TIPS FOR GETTING HALF TIME 70% WINS RATIO

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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: TIPS FOR GETTING HALF TIME 70% WINS RATIO
yncibrc PM yncibrc
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Posted: 10/14/2010 1:05:33 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by JCtS:

10/13/10 - UCF @ MAR

0-1



I only use this for NFL.  NCAA is a different system because it has too many game to make it profitable.
yncibrc PM yncibrc
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Posted: 10/14/2010 1:15:36 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by depeche2:



What about also...
GB -2.5 (lost by 3)
Balt +8.5 (lost by 14)

This "theory" only worked out so well because so many dogs happened to win SU this week.  That is not typically the case.



the green bay game they were leading by 7 in the first half therefore they didn't cover the point spread +6 and they didn't cover the 2nd half.  On the raven game 17-7 in the first half which they didn't cover spread + 6 and the 2nd half raven -4 which result a tie.  Every Sunday we have 13 game if I can get 10 W and 3 L it's a successful week.  With this system I can chose more intelligently than betting a full game.  Betting half time is like you watch a movie half way and know what's the ending going to be.
Trav2282 PM Trav2282
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Posted: 10/14/2010 1:33:00 PM
How are you able to decide totals by halftime?
What tells you if the score will go over or under during the second half?
yncibrc PM yncibrc
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Posted: 10/14/2010 1:39:19 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Trav2282:

How does this work for predicting over/unders for the second half?


This system work with over and under but the rate is not as high as point spread. For example the total of the game is 42.  2 options

#1 42+6=48 point over
#2 42-6=36  point under

let's say 1st half point total is 24 and the first half over under is 20.5 or 21

now 2nd half total spread is 21.5.
option #1 I take 48(total spread) - 24(1st half) = 24.
option #2 I take 36(total spread) - 24(1st half) = 12

In this case I will pick option 1 and play OVER 21.5 in the 2nd half because it will happened easier than UNDER 12.  All of this calculation only help to chose more intelligent in the 2nd.

However, you need to look at the game and see if it's a competative game or a blow out game.  Blow out game in NFL normally go under in the 2nd half.
MoBlues PM MoBlues
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Posted: 10/14/2010 9:19:13 PM
interesting, thanks for sharing.  I will keep an eye on this for the future.
Trav2282 PM Trav2282
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Posted: 10/14/2010 10:58:01 PM
Hey thank you very much for taking the time to explain that to me. I'm saving up a bankroll to knock the books next year and I plan on taking your advice on 2nd half picks. I like what you say a lot and totally agree with your comment about Vegas' control - with the money it makes there's no telling what/who the bosses over there have their hooks into.

Thanks again YNC be good!
MR TINGLES PM MR TINGLES
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Posted: 10/14/2010 11:43:13 PM
DON'T WISH TO SOUND IGNORANT. PLEASE CONFIRM

GAME SPREAD +6

NOT

FIRST HALF SPREAD +6

I LOVE BEATING AGAINST FAVS PF 5-6 FOR THAT SAME TEASER REASON

IT'S ALSO A GOOD MONEYLINE PLAY
THANKS FOR SHARING
xx450xx PM xx450xx
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Posted: 10/15/2010 12:43:23 AM

good stuff, thx

yncibrc PM yncibrc
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Posted: 10/15/2010 2:20:23 AM
thanks for the appreciation.  I wish everyone win more.  Another tips for 2nd half betting, sometime sport book will change the point spread or juice 5 minutes before kick off to confuse the wise guy(guy who wait to see point moving before kick off and make their bet base on that), just stick with your choice sometime they move the total up 1/2 or 1 point to make you think the total will go over
Trav2282 PM Trav2282
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Posted: 10/15/2010 2:30:11 AM
I know exactly what your talking about, great call and thanks again! Lets keep it rolling this week baby!
JCtS PM JCtS
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Posted: 10/15/2010 3:06:25 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by yncibrc:



I only use this for NFL.  NCAA is a different system because it has too many game to make it profitable.

In post #35 you posted your winning ticket with EC +4 ( 2nd Half ) ...

GL, this Sunday

 

yncibrc PM yncibrc
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Posted: 10/15/2010 11:53:29 AM

I only play late afternoon or night game with this system for NCAA bc I feel like people will bet more at the night game therefore the point spread will be tighter.  But if you check yesterday NCAA

kansas st vs kansas and USF vs W Virginia they both winner in the 2nd half with this system.

But like I said NCAA have too many game therefore it's hard to pick out the game to play.

hit_a_parlay PM hit_a_parlay
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Posted: 10/15/2010 3:15:18 PM
JFISH PM JFISH
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Posted: 10/15/2010 8:00:21 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by yncibrc:

thanks for the appreciation.  I wish everyone win more.  Another tips for 2nd half betting, sometime sport book will change the point spread or juice 5 minutes before kick off to confuse the wise guy(guy who wait to see point moving before kick off and make their bet base on that), just stick with your choice sometime they move the total up 1/2 or 1 point to make you think the total will go over

 

spot on my man...

JFISH PM JFISH
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Posted: 10/15/2010 8:02:35 PM
this year ive only been betting 1h and 2h and 100% agree it is the way to go if you are a nice sized player. Great info buddy
JFISH PM JFISH
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Posted: 10/17/2010 2:31:57 PM
are you posting any plays??
i_cant_stop PM i_cant_stop
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Posted: 10/17/2010 2:42:30 PM
these should be the play using his system

phi -7    +3
cle    +7
sea    +4
det    +6
bal    +3
stl    +7
mia    +3
no    -2
kc    +3.5
i_cant_stop PM i_cant_stop
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Posted: 10/17/2010 2:43:05 PM
phi    +3
cle    +7
sea    +4
det    +6
bal    +3
stl    +7
mia    +3
no    -2
kc    +3.5
i_cant_stop PM i_cant_stop
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Posted: 10/17/2010 2:43:58 PM
PHI +3

LostnFound PM LostnFound
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Posted: 10/17/2010 3:17:11 PM
So if you follow the system so far it should be something like this
KC +3.5
NO -.5
DET +6
MIA +3
CLE +7
STL +7
BAL +3
SEA +4
PHI +3
softballmaniac PM softballmaniac
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Posted: 10/17/2010 3:25:41 PM
cheddar327 PM cheddar327
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Posted: 10/17/2010 3:33:41 PM
badreligion PM badreligion
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Posted: 10/17/2010 3:46:09 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by LostnFound:

So if you follow the system so far it should be something like this
KC +3.5
NO -.5
DET +6
MIA +3
CLE +7
STL +7
BAL +3
SEA +4
PHI +3


looking good so far
Elevation PM Elevation
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Posted: 10/17/2010 3:56:14 PM
These are all going down, save for a couple.
bunny651 PM bunny651
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Posted: 10/17/2010 4:19:31 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Elevation:

These are all going down, save for a couple.

5-4 at worst........

 

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