Messages

Forum Index : Systems & Strategies : Messages Page 1 of 11  1 2 3 4 5   »
Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: NHL RPI now out
RealityCheck1 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
RealityCheck1
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Nov 2010
Posts: 529
Location:
#1
Posted: 11/1/2011 1:01:22 PM

The NHL RPI for this season is now out.  It can be found here

http://espn.go.com/nhl/stats/rpi

After taking a quick look it is no surprise to have WAS on top.  However it is a surprise to have EDM at 2nd when they were last, last season.  Also having BOS in last is a surprise.  There are 160 points between first and last right now, at the end of last season it was 77.  So the RPI will definately tighten up as the season progresses.  So for now, all plays you should take caution.  Just yesterday WIN beat FLA and FLA was 48 RPI higher.

Still have to come up with the best way to play this but I think flat betting would kill us with the high juice.  We can play each team for a 3 game chase when they meet the RPI in case of a loss.  Or we can just play the highest RPI of the day and chase from there, using labby would be best.  Lets watch it for a bit longer and see.

Tonight we have OTT in BOS and OTT is the dog but is 96 RPI higher, can they pull off the road win?

We also have ANA at WAS and WAS is 89 RPI higher, will they get an easy home win?

quote
gasman33 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
gasman33
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 1636
Location:
#2
Posted: 11/1/2011 1:42:46 PM
did this work well last year?

quote
RealityCheck1 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
RealityCheck1
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Nov 2010
Posts: 529
Location:
#3
Posted: 11/1/2011 5:32:49 PM
Never been tried before.  Worked well in MLB though.
quote
RealityCheck1 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
RealityCheck1
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Nov 2010
Posts: 529
Location:
#4
Posted: 11/3/2011 5:20:34 PM

WAS got the  and OTT blew the upset.  I think we have to look at last years RPI as well because when a team like BOS starts playing to their potential they will no longer be the lowest RPI team and start beating better teams like OTT.

Tonights plays would be

TOR 97

PHI 49

PIT 64

However TOR and PHO played yesterday so they would be a no play for tonight, and since SJ finished last season with a higher RPI then PIT it will also be a no play.  Still just watching for now but basically looking for a team with a higher RPI for this season and last, more goals scored and less against then opponent.  PHO fit the criteria but since they are back to back, no play.

quote
skew8 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
skew8
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Jun 2011
Posts: 123
Location:
#5
Posted: 11/4/2011 4:09:01 PM
great work RealityCheck, this system has some potential.

do you have any parameters when it comes to a minimum RPI difference.

just comparing it to B2W's mlb system,  he had 42 away and 35 home. (just as reference)

I'm curious to know how far into the season do the new RPI ratings become reliable enough to follow the system accurately.  Maybe, after X amount of games start the system?  Just a thought.

Keep it up.
quote
RealityCheck1 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
RealityCheck1
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Nov 2010
Posts: 529
Location:
#6
Posted: 11/4/2011 5:47:36 PM

No parameters yet, will determine them after more data.  We're coming up to the end of the 4th week of the season so pretty soon.  That is why I am going to check last seasons RPI as well for now since some teams have the potential to win but just aren't right now.

Todays play

WAS 91 

They have the higher RPI, they have the higher power ranking, they have more goals scored and less against then CAR and they also had finished last season with a higher RPI then CAR as well.The only thing that would make the bet even better is if they were at home.

CHI 76 will not be a play since they played last night.

quote
RealityCheck1 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
RealityCheck1
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Nov 2010
Posts: 529
Location:
#7
Posted: 11/5/2011 4:19:48 AM

WAS

So 2-0 when all the criteria are met.

quote
skew8 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
skew8
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Jun 2011
Posts: 123
Location:
#8
Posted: 11/5/2011 2:57:15 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by RealityCheck1:

WAS

So 2-0 when all the criteria are met.


quote
RealityCheck1 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
RealityCheck1
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Nov 2010
Posts: 529
Location:
#9
Posted: 11/5/2011 3:30:34 PM

Todays play

PHI 97

There is also WAS 117 but they played last night so I will not count the result either way.  They have won the last 5 vs NYI and this is their first B2B game this year.

quote
RealityCheck1 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
RealityCheck1
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Nov 2010
Posts: 529
Location:
#10
Posted: 11/5/2011 9:55:29 PM

PHI

Now 3-0

Check out my B2B thread, going for the hat trick tonight!!!

quote
RealityCheck1 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
RealityCheck1
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Nov 2010
Posts: 529
Location:
#11
Posted: 11/6/2011 9:29:01 AM

So as we learned even WAS with a 117 RPI can be stopped on a B2B night.

