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[Systems & Strategies] Topic: Streak Strategies |
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Burly |
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#1 Posted: 12/25/2011 11:44:03 PM Have started researching teams that have a three or more game winning streak and then lose one game will lose the next game.
More info to come the Eastern Conf so far would be 17 correct 8 wrong. (68%)
Also have some filters to add to increase accuracy. |
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Burly |
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#2 Posted: 12/26/2011 8:55:39 PM Forgot to say this is for NHL, but with filter can work for NFL not sure about NBA.
Western Conf was 15 correct 11 wrong. (57%)
Record is much better with filters
West: 14 correct 4 wrong (78%)
East: 15 correct 5 wrong (75%)
Filters are do not bet against top 5 teams (points not rank) in each conference when home, and do not bet on bottom 5 teams in each conference when on road. |
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Burly |
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#3 Posted: 12/26/2011 9:08:34 PM Gonna start tracking this system now
No Filter: 32 correct 19 wrong (63%)
With Filter: 29 correct 9 wrong (76%)
Todays Plays:
No Filter: Edm
Filter: No Play |
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Burly |
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#4 Posted: 12/27/2011 7:36:22 AM Gonna track the filters different starting now, ive noticed when both filters are used fading the system is very profitable.
Filter A:Home team is in East or West top 5 points
Filter B: Away team is in East or West bottom 5 points
Last night the play would have fit both filters so the play would have been Van not Edm. |
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Burly |
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#5 Posted: 12/27/2011 7:40:38 AM No Filter: 0-1
Filter A: 0-0
Filter B: 0-0
A+B (fade system):1-0
Todays Plays
No Filter: Mtl (Ott ended Streak)
Filter: No Play (B) |
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Burly |
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#6 Posted: 12/27/2011 11:43:09 PM Changing Filter B to bottom 3 teams but will still track as a Filter B loss.
Mtl 
No Filter 1-1
Filter A: 0-0
Filter B: 0-1
A+B: 1-0 |
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Burly |
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#7 Posted: 12/28/2011 9:36:05 PM Plays today:
No Filter: Van (SJ streak ended)
Van in top 5 SJ is not no filters so
With Filters: Van (SJ streak ended) |
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Burly |
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#8 Posted: 12/29/2011 8:20:26 PM Updated Record
No Filter: 2-1
With Filter: 1-1
Both Filters( fade system ): 1-0
Plays today:
No Filter: Phoenix ( Colorado ended streak )
With Filter: Phoenix ( Colorado ended streak ) |
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#9 Posted: 12/30/2011 4:15:00 PM Pho 
Adding Third Filter do not bet if non streak ending team is playing second game of a back to back
Updated Record
No Filter: 2-2
With Filter: 1-2
All Filters: (fade system) 1-0
Plays today:
No Filter: Florida (NYR ended streak), Ottawa (Calgary ended streak)
With Filter: Florida (NYR ended streak), Ottawa (Calgary ended streak)
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Burly |
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#10 Posted: 12/31/2011 12:54:25 AM Florida
Ottawa 
Adding fourth filter, do not bet if non streak losing team is starting backup goalie ( backup is considered 25% or less starts ), if both teams starting backups play will not be filtered.
Updated Record:
No Filter: 3-3
With Filters: 2-3
Filters A+B(fade system): 1-0
Year Record:
No Filter: 35-22 (61%)
With Filter: 31-12 (72%) |
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#11 Posted: 12/31/2011 3:01:08 PM Todays Plays:
No Filter: New Jersey ( Pittsburgh ended streak )
With Filters: New Jersey ( Pittsburgh ended streak ) |
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Riceboi |
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#12 Posted: 12/31/2011 4:59:21 PM
wonder how this system did in past nhl seasons?
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Burly |
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#13 Posted: 1/1/2012 1:03:49 PM the reason i started looking into it was i saw it a couple years ago posted by someone else.
