| Author: |
[Systems & Strategies] Topic: 2010 NCAA Fave/Over - Dog/Under % Correlation Parlays Thread |
|
coolcat690 |
 View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: BookMaker | |
Prospect
Joined: Sep 2010
Posts: 5
Location: Texas |
#126 Posted: 9/19/2010 9:53:25 AM |
|
quote |
|
kkirby99 |
RSI  |
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2007
Posts: 1163
Location: United States |
#127 Posted: 9/19/2010 11:05:50 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by MILKMAN0923:
my fault TCU was a loser total was set at 56
Depends on when you bet them. They came out at 53.5 total for the game. I had a buddy that played that and collected. Bet those favorite combos early!! |
|
quote |
|
gasman33 |
RSI  |
Veteran
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 1636
Location: |
#128 Posted: 9/19/2010 11:19:03 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by JMon:
Are you getting 13/5 (2.6) payouts?
I was 6-2 +$1,120
14-3 (82%) +$3,280.00 last 2 weeks. Missed the first week 
I bet $100 on each parlay ...Book pays 2.6:1 for win and charges 10% juice on loss...so...
...for each WIN I net...$260-110= $150
...for each LOSS I net....$110X2= -$220
Yesterday...6-2
...$150X6= $900
...-$220X2= -$440
...$900-$440= +$460 for the day...
|
|
quote |
|
JMon |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Banned
Joined: Feb 2009
Posts: 3071
Location: Kansas |
#129 Posted: 9/19/2010 11:25:06 AM |
|
quote |
|
powerade |
RSI  |
MVP
Joined: Mar 2007
Posts: 17952
Location: New York |
#130 Posted: 9/19/2010 11:26:26 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by CInderellaStory: Serves me right for playing the games just under the 40% range. TCU/Baylor, Org St./Lousville, (38% hard to pass)
First halves sucked today. Hopefully rebound next week
lol its easy to pass....trust me, its doesn't win like 41% and above do |
|
quote |
|
|
|
powerade |
RSI |
MVP
Joined: Mar 2007
Posts: 17952
Location: New York |
#131 Posted: 9/19/2010 11:27:44 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by gasman33:
I bet $100 on each parlay ...Book pays 2.6:1 for win and charges 10% juice on loss...so...
...for each WIN I net...$260-110= $150
...for each LOSS I net....$110X2= -$220
Yesterday...6-2
...$150X6= $900
...-$220X2= -$440
...$900-$440= +$460 for the day...
yeah your getting hosed....
i know a bunch of locals....2 team parlay pays 29 for every $11 |
|
quote |
|
powerade |
RSI |
MVP
Joined: Mar 2007
Posts: 17952
Location: New York |
#132 Posted: 9/19/2010 11:39:07 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by JMon:
Wow...10% juice on a parlay loss. He is getting you on both ends.
the 10% is normal on a loss I think....
gotta bet increments of 11 with a local, so you lose 110 on a parlay but you should be getting paid 290 on the win
...then minus the 110 loss, +180 |
|
quote |
|
MILKMAN0923 |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 4623
Location: Florida |
#133 Posted: 9/19/2010 11:45:01 AM
|
|
quote |
|
MILKMAN0923 |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 4623
Location: Florida |
#134 Posted: 9/19/2010 11:45:45 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by kkirby99:
Depends on when you bet them. They came out at 53.5 total for the game. I had a buddy that played that and collected. Bet those favorite combos early!!
i would love to get on them early but my local goes through an online place that doesnt post totals until the morning of the game...so im stuck playing the waiting gm
|
|
quote |
|
MILKMAN0923 |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 4623
Location: Florida |
#135 Posted: 9/19/2010 11:46:42 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by gasman33:
I bet $100 on each parlay ...Book pays 2.6:1 for win and charges 10% juice on loss...so...
