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Author: [Other] Topic: AFL Round 2 Lines
Django
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Django
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#1
Posted: 4/4/2012 12:12:18 AM
Brisbane 3.30
Carlton 1.33
-20.5

Essendon 1.24
Port Adelaide 4.00
-25.5

Sydney 1.69
Fremantle 2.15
-5.5

West Coast 1.06
Melbourne 8.75
-48.5

Collingwood 1.13
Richmond 5.75
-35.5

Adelaide 1.20
Western Bulldogs 4.50
-30.5

North Melbourne 1.01
Greater Western Sydney 16.00
-80.5

St.Kilda 1.05
Gold Coast 9.50
-52.5

Geelong 2.52
Hawthorn 1.52
-12.5

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Django
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Django
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#2
Posted: 4/4/2012 12:21:54 AM
I like Carlton -20.5, can see total going over 200 if it's not wet

Essendon are expected to win, who knows which Port will show up. I like Bombers 1-39

I'm thinking Freo hustle the Swans at home, in a relatively close one.

West Coast -48.5. 4 or 5 unit play. Melbourne are a rabble.

Pies bounce back after last week and thrash Richmond by 8-10 goals.

Adelaide -30.5. Crows are a potential top 4 side. Bulldogs will be demolished.

Norf should beat the Giants by 100+

Not sure about Saints covering 52. I think Adelaide made Suns look worse than they are last week.

Hawks -12.5. Scarlet out, Geelong off a trip to Perth on a shorter week, Buddy has another day out and kicks a bag.
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ecoute
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#3
Posted: 4/5/2012 5:24:37 AM
Django personally I would be wary of the total on the Lions game. I do think it will hit over but everything has to go right for the Lions makeshift forward line. I don't care what Rockliff and Merritt did before AFL it is still a makeshift forward line.

Also wary of taking North and points. With the GWS you have 3 experienced players coming in and you can be sure Sheedy will flood his players back. The Kangas have going for them 3 talls that GWS just can mark up, the forecast is for no rain. Even still..............
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ecoute
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#4
Posted: 4/5/2012 5:25:25 AM
btw. Agree with you on the Saints
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Django
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Django
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#5
Posted: 4/5/2012 10:15:54 AM
Lions are an overs team, except against the Swans. If Lions/can't kick their share of the goals they'll let their opposition. When Blues have clear midfield advantage they make so many forward opportunities and share the goals around they'll kick around 20+ more often than not.

I stuck with the -20 as it was more probable and the sharper bet that Carlton win by more than 3 or 4 goals than total going over 193, it could have easily fallen a few points short if Lions put up some more resistance.

I was thinking about that with North/GWS and that will be Sheedy's gameplanning for the season.
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ecoute
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#6
Posted: 4/5/2012 9:32:51 PM
Poor Lions. As mentioned in the other thread they ran out of steam.

Where is Carnesus (however you spell it) ? They really needed Merritt down the back and more forward options.


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