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Author: [Pro Football] Topic: Green Bay at Seattle (09/24/2012)
pcz send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
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#76
Posted: 9/24/2012 5:30:19 PM
Those 4 interceptions (2 from Cam Newton, 2 from Ponder) were both away games. Tramon actually picked off Ponder once in the same game as well.... I'm further leaning packers. Maybe 4 units even.
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#77
Posted: 9/24/2012 5:41:53 PM
What will be interesting to see if GB intercepts Wilson enough to discourage him and get him down like Cam. Also if Flynn comes in, I have no doubt that GB DB's know what his tendencies are as a QB and will be able to sniff them out.

Cancelling factor: Loudness for experience. The chemsitry between the receivers and Rodgers is already built. They just need to execute. If they don't execute, they will not advance the ball.

GB -3 -115, for 3 units
GB -3, over 45.5 for 1. BOL everyone
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FouLLine
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#78
Posted: 9/24/2012 5:44:16 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Donbon:

Green Bay should win big which is why they're not going to. 72% of money is on GB and the line hasn't moved?? One site had the line going down??? Look at yesterdays Vikings line, same scenario (also similar to Tenn and Oakland). Turnovers on both sides tonight,
Seattle will protect Wilson better than J Webb protected Cutler, travel, night game, and a rockin 12th man. Rogers is too good to go Seattle ML but I'll take the points at home. (I also read but not yet verified that West Coast teams win 75% night home games against central and east coast teams). Seattle +3 for 2 units and Seattle +3/U23 1st half parlay for one unit.

Exactly.  The Bears pass protection plan was piss poor and they were very suborn leaving Webb to solo Matthews for far too much of that game.

Cutler has never had a good game against GB.  As well as Cutler is known to quit after things don't go his way at first.

Wilson on the other hand is far more mobile and will continue to improve every week.

Green Bay's Defense isn't nearly as good as Dallas' Defense and Wilson was good against Dallas.  You don't start a rookie QB over a guy you just paid 20 million for if the rookie is no good.

Wilson had better passing numbers than RG3 and Luck in college last year.  If Wilson was 2 inches taller he would have been a top 15 pick.

Yes Rodgers is a better QB.  But Seattle has a far better Defense and a far better run game.  They are also at home and catching a FG.

You guys are betting on a football team, not which QB will put up better numbers.  

If I do bet a team it will be Seattle.  But I am certainly going to go with the under.  Anytime you play GB and you have a good run game you want to win the time of possession game.
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#79
Posted: 9/24/2012 6:03:50 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by FouLLine:


Exactly.  The Bears pass protection plan was piss poor and they were very suborn leaving Webb to solo Matthews for far too much of that game.

Cutler has never had a good game against GB.  As well as Cutler is known to quit after things don't go his way at first.

Wilson on the other hand is far more mobile and will continue to improve every week.

Green Bay's Defense isn't nearly as good as Dallas' Defense and Wilson was good against Dallas.  You don't start a rookie QB over a guy you just paid 20 million for if the rookie is no good.

Wilson had better passing numbers than RG3 and Luck in college last year.  If Wilson was 2 inches taller he would have been a top 15 pick.

Yes Rodgers is a better QB.  But Seattle has a far better Defense and a far better run game.  They are also at home and catching a FG.

You guys are betting on a football team, not which QB will put up better numbers.  

If I do bet a team it will be Seattle.  But I am certainly going to go with the under.  Anytime you play GB and you have a good run game you want to win the time of possession game.
Dude you are delusional if you think Dalls or the SeaHawks D is better than the Pack.  Check the stats.  You're way off.
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#80
Posted: 9/24/2012 6:10:10 PM
my point is that they all have very good Defenses within the top 5 in these three games, and when the D's match up that closely then the QB and offenses are the deciding factor, and I'll take Rodgers experience.  Good luck to all.
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#81
Posted: 9/24/2012 6:16:03 PM

All starting rookie QBs lost at home this week:
-Griffn (Redskins)
-Luck (Colts)
-Tannehill (Dolphins)
-Wheeden (Browns)

Does it continue tonight with Wilson (Seattle)?

>Extra prep time for the Packers -oh yes!
>Public heavy on Packers -so what!

Go Pack Go!!!

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#82
Posted: 9/24/2012 6:34:48 PM

Seattle

(YTD: 14-9-1)

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#83
Posted: 9/24/2012 6:38:20 PM

NO RESPECT FOR THE HAWKS,HUH?OMG,ITS THE GREENBAY PACKERS,LET US ALL BOW DOWN!!!RODGERS IS THE  ALLMIGHT!! SEAHAWKS STRAIGHT UP WITH  THE MOST PHYSICAL DEFENSE,OUTSIDE OF SF AND ARIZONA,THAT  ARE ALL IN THE SAME DIVISION.RUSSELL WILSON IS A SMART CAPABLE QB,YOUNG WITH AN OLD SOUL.HE'S BEEN A PRO SINCE HIS DAYS PLAYING MINOR LEAGUE BASEBALL,THIS KIDS A WINNER.WIN OR LOSE MY MONEY IS ON THE BRUISE CREW!!!.