...for each WIN I net...$260-110= $150
...for each LOSS I net....$110X2= -$220
Yesterday...6-2
...$150X6= $900
...-$220X2= -$440
...$900-$440= +$460 for the day...
hey at least your +460, better than -460, gotta like that
|
|
quote |
|
JMon |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Banned
Joined: Feb 2009
Posts: 3071
Location: Kansas |
#136 Posted: 9/19/2010 1:16:19 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by MILKMAN0923:
i got no juice on a parlay loss, if i bet 100 i lose 100, you should be getting juiced on a parlay
Yep, same with me. |
|
quote |
|
MILKMAN0923 |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 4623
Location: Florida |
#137 Posted: 9/19/2010 2:19:35 PM
|
|
quote |
|
MILKMAN0923 |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 4623
Location: Florida |
#138 Posted: 9/19/2010 2:27:53 PM
|
|
quote |
|
MILKMAN0923 |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 4623
Location: Florida |
#139 Posted: 9/19/2010 2:29:31 PM   |
|
quote |
|
kkirby99 |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2007
Posts: 1163
Location: United States |
#140 Posted: 9/19/2010 2:50:22 PM |
|
quote |
|
MILKMAN0923 |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 4623
Location: Florida |
#141 Posted: 9/19/2010 4:44:02 PM |
|
quote |
|
MILKMAN0923 |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 4623
Location: Florida |
#142 Posted: 9/19/2010 11:19:13 PM
|
|
quote |
|
coolcat690 |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: BookMaker | |
Prospect
Joined: Sep 2010
Posts: 5
Location: Texas |
#143 Posted: 9/20/2010 1:41:47 AM |
|
quote |
|
MILKMAN0923 |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 4623
Location: Florida |
#144 Posted: 9/20/2010 5:57:27 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by coolcat690:
Hey Milkman0923 can you PM a book that takes these bets? Thanks and good luck
sorry man i use a local. not sure any online books take these...
|
|
quote |
|
Rgrwalker |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Prospect
Joined: Sep 2008
Posts: 34
Location: Georgia |
#145 Posted: 9/20/2010 10:02:35 AM
|
|
quote |
|
kkirby99 |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2007
Posts: 1163
Location: United States |
#146 Posted: 9/20/2010 10:41:14 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by Rgrwalker:
Since you can get up to 33% online sportsbook, would it be worth taking those if you can't find a local bookie? How accurate are the 30-33% range?
Not enough. You lose your edge. That's why the online books are OK with it. |
|
quote |
|
Rgrwalker |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Prospect
Joined: Sep 2008
Posts: 34
Location: Georgia |
#147 Posted: 9/20/2010 10:48:02 AM
|
|
quote |
|
powerade |
RSI |
MVP
Joined: Mar 2007
Posts: 17952
Location: New York |
#148 Posted: 9/20/2010 4:50:53 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Rgrwalker:
Since you can get up to 33% online sportsbook, would it be worth taking those if you can't find a local bookie? How accurate are the 30-33% range?
I wouldn't risk too much....like Kirby said, you are losing the mathematic edge on it
most locals will take these, go find one....ask around if you know other gamblers in your area, or just go to a bar on a sunday and ask around...
I think locals take them partially because they don't know about the advantage of them
and becuase most locals are ego driven, they all think you will lose eventually and they know you will bet it back so they take them |
|
quote |
|
HappyKane |
RSI  |
Hall of Fame
Joined: Oct 2003
Posts: 28187
Location: Nevada |
#149 Posted: 9/20/2010 5:03:52 PM
They know it doesn't make sense but they do it anyway. They know Vegas doesn't charge juice on parlays but they do it anyway.
|
|
quote |
|
Rgrwalker |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Prospect
Joined: Sep 2008
Posts: 34
Location: Georgia |
#150 Posted: 9/20/2010 5:14:33 PM
lol, man that sounds fun, I could just imagine how this would work out. I just don't see how anyone is going to give up their bookie off a first impression. Hey, I'll damn sure do it though.
What kind of luck could I have had to of hit EVERY SINGLE one of the parlays I picked this weekend?
I think I will play all the 30-33% plays again this weekend and go to BWW to watch how they unfold and try to find me a local bookie.
Thanks for all the help guys
|
|
quote |