Todays play

DAL 55

quote
RealityCheck1 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
RealityCheck1
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Nov 2010
Posts: 529
Location:
#12
Posted: 11/6/2011 4:26:07 PM

DAL

Now 4-0

quote
skew8 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
skew8
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Jun 2011
Posts: 123
Location:
#13
Posted: 11/6/2011 4:29:46 PM
This system is money.  
quote
RealityCheck1 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
RealityCheck1
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Nov 2010
Posts: 529
Location:
#14
Posted: 11/7/2011 1:06:09 PM
No plays today.
quote
RealityCheck1 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
RealityCheck1
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Nov 2010
Posts: 529
Location:
#15
Posted: 11/8/2011 3:54:04 PM

BUF 26

Would like it to be a higher RPI but all criteria are met and WIN are on last game of 7 game road trip.

quote
glefkb01
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
glefkb01
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 2494
Location: Michigan
#16
Posted: 11/8/2011 4:04:06 PM
What am I missing??      Would love a B2W system that takes me to next year MLB that is just a profitable as his was for MLB....    would cover us all year basically!!!
quote
glefkb01
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
glefkb01
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 2494
Location: Michigan
#17
Posted: 11/8/2011 4:06:21 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by RealityCheck1:

BUF 26

Would like it to be a higher RPI but all criteria are met and WIN are on last game of 7 game road trip.

You gonna count this then?     26 for a home team?

what are the criteria u are using?

quote
glefkb01
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
glefkb01
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 2494
Location: Michigan
#18
Posted: 11/8/2011 4:29:46 PM
Teams that were favored -190 or higher are 8-2 this year
quote
RealityCheck1 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
RealityCheck1
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Nov 2010
Posts: 529
Location:
#19
Posted: 11/8/2011 5:56:42 PM
Like in post #6, higher RPI both this season and last season, higher power ranking and more goals for and less against.  We will see if a 26 RPI is to low or not.  Yes, I'm trying this for hockey and then switch to MLB as well.  Stick to the 2 sports if all works well.  Just not sure how many plays we will get if we wait for the RPI to be above 40 or so.
quote
RealityCheck1 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
RealityCheck1
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Nov 2010
Posts: 529
Location:
#20
Posted: 11/8/2011 6:02:14 PM
I use last years RPI because you have a team like EDM who was last, last year and now 1st this year in RPI.  They are 83 above MON this season but below MON last season, now way they can keep that up.
quote
glefkb01
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
glefkb01
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 2494
Location: Michigan
#21
Posted: 11/9/2011 12:57:12 PM
Closer than I liked but a win is a win

Any games tonight?
Posted using a mobile device.
quote
SpOrTzFaN1
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
SpOrTzFaN1
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Jun 2010
Posts: 310
Location:
#22
Posted: 11/9/2011 1:56:50 PM
this makes no sence you dont explain the system at all do you just take the highest rpi of the day of the biggest difference in rpi of the day 
quote
glefkb01
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
glefkb01
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 2494
Location: Michigan
#23
Posted: 11/9/2011 4:10:38 PM
That's what B2W did for mlb in a sense... Doesn't it make since to take the bettor team over the worst team with factoring in home/away rankings
Posted using a mobile device.
quote
RealityCheck1 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
RealityCheck1
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Nov 2010
Posts: 529
Location:
#24
Posted: 11/9/2011 6:19:28 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by SpOrTzFaN1:

this makes no sence you dont explain the system at all do you just take the highest rpi of the day of the biggest difference in rpi of the day 

Maybe try reading the posts...

Criteria are in post #6 and #19

 

quote
RealityCheck1 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
RealityCheck1
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Nov 2010
Posts: 529
Location:
#25
Posted: 11/9/2011 6:20:01 PM

BUF

Record

6-0

quote
Forum Index : Systems & Strategies : Messages Page 1 of 11  1 2 3 4 5   »
You have entered the forum as a GUEST. 
You must login/register to post or reply.