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Author: [Pro Football] Topic: Arizona at Atlanta (11/18/2012)
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#1
Posted: 11/13/2012 3:10:27 AM

Away:  Arizona [3-5-1 ATS]
Home:  Atlanta [6-3 ATS]

Game Time: 1:00 PM
Stadium: Georgia Dome

Recent Meetings:
N/A

Team Leaders:

Arizona:
Passing: Kevin Kolb (1169)
Rushing: LaRod Stephens-Howling (184)
Receiving: Larry Fitzgerald (585)

Atlanta:
Passing: Matt Ryan (2771)
Rushing: Michael Turner (532)
Receiving: Roddy White (823)

More:
Live Odds
In-Depth Matchup Information
Consensus Betting Information

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#2
Posted: 11/15/2012 11:37:02 AM
as impressive as ryans record at home is (including a 4-0 this year) - all games in the dome were rel. close:

DAL  19-13
OAK  23-20
CAR  30-28
DEN  27-21

im staying away...
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#3
Posted: 11/15/2012 4:05:47 PM

ATLANTA  - 9.5

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#4
Posted: 11/16/2012 12:28:21 PM
Arizona + 9.5 a nice cover...
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#5
Posted: 11/16/2012 5:42:56 PM
atl at home  1 over and 3 unders


like the under   atl 24- ariz 14
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#6
Posted: 11/16/2012 6:08:05 PM
If you have any respect for situational betting, then you have to absolutely love Arizona in this situation!  

After Arizona's surprise 4-0 start, they have dropped 5 consecutive games.  This team hasn't won a game since their overtime win vs Miami on September 30th in week 4.  Talk about a team needing a bye week!!  These players finally had the chance to stop the bleeding and hit the reset button. 

As for Atlanta, its no secret how good this team is at home.  But I think this is a spot where they hit the snooze button and look ahead to their division rival, the red hot Tampa Bay Bucs. I know everyone is expecting Atlanta to bounce back with a vengeance after finally getting that first loss under the belt.  But I see things very very differently.  I see a team limping into this game. Julio Jones is listed as probable on covers, but in watching the NFL Network, it looks like his ankle injury is a bit more serious and he is definitely listed as questionable. Further, Michael Turner is having issues with his groin (also listed as questionable), and they will probably once again be without the services of their stud middle linebacker Sean Weatherspoon.  

Just tell me how this Falcon team is supposed to get fired up for the Arizona Cardinals, who have just lost 5 straight.  Especially after the hopes of their undefeated season were just shattered by the Saints last week. These are two teams that will be on the complete opposite sides of the motivational spectrum this week. You have a fresh and well rested Arizona team that is going to be fighting like hell to right their ship, and a beat up Atlanta team that will be just going through the motions to get the W.  This game really reminds me of the game when the Raiders came into the Georgia Dome and almost won in week 6 earlier this year.    

Now from an X's and O's standpoint, the Cardinals match up perfectly well against the Falcons, as they have the 2nd ranked pass defense in the league.  And if Julio Jones isn't a 100%, that can only help their case. Can you imagine what a change that is from playing the Saints defense to going up against the 2nd ranked pass defense in the league??  We all know about the Cardinal's offensive woes, but I think the Cardinals defense will keep them competitive on Sunday.  

I always worry when taking a west coast team playing during a 1:00 start time on the east coast.  But here's the beauty part: Ken Whisenhunt always has his players travel on Friday so they have an extra day to adjust to the time difference.  Don't forget, this is the same team that went into Gillette Stadium and beat the Patriots in week 2. 

For my final selling point, take a look at the final scores of Atlanta's home games this year:
27-21 Win vs Denver
30-28 Win vs Carolina
23-20 Win vs Oakland
19-13 Win vs Dallas   
THIS TEAM HASN'T WON A HOME GAME BY MORE THAN 6 POINTS ALL SEASON!!!  
Why would this Sunday be any different when the highly motivated, desperate, and well-rested Cardinals come into town?

I'm taking the Cardinals, and I'm going hot and heavy with them!!!
 
