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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: MLB system releases...
Hammer69 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#101
Posted: 5/9/2009 11:57:48 AM
Hi Just wanted to Congrat. you on all your hard,you are the best.Hammer69
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sports_Network
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#102
Posted: 5/9/2009 11:59:22 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by gambool:



Cool, i'll try to do it again for today's games and will see what you come up with. I'm wondering how you make the decision of playing for the O/U or for the game.
Nice picks for yesterday by the way...5/7

Both are derived from the Base_Runs system...initiated through the Runs_Earned formula...

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#103
Posted: 5/9/2009 12:03:16 PM
Hammer69 /  Thank you for the kind words,   appreciated...
 
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#104
Posted: 5/9/2009 12:03:36 PM
Ok, i've done it for 2 games but have to go out for now :

Braves vs Phillies O 9.5
Mariners vs Twins O 7.5

I'm guessing you bet on game when there is a big difference on the score and on O/U when you're well over or under the number.

For the Brave/Phillies game I have a tight score but big numbers. For the Mariners/Twins one, I miss some data for the Mariners but the Twins are gonna score more than 7.5 by themselves and Mariners are gonna get some runs too.
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#105
Posted: 5/9/2009 12:20:54 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by gambool:

Ok, i've done it for 2 games but have to go out for now :

Braves vs Phillies O 9.5
Mariners vs Twins O 7.5

I'm guessing you bet on game when there is a big difference on the score and on O/U when you're well over or under the number.

For the Brave/Phillies game I have a tight score but big numbers. For the Mariners/Twins one, I miss some data for the Mariners but the Twins are gonna score more than 7.5 by themselves and Mariners are gonna get some runs too.

these games have the figures, but not the strength, their are more ahead of them, with stronger equations....

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#106
Posted: 5/9/2009 12:44:35 PM
MLB formulated system plays Saturday 05/09/09  Phase XVI
 
                                      Mariners+117
                                      Yankees-143
 
                                      Cardinals vs Reds UNDER 8.5
                                      DevilRays vs RedSox OVER 9
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#107
Posted: 5/9/2009 12:46:19 PM
Ok, so you do the calculations for every game every day and pick the best ones ?
For Braves vs Phillies I really have a huge score, so I thought it had a good "strenght" (I have 13-10 but i obviously might be wrong)
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#108
Posted: 5/9/2009 1:13:20 PM
gambool /  You might want to re-apply, it appears you have drifted from the formula dramatically, (6.2+3.6~~9.8)
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#109
Posted: 5/9/2009 1:14:07 PM
hey sport..will u have more games later or is this all for today......thank you for your hard work and good luck to ya
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#110
Posted: 5/9/2009 1:37:57 PM
QUOTE

 

Originally Posted by clint2463:

hey sport..will u have more games later or is this all for today......thank you for your hard work and good luck to ya

some Phases produce different numbers, this will be all for XVI

 

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#111
Posted: 5/9/2009 3:05:39 PM
thank u sir
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#112
Posted: 5/9/2009 9:08:46 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by sports_Network:

gambool /  You might want to re-apply, it appears you have drifted from the formula dramatically, (6.2+3.6~~9.8)


Could you please post a clear example of your complete process for a given game. I'm lost, have done calculations for 5 hours and can't find not even close to the same results as yours for todays games.
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#113
Posted: 5/9/2009 10:18:24 PM
1 for 4 tonight. tough. but keep up the work sir
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#114
Posted: 5/10/2009 10:37:28 AM
MLB formulated system 100 plays experiment/ Base_Runs system....Finalized.
 
100 documented plays
70 wins*
30 losses**
one push
70% accurate/reliable
14-2 phase record
 
 
*including Yankees ppd win / WhiteSox ppd win..
** totals line fluxuation: two...
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#115
Posted: 5/10/2009 11:05:29 AM
progression / regression  theorem..re: phase chart.....
 
