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Author: [Other] Topic: Tim Hortons Brier
beamjim
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#26
Posted: 3/6/2012 8:27:17 AM

Will probably be only post for day, due to previous commitments.

 

Like two totals, BC/NO under and PEI/NB over.

I think there is good value in BC +200 and Nfl +2.5. Have played NS small at +200 also.

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#27
Posted: 3/6/2012 8:35:42 AM
Like those totals.

Once again, I have to disagree on AB. They have won their games by totals of 4,5,6,6,3. Class of the field.

Good luck today. 
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#28
Posted: 3/6/2012 12:47:50 PM
Looks like my North Ontario future is dead. QC has an easy schedule and Jacobs has totally quit. 
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beamjim
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#29
Posted: 3/6/2012 2:05:37 PM

A quick post. Nice to finally hit some totals, your right Ang, Alberta is rolling.

 

Aft Draw- Nwt/Que over (keep going to this well) I think Nfl will pack it in now, so on BC big. Also on the under this game, to a smaller extent.

 

Good luck.

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#30
Posted: 3/6/2012 7:23:44 PM

Tonight on all four overs, Mb/Ontario small, the rest big.

Also on PEI +254 (value play) small, but on Sask pretty heavy at +120.

 

Good luck.

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#31
Posted: 3/6/2012 7:27:07 PM

Reason for the totals, is you have five subpar teams involved and one over powerhouse in NWT. Always like to go over, when mediocrity is in play. We will see how it plays out.

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#32
Posted: 3/7/2012 8:14:53 AM

Two out of three on the big totals and just an inch away from Howard getting us the extra point to make hit our smaller one.

Completely opposite this morning, on all four unders, with Bc/Ont my big one. Good luck.

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#33
Posted: 3/7/2012 2:13:16 PM

Well 2-2 but got my big one.

Ont -2.5, Mb -1.5 and Sask. Ontario big, others small.

Totals like over in NS/Que most, followed by NB/Sask over and Ont/PEI under

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#34
Posted: 3/7/2012 4:46:05 PM
Should have never let the expensive juice keep me away on the Territories over. I believe this will make it 9-0 this week. BC is an under team, so that could level it out, but boy you have to love it going 10-0 in the morning against NB.
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#35
Posted: 3/8/2012 7:52:05 AM

Last day.

Well if there is a total of the week for me, it is the NWT/NB over. Also have gone big on PEI/QUE over.

Value play small on PEI +160.

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#36
Posted: 3/8/2012 6:12:09 PM

Good feeling to nail those totals this morning. Also Cotter couldn't  hit the eight foot, to send his game into an extra end allowing Ang and myself to cash our matchup of Mb against BC. Tough loss for BC, as it eliminates them.

So, can Koe of NWT go for the perfect 11-0 sweep on the overs? I was hesitant orginally, as BC is an under team, but now they have nothing to play for, so perhaps it will. Interesting this morning the Greek opened at 13.5 in the NWT game but Pinny at 12.5.

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#37
Posted: 3/8/2012 7:04:45 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by beamjim:

Good feeling to nail those totals this morning. Also Cotter couldn't  hit the eight foot, to send his game into an extra end allowing Ang and myself to cash our matchup of Mb against BC. Tough loss for BC, as it eliminates them.

So, can Koe of NWT go for the perfect 11-0 sweep on the overs? I was hesitant orginally, as BC is an under team, but now they have nothing to play for, so perhaps it will. Interesting this morning the Greek opened at 13.5 in the NWT game but Pinny at 12.5.


We cashed that bet well before the outcome of that game...

Is pinny really going to miss this last draw??
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#38
Posted: 3/8/2012 7:30:12 PM

Yep, sorry Ang, confusing it with NO. And yes Pinny is out.

Playing the 3 over and the No/Sask under. All smaller, except for the Que/NFL game.

 

Took territories and Quebec, small.

 

Pinny kills me. No lines for last draw, bizarre.

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#39
Posted: 3/8/2012 7:38:15 PM
Where are you guys playing?  Pinnacle has been posting lines like 15 minutes before the draws but nothing tonight.  
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#40
Posted: 3/8/2012 8:40:39 PM

I have seen four sites post lines, Pinny, The Greek, Sports InterAction and Bet365. only the first two have totals. Pinny is infamous for missing one or two draws during the week.

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#41
Posted: 3/9/2012 6:46:27 PM

On to the big game. Ontario after getting off to a sluggish start earlier in the week they seem to be rounding into form.  Manitoba has also picked up their game in the last couple of days. Fowler needs to make sure that he has his draw weight, as it has escaped him a couple of times this week.

I have a future on Mb so I can't offer an unbiased opinion on the side. I typically like to play Ontario games under, but when I look at the last four totals of the 1 vs 2 game they come in at 13,14,13,15. Combined with the fact, that last nights marquee game was conservative for the first few ends, perhaps they will play aggressive, so I am going to take the plus money on the over. Small play only.

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#42
Posted: 3/9/2012 6:54:27 PM
Further to that, all playoff games in last four years (excluding tiebreakers) are 12-4 to the over.
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#43
Posted: 3/10/2012 8:20:15 AM

Great performance by Howard last night.

 

In the long run, betting favs will not make you money, laying 3.5 in curling won't make you money, but nonetheless I am betting on the South vs the North in the Koe Civil War today. As long as Kevin, doesn't take the foot off the pedal, on his little brother, I can see a 9-3, 10-4 type of game.

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#44
Posted: 3/10/2012 9:01:49 AM
We got alberta at -3.5 favs over NWT seems worth a look.
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#45
Posted: 3/10/2012 9:03:26 AM
That's what I am on. I got it at -113 this morning and it is up to -143 now. I think it will keep climbing.
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#46
Posted: 3/10/2012 10:25:23 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by beamjim:

That's what I am on. I got it at -113 this morning and it is up to -143 now. I think it will keep climbing.


Well sign me up then.
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#47
Posted: 3/10/2012 12:06:36 PM
Ang, have you gone MIA? Any plays for today?
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#48
Posted: 3/10/2012 5:15:12 PM
Sorry...I was in Vancouver all week on business so it was tough to get here and post much...

I think I will take out a second mortgage to put on the over in the bronze medal game. Hopefully the juice isn't too out of this world...

I had nothing on the morning game and doubt I'll have anything on tonight's game. Can't bet against AB but the juice will probably mean value is on MB.

I don't see anyone beating Howard tomorrow. He can't possibly choke in the final again, can he?
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#49
Posted: 3/10/2012 6:00:07 PM

No need to be sorry, I was hoping you were on a beach somewhere . Good to have you back in the fold.

Well, I feel I have had a couple of bad beats but Koe North setting that hit back in eight was a thing of beauty. Got the rock line and the over all in one shot. Feel fortunate and quite happy.

With you on that Bronze Medal game. Dog and Over.

As for tonight, I am curious on this line, a pick' em maybe? Or Alberta a slight fav even without the hammer?

 

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#50
Posted: 3/10/2012 6:04:38 PM
I really think AB will be in the -150 range...if they aren't, it will be bet up to that at least. Maybe more. Which is exactly what I mean when I say that MB has the value.

I don't know, I think I'll just sit back and hope AB wins as I have the future on them at +225.
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