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS +3

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DDH420
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#84
Posted: 9/24/2012 6:49:13 PM
I can't see SEA's game-plan being to have deep ball contest with the PACK. If they wanna keep this game close I'd think they'd pound the ground game with Lynch and keep A-Rod north on the sidelines as much as possible. And then use play action on rollouts later to get the ball down field.


I think the pub being all over GB and the line not moving may show that L.V is happy with the line where it stands (3.5). Also they have to be careful too those goofball refs can darn them over as well.


Looking for a tight low scoring game yet entertaining game and trying for a middle which has been just about the only thing working for me NFL wise this young season.



NFL:

(1)GB +3.5 to the U 52.5 -130

(2)SEA +7.5 to the U 52.5 -110

(3)Handicap tie SEA +3 exactly +750 risking half unit

(4)Double result TIE-GB +1600 risking 0.1 unit

(5)Double result TOE-SEA +1800 risking 0.1 unit




One last play I may add for a tiny risk is "game to go to o.t" +900 but with a bunch going yesterday I'd be more shocked to see another at this point.


BOL & Enjoy the games
  &
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#85
Posted: 9/24/2012 6:50:05 PM

Don't get baited in to what seams to be the obvious pick,,,,vegas does this crap, you know everyone is taking the GB.

 

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#86
Posted: 9/24/2012 6:50:39 PM

OVER

(YTD: 14-9-1)

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DDH420
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#87
Posted: 9/24/2012 6:52:24 PM
Shoot.............plays 1 & 2 were X1.5 units each
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#88
Posted: 9/24/2012 7:04:20 PM

Sport gambling is business, they would want you to think otherwise.

You can analyze which team is better all you want, but the  bottom line is which team has the most money on.

Although the stat shows the percentage favor one team than the other, but it's the total amount of $ that counts.

The book is not in businees to take just the commisions, they will let it go once in awhile when there are even bets.

The NCAA and NFL have rules to review every touchdowns, but I saw about only 60% being done(good example would be Monday Night Football between NE and Bal).

 

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#89
Posted: 9/24/2012 7:07:31 PM
This game look like a banana by the favore and i know it was a game that will be overs so go with overs baby. 
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#90
Posted: 9/24/2012 7:07:32 PM
This game look like a banana by the favore and i know it was a game that will be overs so go with overs baby. 
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#91
Posted: 9/24/2012 7:07:45 PM
Cheese Heads
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#92
Posted: 9/24/2012 7:08:47 PM

My money's on the UNDER tonight.

Packer offense poorly balanced  (29 straight games without a 100-yd rusher), and clearly not clicking through the air (3 TDs vs 2 picks and 8 sacks... with lotsa dropped passes L2G at Lambeau!). First road game at Seattle (and the infamous 12th man) wouldn't seem to be what the proverbial doctor would order.  Solid Seahawk D allowing just 46 ypg TY and less than 16 ppg 5 of L6G on this field.  Packers 5th in total D and 2nd vs the pass and lead league in sacks with 11… BUT, they CAN be run on and Seattle is a strong running team, which fits nicely into my template tonight as they’ll wanna eat clock and keep pressure off rookie QB Wilson. Green Bay gets RB Starks back tonight and after finding their running game a bit LW with Benson (81 yds ), I look for them to also try to establish the run.  Green Bay stated LW that they abandoned the running game too early versus San Fran and I look for a big dose of Starks and Benson tonight.  This game screams ball control to me... and that spells money.

Green Bay/SEATTLE Under 46

 

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#93
Posted: 9/24/2012 7:10:27 PM
EZ$==>> Sea to win!!!!!
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#94
Posted: 9/24/2012 7:11:27 PM

EZ$==>> SEA to Win!!!!

 

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#95
Posted: 9/24/2012 7:13:35 PM
Pete Carol defense will keep this game UNDER!!!!!
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oahuboy808
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#96
Posted: 9/24/2012 7:21:30 PM
Seattle is my play.. Small only though, as it's a tough game to cap
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oahuboy808
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#97
Posted: 9/24/2012 7:25:01 PM
I'm surprised no one has mentioned Lynch on this thread.. If he gets going against a subpar GB run defense, it will make things that much easier for Wilson..
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#98
Posted: 9/24/2012 7:25:02 PM
The line might not move in Vegas because more people take one team If big money goes on SEA in fewer bets...
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#99
Posted: 9/24/2012 7:25:08 PM
Over (1H) 23 (-120) ,,,,SCHOOL NIGHT W/ BED TIME IN THE 2ND.....BOLA!!!
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#100
Posted: 9/24/2012 7:25:35 PM
Putting a "G" on a 7 teaser.  Pack +3.5, and over 39. Profit $760. No Brainer!
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