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#7
Posted: 11/16/2012 6:43:40 PM
brillant sammy
i am with you
am taking arizona su
83% of winners are covers
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#8
Posted: 11/16/2012 7:10:44 PM
brillant sammy
i am with you
am taking arizona su
83% of winners are covers
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#9
Posted: 11/16/2012 9:09:08 PM

Doesn't Arizona still have a decent "D"?? 9.5 is just too many - just look at last week's "chalk-eaters"

Cards +9.5

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#10
Posted: 11/17/2012 12:05:34 AM
im with sammy ace.  ive watched this falcons team at home and theyre not beating up anyone.  they just figure out a way to win.  i like AZ gettin points in this situation
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#11
Posted: 11/17/2012 2:01:13 AM
Sammy! SAMMMMMMMY!

just plain brilliant....

staying away, but still a great take!
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#12
Posted: 11/17/2012 2:12:56 PM

Arizona - 21                                     Atlanta - 17

Cardinals +9.5                             under 44

Smith 7-0 ats off su fav loss last 7 situations  I don't see them recovering as quickly this time around. Cardinals catch them still reeling from that Saints defeat. Cards snap a 6 game ats losing streak in Peach Country.

Arizona - Under

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#13
Posted: 11/17/2012 3:30:37 PM
Under 44
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#14
Posted: 11/17/2012 10:16:12 PM

I’ll Say cut me in half and stuffed me with bread and butter if Zona wins... Why Arizona will win this? Even if Atlanta goes half march Zona stand no chance... what Zona have to offer? One does not simply compare Zona with NO Saints Game... there is an abyss right there in the middle.

However the Gambler inside me likes what you said Sammy_Ace you sir deserve this:  I'll stay away from this game on my heavy load but will invest a small amount in Zona ML just in case it rains backwards.

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#15
Posted: 11/18/2012 12:39:29 AM
Atl covers with ease......
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#16
Posted: 11/18/2012 12:47:40 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Sammy_Ace:

If you have any respect for situational betting, then you have to absolutely love Arizona in this situation!  

After Arizona's surprise 4-0 start, they have dropped 5 consecutive games.  This team hasn't won a game since their overtime win vs Miami on September 30th in week 4.  Talk about a team needing a bye week!!  These players finally had the chance to stop the bleeding and hit the reset button. 

As for Atlanta, its no secret how good this team is at home.  But I think this is a spot where they hit the snooze button and look ahead to their division rival, the red hot Tampa Bay Bucs. I know everyone is expecting Atlanta to bounce back with a vengeance after finally getting that first loss under the belt.  But I see things very very differently.  I see a team limping into this game. Julio Jones is listed as probable on covers, but in watching the NFL Network, it looks like his ankle injury is a bit more serious and he is definitely listed as questionable. Further, Michael Turner is having issues with his groin (also listed as questionable), and they will probably once again be without the services of their stud middle linebacker Sean Weatherspoon.  

Just tell me how this Falcon team is supposed to get fired up for the Arizona Cardinals, who have just lost 5 straight.  Especially after the hopes of their undefeated season were just shattered by the Saints last week. These are two teams that will be on the complete opposite sides of the motivational spectrum this week. You have a fresh and well rested Arizona team that is going to be fighting like hell to right their ship, and a beat up Atlanta team that will be just going through the motions to get the W.  This game really reminds me of the game when the Raiders came into the Georgia Dome and almost won in week 6 earlier this year.    

Now from an X's and O's standpoint, the Cardinals match up perfectly well against the Falcons, as they have the 2nd ranked pass defense in the league.  And if Julio Jones isn't a 100%, that can only help their case. Can you imagine what a change that is from playing the Saints defense to going up against the 2nd ranked pass defense in the league??  We all know about the Cardinal's offensive woes, but I think the Cardinals defense will keep them competitive on Sunday.  

I always worry when taking a west coast team playing during a 1:00 start time on the east coast.  But here's the beauty part: Ken Whisenhunt always has his players travel on Friday so they have an extra day to adjust to the time difference.  Don't forget, this is the same team that went into Gillette Stadium and beat the Patriots in week 2. 

For my final selling point, take a look at the final scores of Atlanta's home games this year:
27-21 Win vs Denver
30-28 Win vs Carolina
23-20 Win vs Oakland
19-13 Win vs Dallas   
THIS TEAM HASN'T WON A HOME GAME BY MORE THAN 6 POINTS ALL SEASON!!!  
Why would this Sunday be any different when the highly motivated, desperate, and well-rested Cardinals come into town?

