21/2012 12:10:38 PM 1/21
NBA[510] MEMPHIS -9½-110
CBB[560] AUBURN +1-110
CBB[642] COLUMBIA -3-110
CBB[740] MONTANA ST -2½-110
NBA[1502] 1H ATLANTA -4-110
NBA[1510] 1H MEMPHIS -5½-105
CBB[1560] 1H AUBURN PK-105
CBB[1612] 1H LASALLE -8-115
CBB[1642] 1H COLUMBIA -1½-110
CBB[1658] 1H CAL POLY SLO -7-115
CBB[1678] 1H WICHITA ST -10-115
CBB[1692] 1H NEVADA -6-110
CBB[1706] 1H OREGON ST -5½-105
CBB[1724] 1H MOREHEAD ST -6½-105
CBB[1740] 1H MONTANA ST -1½-105
NHL[1003] 1P PHILADELPHIA -115
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#19 Posted: 1/21/2012 3:45:14 PM Adding:
NHL[1023] 1P DALLAS -110
NHL[1027] 1P COLORADO +110
NHL[3015] 3P FLORIDA +110
NHL[3017] 3P TAMPA BAY +115
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#20 Posted: 1/22/2012 6:35:25 AM 1/21
NBA[510] MEMPHIS -9½-110 
CBB[560] AUBURN +1-110 
CBB[642] COLUMBIA -3-110 
CBB[740] MONTANA ST -2½-110 
NBA[1502] 1H ATLANTA -4-110 
NBA[1510] 1H MEMPHIS -5½-105 
CBB[1560] 1H AUBURN PK-105 
CBB[1612] 1H LASALLE -8-115 
CBB[1642] 1H COLUMBIA -1½-110 
CBB[1658] 1H CAL POLY SLO -7-115 
CBB[1678] 1H WICHITA ST -10-115 
CBB[1692] 1H NEVADA -6-110  CBB[1706] 1H OREGON ST -5½-105 
CBB[1724] 1H MOREHEAD ST -6½-105 
CBB[1740] 1H MONTANA ST -1½-105 
NHL[1003] 1P PHILADELPHIA -115 push
NHL[1023] 1P DALLAS -110 
NHL[1027] 1P COLORADO +110 push
NHL[3015] 3P FLORIDA +110 
NHL[3017] 3P TAMPA BAY +115 
Record: 38-24
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#21 Posted: 1/22/2012 11:47:09 AM 1/22
Hitting better than 65% ATS so far.
NBA[806] MIAMI -9½-110
CBB[850] YOUNGSTOWN STAT -2½-110
CBB[852] CLEVELAND STATE -5½-110
CBB[854] MINNESOTA U -5½-110
NHL[1054] 1P PHILADELPHIA -105
CBB[1844] 1H INDIANA U -8-115
CBB[1850] 1H YOUNGSTOWN STAT -1-115
CBB[1852] 1H CLEVELAND STATE -3-110
CBB[1858] 1H NORTHERN IOWA -5-115
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#22 Posted: 1/22/2012 1:38:48 PM nice progess mind, but i wish you could seperate the system picks from the "feel strongly about" picks, would help us understand which one is making the dough better good luck for today |
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#23 Posted: 1/22/2012 2:31:46 PM ok, from now on I will only include the "system" plays described in the first 2 posts.
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#24 Posted: 1/22/2012 8:50:40 PM 1/22
NBA[806] MIAMI -9½-110 
CBB[850] YOUNGSTOWN STAT -2½-110 
CBB[852] CLEVELAND STATE -5½-110 
CBB[854] MINNESOTA U -5½-110 
NHL[1054] 1P PHILADELPHIA -105 
CBB[1844] 1H INDIANA U -8-115 
CBB[1850] 1H YOUNGSTOWN STAT -1-115 
CBB[1852] 1H CLEVELAND STATE -3-110 
CBB[1858] 1H NORTHERN IOWA -5-115 
Record: 44-27
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#25 Posted: 1/23/2012 12:10:36 PM Thanks for posting your system mindtides, I'm going to try tailing it for a bit =) BOL to everyone. |
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