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[Systems & Strategies] Topic: New Strategy |
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dj_destroyer |
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#26 Posted: 6/22/2010 11:45:55 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by nolemonasses:
Its so stupid and simple...I absolutely love it.
It's funny that you say this because I whole-heartedly agree in almost every case that the simple/stupid methods work better. Hell, if reason and logic ruled all then we would have A LOT more successful cappers. The thing is that there are way more losers than winners... so take a couple 'losing' plays and see how you do. |
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nolemonasses |
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#27 Posted: 6/22/2010 1:06:02 PM So, at my book I got:
705: Toronto game +125
710: Mets game +120
805: SF game +135
810: Atl game +105
1005: Cinci game +110
1010: Cubs game: +130
I locked in the first 4 start times and will see how they go. I will then move on to the 1005 and 1010 accordingly. |
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smitler |
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#28 Posted: 6/22/2010 1:11:33 PM Not looked at any games yet but Nole you can't chase both Toronto and Mets. Start times are too close so Toronto 1st inning probably won't be over by the time the Mets game starts. Same with SFG and Atl and Cinci and Cubs.
I will take a look at my betus lines.
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smitler |
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#29 Posted: 6/22/2010 1:49:52 PM Game 1 DET/NYM Yes +135 Betus Game 2 SFG/HOU Yes +160 No Play BOS/COL. Both are at "-" money Game 3 CUB/SEA Yes +145
3 game chase tonight.
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nolemonasses |
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#30 Posted: 6/22/2010 7:06:56 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by smitler:
Not looked at any games yet but Nole you can't chase both Toronto and Mets. Start times are too close so Toronto 1st inning probably won't be over by the time the Mets game starts. Same with SFG and Atl and Cinci and Cubs.
I will take a look at my betus lines.
I am doing both. I am hoping for a wash or winning both. If both lose, I will step up the bet for the next start time accordingly. I'm doing it with peanuts anyway. No, really, my book accepts planters money... |
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nolemonasses |
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#31 Posted: 6/22/2010 7:08:27 PM And, like Austin Powers, I too, like to live dangerously. I see Toronto hitting a HR on the first pitch. Done deal before the Mets game even starts... |
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smitler |
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#32 Posted: 6/22/2010 7:27:48 PM Ho Hum looks like another Game 1 winner.
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GMSI |
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#33 Posted: 6/23/2010 9:33:23 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by LasVegasSystems:
I have a question. What is the record this season chase and without chase? Also, I assume you do not know how this has performed in past years- is that correct?
As to the books adjusting, they can to some extent, but there also can be arbitrage opportunities for professionals if the line gets too skewed by the books. That should limit the extent to which they can adjust.
FYI, this guy is a tout who sells public system picks with a modified money management system. He takes alot of info from the free boards and sells it. Deals stale lines to his clients and his plays are very rarely at current lines.
Also his win/loss record unit wise is very subjective to his huge plays up to 8* sometimes. He touts his yearly unit records of +20-30units all the time with 8* plays at lines -250 and higher lines.
Prior to MLB season he was forecasting 400units of profit, LOL. Uses very deceptive tactics like replying to emails pretending to have PHD's in math on staff.
Just so everyone knows...
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smitler |
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#34 Posted: 6/23/2010 12:19:21 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by GMSI:
FYI, this guy is a tout who sells public system picks with a modified money management system. He takes alot of info from the free boards and sells it. Deals stale lines to his clients and his plays are very rarely at current lines.
Also his win/loss record unit wise is very subjective to his huge plays up to 8* sometimes. He touts his yearly unit records of +20-30units all the time with 8* plays at lines -250 and higher lines.
Prior to MLB season he was forecasting 400units of profit, LOL. Uses very deceptive tactics like replying to emails pretending to have PHD's in math on staff.
Just so everyone knows...
That guy is a real person then.
We should get some people together and sell our own great systems.
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smitler |
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#35 Posted: 6/23/2010 2:09:53 PM WTF Betus is usually the first book with yes/no lines and they are still not posted and other books are. Hmm. Interesting.
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smitler |
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#36 Posted: 6/23/2010 2:12:34 PM Game_1_Cin/Oak_Yes_+100_
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smitler |
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#37 Posted: 6/23/2010 3:32:13 PM Big chase card today.
Game_1_CIN/OAK_Yes_+100_ Game_2_KAN/WAS_Yes_+135_ Game_3_STL/TOR_Yes_+135_ Game_4_SFO/HOU_Yes_+130_ Game_5_BOS/COL_Yes_+110_ Game_6_NYY/ARZ_No_+120_ Game_7_CUB/SEA_Yes+160_
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neilsy25 |
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#38 Posted: 6/23/2010 3:36:31 PM I don't see these yes/no lines on Pinnacle..do they not offer them or am I just missing it ? |
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smitler |
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#39 Posted: 6/23/2010 3:53:59 PM Hey guys guess what. GAME ONE WINNER!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Gonna play again for 1/2 unit.
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smitler |
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#40 Posted: 6/23/2010 4:03:26 PM Big variance in lines. Bookmaker has KAN/WAS -105.
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smitler |
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#41 Posted: 6/23/2010 5:45:33 PM On to game 3
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nolemonasses |
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#42 Posted: 6/23/2010 6:36:12 PM I see u have the NYY game for a no. I did not realize you did no runs also if it was + money... |
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smitler |
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#43 Posted: 6/23/2010 7:29:29 PM Uh oh, that one lost too. Might have pushed over done it.
On to game 4.
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smitler |
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#44 Posted: 6/23/2010 7:30:00 PM I mean might have over done it.
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smitler |
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#45 Posted: 6/23/2010 8:22:53 PM Winner!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! That will do pig.
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sabia |
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#46 Posted: 6/24/2010 1:27:48 AM this system depends the day that the teams send his best pitchers today 10 games not runs only 5 games with runs in 1 .......the best days to this sistem are friday to sunday there are more games with runs in 1......
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smitler |
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#47 Posted: 6/24/2010 1:36:11 AM Only 2-5 straight up today but the 2 chases were winners.
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smitler |
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#48 Posted: 6/24/2010 9:48:15 AM Another 7 game chase today. Possible guy in the armor exposed yesterday with 6 of 7 "Yes" plays. SDG and SFO need to keep scoring in the first.
Game_1_SDG/TAM_Yes_+105 Game_2_CLE/PHI__No_+100 Game_3_SFO/HOU_Yes_+135 Game_4_CUB/SEA_Yes_+160 Game_5_STL/TOR_Yes_+130 Game_6_PIT/TEX__No_+125 Game_7_LAD/LAA__No_+100
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nolemonasses |
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#49 Posted: 6/24/2010 10:45:32 AM Damn, my odds are different. i got phi as -105 and LAA -110.
That, and my cubs/sea is only +130. |
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smitler |
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#50 Posted: 6/24/2010 11:16:16 AM Betus lines.
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