I'm taking the Cardinals, and I'm going hot and heavy with them!!!
 
Very nice!! I am with you on this game.. 
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#17
Posted: 11/18/2012 1:12:07 AM
Atlanta 
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#18
Posted: 11/18/2012 1:37:03 AM
Sammy Ace....NOBODY could have gave a better analysis than that. You did your matchup based more on the most probable results as it relates to impactful circumstances. Win or lose i feel the same. Its that time of year when you must adjust to ...situational matchups...as oppose to crunching stats. WHY!!!.....Because playoffpolitics trumps conventional wisdom.
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#19
Posted: 11/18/2012 2:16:12 AM
Falcons -9.5

UNDER 44

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#20
Posted: 11/18/2012 3:21:17 AM
Safe play is the Cardinals. Atlanta with the close win!
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#21
Posted: 11/18/2012 8:21:01 AM
Sammy 
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#22
Posted: 11/18/2012 8:47:12 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Sammy_Ace:

If you have any respect for situational betting, then you have to absolutely love Arizona in this situation!  

After Arizona's surprise 4-0 start, they have dropped 5 consecutive games.  This team hasn't won a game since their overtime win vs Miami on September 30th in week 4.  Talk about a team needing a bye week!!  These players finally had the chance to stop the bleeding and hit the reset button. 

As for Atlanta, its no secret how good this team is at home.  But I think this is a spot where they hit the snooze button and look ahead to their division rival, the red hot Tampa Bay Bucs. I know everyone is expecting Atlanta to bounce back with a vengeance after finally getting that first loss under the belt.  But I see things very very differently.  I see a team limping into this game. Julio Jones is listed as probable on covers, but in watching the NFL Network, it looks like his ankle injury is a bit more serious and he is definitely listed as questionable. Further, Michael Turner is having issues with his groin (also listed as questionable), and they will probably once again be without the services of their stud middle linebacker Sean Weatherspoon.  

Just tell me how this Falcon team is supposed to get fired up for the Arizona Cardinals, who have just lost 5 straight.  Especially after the hopes of their undefeated season were just shattered by the Saints last week. These are two teams that will be on the complete opposite sides of the motivational spectrum this week. You have a fresh and well rested Arizona team that is going to be fighting like hell to right their ship, and a beat up Atlanta team that will be just going through the motions to get the W.  This game really reminds me of the game when the Raiders came into the Georgia Dome and almost won in week 6 earlier this year.    

Now from an X's and O's standpoint, the Cardinals match up perfectly well against the Falcons, as they have the 2nd ranked pass defense in the league.  And if Julio Jones isn't a 100%, that can only help their case. Can you imagine what a change that is from playing the Saints defense to going up against the 2nd ranked pass defense in the league??  We all know about the Cardinal's offensive woes, but I think the Cardinals defense will keep them competitive on Sunday.  

I always worry when taking a west coast team playing during a 1:00 start time on the east coast.  But here's the beauty part: Ken Whisenhunt always has his players travel on Friday so they have an extra day to adjust to the time difference.  Don't forget, this is the same team that went into Gillette Stadium and beat the Patriots in week 2. 

For my final selling point, take a look at the final scores of Atlanta's home games this year:
27-21 Win vs Denver
30-28 Win vs Carolina
23-20 Win vs Oakland
19-13 Win vs Dallas   
THIS TEAM HASN'T WON A HOME GAME BY MORE THAN 6 POINTS ALL SEASON!!!  
Why would this Sunday be any different when the highly motivated, desperate, and well-rested Cardinals come into town?

I'm taking the Cardinals, and I'm going hot and heavy with them!!!
 

Very good work here Sammy!  This line caught my eye even before I read your write up.  


Cardinals +9.5    GLTA on our side.    
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#23
Posted: 11/18/2012 10:02:08 AM
Cards are due for a win after a well deserve bye week, I must admit I did have the Cardinals as my SB pick against the Texans this year. That aint gonna happen, and neither is ATL covering this large spread at the dome.

Cards +9.5
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#24
Posted: 11/18/2012 10:49:08 AM
Up set of the week arizona 24 Atlanta 21
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#25
Posted: 11/18/2012 12:26:50 PM

Arizona 30

Atlanta 24

 

 

 

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