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[Systems & Strategies] Topic: MLB system releases... |
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sports_Network |
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#26 Posted: 4/29/2009 6:44:37 AM assessment: the system has tilted towards advantage, and reliable for the first five phases, as follows;
phase one 4-4
phase two 7-2
phase three 6-0
phase four 3-2 ...one ppd scratched
phase five 5-1 |
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rman1049 |
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#27 Posted: 4/29/2009 7:02:39 AM I really like phase 2,3 & 5...
Any insights on what these systems are???
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#28 Posted: 4/29/2009 7:40:57 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by rman1049:
I really like phase 2,3 & 5...
Any insights on what these systems are???
yes, the Totals are based strictly on sabermetric baseball stats, re: Base_Runs ; with no variables added, which means "luck" is eliminated, and the system takes full responsibility on total runs scored....
The ML plays has added variables to the sabermetric system. such as formulated situational handicapping. best regards |
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#29 Posted: 4/29/2009 8:44:02 AM MLB formulated system plays 04/29/09 Phase VI
Mets-174
Nationals+166
Reds-139
Giants-139
Orioles-133
Royals-142
RedSox vs Indians UNDER 9.5
Padres vs Rockies OVER 10 |
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NewZealandPride |
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#30 Posted: 4/29/2009 6:45:36 PM Sorry for being a nub, but I'm from New Zealand therefore we don't use the american system of betting.
So, I assume when you have Mets-174, it means, for every dollar you invest in that option, you will get $0.74 return? and when there is a plus like Washington+166, it means, for every dollar you invest, you will get $1.66 return? |
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MontanaMax |
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#31 Posted: 4/29/2009 11:21:15 PM
Your right on the dog but the fav is off. Its cool though.
If I am correct its actually $0.37 return of a dollar on those odds for the fav
Divide it by 2
You would get back the $0.74 return if you risked $2.00
One of those calculations that's easy but hard to explain
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headcoach66 |
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#32 Posted: 4/30/2009 2:17:54 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by NewZealandPride: Sorry for being a nub, but I'm from New Zealand therefore we don't use the american system of betting.
So, I assume when you have Mets-174, it means, for every dollar you invest in that option, you will get $0.74 return? and when there is a plus like Washington+166, it means, for every dollar you invest, you will get $1.66 return?
Hi there. I was the same, when I came to USA :) But it's pretty easy to explaine.
-174 means you need bet 174 to win 100 (1.57 decimal odd)
+166 means, that when you bet 100, you'll win 166 (netto) (2.66 decimal odd)
I know, it's stupid like all that american system :)
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headcoach66 |
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#33 Posted: 4/30/2009 2:30:46 AM
And this system looks..... no bad :) In MLB I believe strongly in stats, stats, stats. Sometimes is lot of work, but in this league makes sense! So good luck to all and I'll wait for the next posts. But remember. In this business, if something works, you can always get more money if you sell your pics :) And if it works permanently, stay home and don't tell anybody! Or... come visit me in Vegas and we can do business ;)
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#34 Posted: 4/30/2009 5:39:00 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by NewZealandPride:
Sorry for being a nub, but I'm from New Zealand therefore we don't use the american system of betting.
So, I assume when you have Mets-174, it means, for every dollar you invest in that option, you will get $0.74 return? and when there is a plus like Washington+166, it means, for every dollar you invest, you will get $1.66 return?
I'll make this very simple and understandable on your behalf....... If you were to bet the Mets, it would cost you $174.00 to make $100.00 as they are the favorite's..If you were to bet the Nationals, betting $100.00 would bring you a return of $166.00.. the favorites are minus, the dog's are plus.....
However, the Asian ML odds that you are familiar with bring value, and a higher return when wagering on MLB..Vegas, and the majority of offshore books do not present the "asian" line to american handicappers, there's many reasons for this activity. All european on-line books service the asian line, but give no access to the american market...if you are interested in how the ML, RL, and Totals are placed into effect, I would suggest you check out, vegasinsider.com..the industry leader in odds/linemovement...... best regards |
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#35 Posted: 4/30/2009 9:54:11 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by sports_Network:
MLB formulated system plays 04/29/09 Phase VI
Mets-174
Nationals+166
Reds-139
Giants-139
Orioles-133
Royals-142
RedSox vs Indians UNDER 9.5
Padres vs Rockies OVER 10
5 - 3 yesterday very nice, Mets game hurt though... |
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#36 Posted: 4/30/2009 10:02:35 AM 04/30/09:MLB, Base_Runs sabermetric system/formula
Assessment on consistency, for the record, their have been 42 instances/plays 30 advantages/wins 71%.......
Phase I A's+120
Phase II Pirates+120
A's+109
Phase III Nationals+155
Phase IV DevilRays+105
Phase V Cubs-120
Phase VI Nationals+166
As indicated above, each phase has produced it's strongest lean in the form of a "value" play(dog) with 100% consistency 7-0 . |
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#37 Posted: 4/30/2009 10:43:00 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by manifesto:
5 - 3 yesterday very nice, Mets game hurt though...
the system's total Base_Runs projection was 5 with the final score being Mets 3 / Marlins 2 with the total play, UNDER 7.5 this was intact till the 8th inning when the Marlins scored twice.. final score, Mets 3 / Marlins 4, with the under hitting at 7.....