Phase I 4-4
Phase II 7-2
Phase III 6-0
Phase IV 4-3
Phase V 5-1
Phase VI 5-3
Phase VII 2-2
Phase VIII  3-5
Phase IX 3-3
Phase X 3-1
Phase XI 5-0
Phase XII 5-2
Phase XIII 4-2
Phase XIV 5-1
Phase XV 5-2
Phase XVI 1-3
70% advantage
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#116
Posted: 5/10/2009 11:18:11 AM
wow!

100 more plays with the same winning ratio and you can start serious and very successful  business as the sports adviser . I'd be the first subscriber!

great job! thank you
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#117
Posted: 5/10/2009 11:41:02 AM
[Quote: Originally Posted by headcoach66] wow!

100 more plays with the same winning ratio and you can start serious and very successful  business as the sports adviser . I'd be the first subscriber!

great job! thank you

[/Quote

my motive was strictly documentation, for verification purposes ...I will use the Base_Runs system as an added tool, in successful MLB handicapping......

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#118
Posted: 5/10/2009 12:26:45 PM
u still gonna post  picks sport...or are u finished posting...just wondering since u said it was finalized......either way thank u for your hard work on this
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sports_Network
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#119
Posted: 5/10/2009 12:34:33 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by clint2463:

u still gonna post  picks sport...or are u finished posting...just wondering since u said it was finalized......either way thank u for your hard work on this

Only unit management, and strategy discussion, I explained at the conception,this would be a 100 play post to  determine success of the system, and the final results....which is  published above in detail ..best regards

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#120
Posted: 5/10/2009 12:39:46 PM
would u email me ur picks if i put u on on my friends list...i still dont no enough yet and dont have the system working right yet,just like gambool
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#121
Posted: 5/10/2009 2:19:43 PM
Im not getting anywhere close to the numbers either. Thanks for everything SN I hope you keep posting a few plays if you find the time I appreciate the work
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#122
Posted: 5/10/2009 5:23:02 PM
I would be grateful if you would continuous post your pics or email them to subscribers as you know, a lot of people have been following your picks. Alternatively, I guess, you could sell your picks once you've devised a nice money making system, as its proven to be successful :)
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#123
Posted: 5/10/2009 8:37:04 PM
Hey guys can we all work together to figure this out ourselves and someone continue to post system plays??It sounds like some of you have been working the numbers and still haven't figured it out correctly yet.maybe SN can give us an detailed example of a game he has calculated if he has the time?Once we learn could we form a posting group and each member run the numbers for a few games each day and post them on OUR thread?
   Any suggestions??I'm willing to learn but would need some help timewise to analyze all the games each day.
   Sportsnetwork ......any comments on that idea would be appreciated and congrats on the 70% advantage ....amazing and hope you continue to post........
 
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#124
Posted: 5/10/2009 8:52:54 PM
Im all for it PUCK. I am on here like the rest of us with the goal of making a good profit from the books. 

With that said when I use the basic version:

Base Runs = A*B/(B+C) +D.

Here is the Basic version:

A = H + BB - HR

B = [1.4*TB -.6*H -3*HR +.1*BB] *1.02

C = AB - H

D = HR


I continue to come up with numbers that dont seem to be right. Most of the time the total runs are either in or close to double digits for each team. 

With this version:

Here is a version which includes some minor categories in which certain players excel:

A = H + BB + HBP - HR - .5*IBB

B = [1.4*TB -.6*H -3*HR +.1*(BB+HBP-IBB) +.9*(SB-CS-GDP)] *1.1

C = AB - H + CS + GDP

D = HR

I have trouble finding some of the stats and not sure if the numbers are that much more accurate. 


I hope we can figure this out soon so we can get a good profit for the season. 



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#125
Posted: 5/10/2009 8:55:44 PM
SportsNetwork if you have any advice or the criteria that you imply (bb, gidp, etc....) it would be great. What would be great is if you can plug this into an EXCEL sheet that we could download through Email or whatever. Anybody have any input??
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