The reason for all the filters is because I play proline so any errors mean a loss, but I also back tracked for NFL and using the first two filters 14 correct 4 wrong 4 no plays and 4 reverse (fade) winners so 82%.
Just wanna win some |
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#14 Posted: 1/1/2012 1:26:51 PM Also forgot NJ
No Filter: 4-3
With Filters: 3-3
Filters A+B(fade system): 1-0
Year Record
No Filter: 36-22 (62%)
With Filters: 32-12 (73%) |
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#15 Posted: 1/1/2012 1:31:29 PM Also will start a new thread for this new NFL season but here are the two plays in the NFL system today
Oakland ( SD ended streak)
Seattle ( Arizona ended streak)
Seattle also ended a streak but a filter I use is the loss to end the streak must be by at least 4 points, if not then it becomes a reverse play, so thats why the play is on Seattle. |
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#16 Posted: 1/2/2012 2:28:34 AM Bad Ending to the NFL system
Oakland
Seattle |
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#17 Posted: 1/3/2012 12:01:54 AM Forgot to post this before puck drop 
Plays Today:
No Filter: San Jose ( Vancouver ended streak )
With Filters : No Play ( Home Team Van top 5 in Conf )
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#18 Posted: 1/3/2012 12:07:22 AM Updated Record:
No Filter: 5-3
With Filters: 3-3
Filters A+B (fade system): 1-0
Year Record:
No Filters: 37-22 (63%)
With Filters: 32-12 (73%) |
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#19 Posted: 1/3/2012 12:45:03 AM Teams on streaks: WIN, TB, WAS, OTT, NAS
Next Play: Jan 4
No Filter: New Jersey ( Boston ended streak )
With Filters: No Play ( Home team Bos Top 5 in Conf ) |
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Burly |
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#20 Posted: 1/4/2012 5:29:16 PM Incorrect post about Boston being home team but the fifth and hopefully final filter is do not bet against top 2 teams in both conferences home/away.
Todays Play:
No Filter: New Jersey ( Boston ended streak )
With Filters: No Play ( Boston Top 2 in Conference ) |
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Burly |
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#21 Posted: 1/4/2012 10:57:58 PM NJ
Updated Record:
No Filter: 5-4
With Filters: 3-3
Filters A+B (fade system): 1-0
Year Record:
No Filter: 37-23 (62%)
With Filters: 32-12 (73%) |
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#22 Posted: 1/4/2012 11:47:16 PM Upcoming Plays:
Tomorrow: No Filter: Ottawa (Tampa Bay ended streak), Toronto (Winnipeg ended streak)
With Filters: Ottawa (Tampa Bay ended streak), Toronto (Winnipeg ended streak)
Also removing backup goalie filter as Top 2 filter fixes loss that backup filter fixed
Teams on streaks: WAS, NYI, OTT, NAS, COLO |
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Burly |
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#23 Posted: 1/5/2012 11:15:55 PM TOR
OTT
Finally a good night since ive posted, lets get some more!
Updated Record:
No Filter: 7-4
With Filters: 5-3 ( added filters would make 5-0)
Filters A+B(fade system): 1-0
Year Record:
No Filter: 39-22 (64%)
With Filters: 34-12 (74%)
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Burly |
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#24 Posted: 1/7/2012 12:29:42 AM Upcoming Plays:
Tomorrow: No Filter: Carolina ( Nashville ended streak ) Phoenix ( New York Islanders ended streak )
With Filters: Phoenix ( New York Islanders ended streak )
Carolina no play as they are bottom three in east conf
Teams on streaks: WAS, OTT, COLO, NYR, SJ
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Burly |
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#25 Posted: 1/7/2012 11:43:59 PM PHO with filters
CAR no filter
Five in a row with added filters now, looking good!!
Updated Record:
No Filter: 8-5
With Filters: 6 -3 ( 6-0 with C+D filters added)
Yearly Record:
No Filter: 40-23 (63%)
With Filters: 35-12 (74%)
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