The positive concept of phase VI, the Nationals+166 win, which completely absorbed the Mets loss, with profit....Soon, unit management will be incorporated within the system, to give it complete definition.. best regards |
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#38 Posted: 4/30/2009 11:47:43 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by sports_Network:
the system's total Base_Runs projection was 5 with the final score being Mets 3 / Marlins 2 with the total play, UNDER 7.5 this was intact till the 8th inning when the Marlins scored twice.. final score, Mets 3 / Marlins 4, with the under hitting at 7.....
The positive concept of phase VI, the Nationals+166 win, which completely absorbed the Mets loss, with profit....Soon, unit management will be incorporated within the system, to give it complete definition.. best regards Yes the Nats was a great pick...unfortunately I just couldn't pull the trigger based on the pitching matchups...can you shed some light on how that was selected as a pick? |
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#39 Posted: 4/30/2009 12:36:32 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by manifesto:
Yes the Nats was a great pick...unfortunately I just couldn't pull the trigger based on the pitching matchups...can you shed some light on how that was selected as a pick?
It was a "pure" Base_Runs system play, based on sabermetric pitching and hitting stats...To answer your question regarding pitching matchups, the lean tilted in the direction of the Nationals based on Myers giving up 8 HR's in 25 IP, and the majority of the Nationals line up successfuly facing Myers over the last two seasons hitting a combined .304 average...The opposite is true of Olsen who's 0-3 7.29era is very mis-leading, he has dominated the Philly line up, and all new additions over the past two years..The Phillies have trouble hitting lefty's...without flooding you with numerous stats, let's just say, Philly has lost more than they have won, the past two seasons, against left handed pitching, averaging .258 as a team |
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#40 Posted: 4/30/2009 2:22:06 PM MLB formulated system plays Thursday 04/30/09 Phase VII
Yankees -110 RL
Marlins vs Cubs UNDER 9.5
BlueJays vs Royals OVER 9
RedSox vs DevilRays UNDER 9.5
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elithepunk |
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#41 Posted: 4/30/2009 4:28:35 PM  .
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headcoach66 |
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#42 Posted: 4/30/2009 11:37:02 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by sports_Network: 04/30/09:MLB, Base_Runs sabermetric system/formula
Assessment on consistency, for the record, their have been 42 instances/plays 30 advantages/wins 71%.......
Phase I A's+120
Phase II Pirates+120
A's+109
Phase III Nationals+155
Phase IV DevilRays+105
Phase V Cubs-120
Phase VI Nationals+166
As indicated above, each phase has produced it's strongest lean in the form of a "value" play(dog) with 100% consistency 7-0 .
ooops. what's this???? this is too much for me. or I missed something? how the "phase" works???
gl to all! and be patient ;)
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#43 Posted: 5/1/2009 10:04:29 AM [Quote: Originally Posted by headcoach66]
ooops. what's this???? this is too much for me. or I missed something? how the "phase" works???
gl to all! and be patient ;)
[/Qu
it"s a description that each phase produces a high value play with accuracy... Including yesterdays Yankee RL win the system is now 8-0 in value wins..
Phase: would be defined in this particular documentation as, reference, category, progression of status.....
If you did "miss something" it could be understanding concept, which is clearly explained in detail, at the conception of the thread. along with the Base_Runs system/formula that is being initiated..best regards, your interest is welcomed.. |
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#44 Posted: 5/1/2009 10:12:48 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by elithepunk: Nice work so far sports_Network .
Your observance is appreciated, and welcomed..... best regards |
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#45 Posted: 5/1/2009 11:09:54 AM MLB formulated system play Friday 05/01/09 Phase VIII
Pirates+175 RL
BlueJays-130 RL
Cubs-125 RL
Tigers-165
LAA vs Yankees UNDER 10.5
Rockies vs Giants OVER 8
Padres vs Dodgers OVER 7.5
Cardinal vs Nationals UNDER 9.5 |
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#46 Posted: 5/1/2009 11:50:19 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by sports_Network:
MLB formulated system play Friday 05/01/09 Phase VIII
Pirates+175 RL
BlueJays-130 RL
Cubs-125 RL
Tigers-165
LAA vs Yankees UNDER 10.5
Rockies vs Giants OVER 8
Padres vs Dodgers OVER 7.5
Cardinal vs Nationals UNDER 9.5
Sports so are these your picks for today 5/1?
Thanks in advance
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#47 Posted: 5/1/2009 12:41:51 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by ctconnection:
Sports so are these your picks for today 5/1?
Thanks in advance
These are Base_Runs system plays, Yes, they are today's (5/1)
I do not publish "picks"....please read the entire thread to your advantage...best regards, your welcome
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#48 Posted: 5/1/2009 1:42:14 PM Network, is Pitt +175 RL the "value" play for Phase VIII? If not, which play is? thanks in advance and keep up the great work... |
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#49 Posted: 5/1/2009 2:05:48 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by manifesto:
Network, is Pitt +175 RL the "value" play for Phase VIII? If not, which play is? thanks in advance and keep up the great work...
Yes, the Pirates+175 RL ....is the strongest value play for Phase VIII....Followed by the Bluejays, and Cubs.....best regards |
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#50 Posted: 5/1/2009 9:17:40 PM It seems that after one month of baseball, teams appear to be scoring more than as compared with last season? Like the majority of the games seems to go overs (if not high)! You guys think batters are becoming more dominant now or game hasn't changes since the past 3-4 years? |
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